IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/pra/mprapa/19568.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Supply and Demand Model for the Malaysian Cocoa Market

Author

Listed:
  • Abdel Hameed, Amna Awad
  • Hasanov, Akram
  • Idris, Nurjihan
  • Abdullah, Amin Mahir
  • Mohamed Arshad, Fatimah
  • Shamsudin, Mad Nasir

Abstract

This paper investigates a system of supply, demand, and price equations for Malaysian cocoa using annual data over the period 1975-2008. Theoretically, in supply and demand models, the price variable is treated as endogenous. However, Hausman specification test result indicates that there is no simultaneity problem in the model. Thus, we estimate the system of equations utilizing the Seemingly Unrelated Regression (SUR) estimation technique which might be considered a more efficient estimator for supply and demand model of the Malaysian cocoa. The results suggest that the Malaysian cocoa production is mainly affected by the previous year production, price of cocoa beans at lag two as well as the harvested area. In the export demand equation, the real effective exchange rates is statistically significant determinant while the index of industrial production of advanced economies and the world price of cocoa are found to be insignificant. The results also suggest that both Malaysian industrial production index and domestic price of cocoa beans are key determinants of domestic demand for cocoa beans in Malaysia. Finally, the domestic price of cocoa beans is highly sensitive to its domestic consumption, lagged domestic price, and its world price.

Suggested Citation

  • Abdel Hameed, Amna Awad & Hasanov, Akram & Idris, Nurjihan & Abdullah, Amin Mahir & Mohamed Arshad, Fatimah & Shamsudin, Mad Nasir, 2009. "Supply and Demand Model for the Malaysian Cocoa Market," MPRA Paper 19568, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:19568
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/19568/1/MPRA_paper_19568.pdf
    File Function: original version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. G. Edward Schuh, 1974. "The Exchange Rate and U. S. Agriculture," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 56(1), pages 1-13.
    2. Robert G. Chambers & Richard E. Just, 1979. "A Critique of Exchange Rate Treatment in Agricultural Trade Models," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 61(2), pages 249-257.
    3. Henk. L.M. Kox, 2004. "The market for cocoa powder," Industrial Organization 0412002, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Andras Tothmihaly, 2017. "How low is the price elasticity in the global cocoa market?," GlobalFood Discussion Papers 258587, Georg-August-Universitaet Goettingen, GlobalFood, Department of Agricultural Economics and Rural Development.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Torok, Steven John, 1982. "International trade in commodities and labor: the case of the importation of Mexican agricultural labor and fresh market winter tomatoes into the US, 1964-1979," ISU General Staff Papers 198201010800008550, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    2. Conway, Roger K., 1985. "Examining Intertemporal Export Elasticities for Wheat, Corn, and Soybeans: A Stochastic Coefficients Approach," Technical Bulletins 157006, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    3. Suwen Pan & Samarendu Mohanty & Mark Welch & Don Ethridge & Mohamadou Fadiga, 2007. "Effects Of Chinese Currency Revaluation On World Fiber Markets," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 25(2), pages 185-205, April.
    4. Fadeyi, O.A. & Ogundeji, A.A. & Willemse, B.J., 2015. "Establishing the linkages between the South African agricultural trade balance and macroeconomic indicators," Agrekon, Agricultural Economics Association of South Africa (AEASA), vol. 53(4), March.
    5. O.A. Fadeyi & A.A. Ogundeji & B.J. Willemse, 2014. "Establishing the linkages between the South African agricultural trade balance and macroeconomic indicators," Agrekon, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(4), pages 92-105, November.
    6. Meilke, Karl D. & Coleman, Jonathan R., 1986. "An Evaluation of the Influence of Exchange Rates on the Canadian Red Meat Sector," Working Papers 244739, University of Guelph, Department of Food, Agricultural and Resource Economics.
    7. Ardeni, Pier-Giorgio & Rausser, Gordon C., 1990. "Alternative subsidy reduction paths: the role of fiscal and monetary policy linkages," Department of Agricultural & Resource Economics, UC Berkeley, Working Paper Series qt5074f3vq, Department of Agricultural & Resource Economics, UC Berkeley.
    8. Devadoss, S., 1985. "The impacts of monetary policies on US agriculture," ISU General Staff Papers 198501010800008837, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    9. Liu, Zong-Shin, 1989. "Monetary policy, exchange rate, and effects on US wheat trade and domestic market in an imperfect competition framework," ISU General Staff Papers 1989010108000010216, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    10. Gülistan Erdal & Hilmi Erdal & Kemal Esengün, 2012. "The effects of exchange rate volatility on trade: evidence from Turkish agricultural trade," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(3), pages 297-303, February.
    11. Dmitry Burakov, 2016. "Elasticity of Agricultural Prices in Russia: An Empirical Study of Energy and Monetary Channels," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 6(3), pages 551-562.
    12. Mao, R., 2018. "A Firm-Level Reappraisal of Real Exchange Rate Undervaluation in China s Agricultural Exports and Growth," 2018 Conference, July 28-August 2, 2018, Vancouver, British Columbia 276987, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    13. Burakov, D., 2016. "Oil Prices, Exchange Rate and Prices for Agricultural Commodities: Empirical Evidence from Russia," AGRIS on-line Papers in Economics and Informatics, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Faculty of Economics and Management, vol. 8(2), pages 1-15, June.
    14. Zhengwei MA & Rui XU & Xiucheng DONG, 2015. "World oil prices and agricultural commodity prices: The evidence from China," Agricultural Economics, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 61(12), pages 564-576.
    15. Rauseer, Gordon C. & Zilberman, David & Just, Richard E., 1981. "The Distributional Impacts of Agricultural Programs," AAEA Miscellaneous Paper Archive 337331, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    16. Fuller, Stephen & Bello, Haruna & Capps, Oral Jr., 1991. "Import Demand for U.S. Fresh Grapefruit," Departmental Reports 256832, Texas A&M University, Department of Agricultural Economics.
    17. Hushak, Leroy J., 1985. "The Exchange Rate And Agriculture: Real Issue Or Dead Horse!," 1985 Annual Meeting, August 4-7, Ames, Iowa 278660, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    18. Kaman Nainggolan, 1988. "Macroeconomic Impacts on Indonesian Agricultural Exports," Economics and Finance in Indonesia, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Indonesia, vol. 36, pages 163-189, Juni.
    19. Just, Richard E., 1989. "Modelling the Interactive Effect of Alternative Sets of Policies on Agricultural Prices," Working Papers 197611, University of Maryland, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics.
    20. repec:ags:ijag24:346826 is not listed on IDEAS
    21. Fuller, Frank Harland, 1996. "The location of marginal production for value-added and intermediate goods: optimal policies and trade volumes," ISU General Staff Papers 1996010108000012147, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Supply and Demand; Malaysian Cocoa; SUR technique;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q11 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Aggregate Supply and Demand Analysis; Prices
    • O13 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Agriculture; Natural Resources; Environment; Other Primary Products

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:19568. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Joachim Winter (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/vfmunde.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.