IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/kap/transp/v33y2006i4p393-408.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The Impact of Travel Time Information on Travelers’ Learning under Uncertainty

Author

Listed:
  • Erel Avineri
  • Joseph Prashker

Abstract

In this work, laboratory experiment was conducted in order to evaluate the effect of feedback on decision-making under uncertainty, with and without provided information about travel times. We discuss the prediction of travelers’ response to uncertainty in two route–choice situations. In the first situation travelers are faced with a route–choice problem in which travel times are uncertain but some external information about routes’ travel times is provided. The second situation takes place in a more uncertain environment in which external information about travel times is not provided, and the travelers’ only source of information is their own experience. Experimental results are in conflict with the paradigm about traveler information systems: As a consequence of information, the propensity of travelers to minimize expected travel time is not necessarily increased. Providing travelers with static information about expected travel times reveals an increase in the heterogeneity of travelers’ choices and reduces the maximization rate. Copyright Springer 2006

Suggested Citation

  • Erel Avineri & Joseph Prashker, 2006. "The Impact of Travel Time Information on Travelers’ Learning under Uncertainty," Transportation, Springer, vol. 33(4), pages 393-408, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:transp:v:33:y:2006:i:4:p:393-408
    DOI: 10.1007/s11116-005-5710-y
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s11116-005-5710-y
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11116-005-5710-y?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Pitu Mirchandani & Hossein Soroush, 1987. "Generalized Traffic Equilibrium with Probabilistic Travel Times and Perceptions," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 21(3), pages 133-152, August.
    2. Iida, Yasunori & Akiyama, Takamasa & Uchida, Takashi, 1992. "Experimental analysis of dynamic route choice behavior," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 26(1), pages 17-32, February.
    3. Lehrer, Ehud & Smorodinsky, Rann, 1997. "Repeated Large Games with Incomplete Information," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 18(1), pages 116-134, January.
    4. Chang, Gang-Len & Mahmassani, Hani S., 1988. "Travel time prediction and departure time adjustment behavior dynamics in a congested traffic system," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 217-232, June.
    5. Supernak, Janusz, 1992. "Temporal utility profiles of activities and travel: Uncertainty and decision making," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 26(1), pages 60-76, February.
    6. Hani S. Mahmassani & Gang-Len Chang, 1987. "On Boundedly Rational User Equilibrium in Transportation Systems," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 21(2), pages 89-99, May.
    7. Cheung, Yin-Wong & Friedman, Daniel, 1998. "A comparison of learning and replicator dynamics using experimental data," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 263-280, April.
    8. Yaakov Kareev & Sharon Arnon & Reut Horwitz-Zeliger, 2002. "On the Misperception of Variability," Discussion Paper Series dp285, The Federmann Center for the Study of Rationality, the Hebrew University, Jerusalem.
    9. Horowitz, Joel L., 1984. "The stability of stochastic equilibrium in a two-link transportation network," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 18(1), pages 13-28, February.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Xu, Xiangdong & Qu, Kai & Chen, Anthony & Yang, Chao, 2021. "A new day-to-day dynamic network vulnerability analysis approach with Weibit-based route adjustment process," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
    2. David Watling & Giulio Cantarella, 2015. "Model Representation & Decision-Making in an Ever-Changing World: The Role of Stochastic Process Models of Transportation Systems," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 15(3), pages 843-882, September.
    3. Richard H. M. Emmerink & Paul van Beek, 1997. "Empirical Analysis of Work Schedule Flexibility: Implications for Road Pricing and Driver Information Systems," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 34(2), pages 217-234, February.
    4. Emmerink, R., 1993. "Effects of information in road transport networks with recurrent congestion," Serie Research Memoranda 0065, VU University Amsterdam, Faculty of Economics, Business Administration and Econometrics.
    5. Tang, Yue & Gao, Song & Ben-Elia, Eran, 2017. "An exploratory study of instance-based learning for route choice with random travel times," Journal of choice modelling, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 22-35.
    6. Xie, Chi & Liu, Zugang, 2014. "On the stochastic network equilibrium with heterogeneous choice inertia," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 90-109.
    7. van Ackere, Ann & Larsen, Erik R., 2004. "Self-organising behaviour in the presence of negative externalities: A conceptual model of commuter choice," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 157(2), pages 501-513, September.
    8. Terry E. Daniel & Eyran J. Gisches & Amnon Rapoport, 2009. "Departure Times in Y-Shaped Traffic Networks with Multiple Bottlenecks," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 99(5), pages 2149-2176, December.
    9. Zhang, Ding & Nagurney, Anna & Wu, Jiahao, 2001. "On the equivalence between stationary link flow patterns and traffic network equilibria," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 35(8), pages 731-748, September.
    10. Sun, Mingmei, 2023. "A day-to-day dynamic model for mixed traffic flow of autonomous vehicles and inertial human-driven vehicles," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
    11. Shanjiang Zhu & David Levinson, 2011. "A Portfolio Theory of Route Choice," Working Papers 000096, University of Minnesota: Nexus Research Group.
    12. G. E. Cantarella & D. P. Watling, 2016. "Modelling road traffic assignment as a day-to-day dynamic, deterministic process: a unified approach to discrete- and continuous-time models," EURO Journal on Transportation and Logistics, Springer;EURO - The Association of European Operational Research Societies, vol. 5(1), pages 69-98, March.
    13. Jiayang Li & Zhaoran Wang & Yu Marco Nie, 2023. "Wardrop Equilibrium Can Be Boundedly Rational: A New Behavioral Theory of Route Choice," Papers 2304.02500, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2024.
    14. Lou, Yingyan & Yin, Yafeng & Lawphongpanich, Siriphong, 2010. "Robust congestion pricing under boundedly rational user equilibrium," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 44(1), pages 15-28, January.
    15. Small, K. & Noland, R. & Koskenoja, P., 1995. "Socio-economic Attributes And Impacts Of Travel Reliability: A Stated Preference Approach," Institute of Transportation Studies, Research Reports, Working Papers, Proceedings qt82n2w53k, Institute of Transportation Studies, UC Berkeley.
    16. Xiaomei Zhao & Chunhua Wan & Jun Bi, 2019. "Day-to-Day Assignment Models and Traffic Dynamics Under Information Provision," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 19(2), pages 473-502, June.
    17. Innocenti, Alessandro & Lattarulo, Patrizia & Pazienza, Maria Grazia, 2013. "Car stickiness: Heuristics and biases in travel choice," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 158-168.
    18. Theo Arentze & Harry Timmermans, 2003. "Modeling learning and adaptation processes in activity-travel choice A framework and numerical experiment," Transportation, Springer, vol. 30(1), pages 37-62, February.
    19. Morgan, John & Orzen, Henrik & Sefton, Martin, 2009. "Network architecture and traffic flows: Experiments on the Pigou-Knight-Downs and Braess Paradoxes," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 66(1), pages 348-372, May.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:kap:transp:v:33:y:2006:i:4:p:393-408. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.