IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ist/ekoist/v0y2023i39p1-9.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Winter Rice Trend Analysis and Change Point Detection in Assam’s North Bank Plains Zone (NBPZ): A Non-Parametric Approach

Author

Listed:
  • Rabijita Buragohain

    (1Assam Agricultural University, Department of Agricultural Statistics, Jorhat, India)

  • Hemanta Saikia

    (Assam Agricultural University, Department of Agricultural Statistics, Jorhat, India)

  • Dhruba Das

    (Dibrugarh University, Department of Statistics, Dibrugarh, India)

Abstract

Rice from Assam is well-known for having a wide range of genetic varieties. In the past, Assam produced more rice due to its geographic location and climatic conditions. The main rice crop in Assam is winter rice, which makes up a significant amount of the state’s overall rice production. The NBPZ is one of the key locations where agriculture provides many people with a means of subsistence. The goal of the study is to determine the turning point for winter rice productivity in Assam’s NBPZ by analyzing trends regarding winter rice output, area, and productivity. The transition point for the productivity of winter rice was discovered by analyzing more than 30 years of NBPZ data. The study also shows the NBPZ to not just be restricted to researching winter rice’s climate-resilient productivity but to also have a critical need to adopt efficient crop production and productivity measures. Thus, the study’s findings are anticipated to be able to help policymakers create an effective agricultural policy that is easier for farmers to adopt.

Suggested Citation

  • Rabijita Buragohain & Hemanta Saikia & Dhruba Das, 2023. "Winter Rice Trend Analysis and Change Point Detection in Assam’s North Bank Plains Zone (NBPZ): A Non-Parametric Approach," EKOIST Journal of Econometrics and Statistics, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 0(39), pages 1-9, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:ist:ekoist:v:0:y:2023:i:39:p:1-9
    DOI: 10.26650/ekoist.2023.39.1315691
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://cdn.istanbul.edu.tr/file/JTA6CLJ8T5/E5309D01CE2E476BA23021278CE40843
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://iupress.istanbul.edu.tr/tr/journal/ekoist/article/winter-rice-trend-analysis-and-change-point-detection-in-assams-north-bank-plains-zone-nbpz-a-non-parametric-approach
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.26650/ekoist.2023.39.1315691?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Maximilian Auffhammer & V. Ramanathan & Jeffrey Vincent, 2012. "Climate change, the monsoon, and rice yield in India," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 111(2), pages 411-424, March.
    2. Hossein Tabari & Safar Marofi, 2011. "Changes of Pan Evaporation in the West of Iran," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 25(1), pages 97-111, January.
    3. Wing, Ian Sue & De Cian, Enrica & Mistry, Malcolm N., 2021. "Global vulnerability of crop yields to climate change," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jeetendra Prakash Aryal & Tek B. Sapkota & Ritika Khurana & Arun Khatri-Chhetri & Dil Bahadur Rahut & M. L. Jat, 2020. "Climate change and agriculture in South Asia: adaptation options in smallholder production systems," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 22(6), pages 5045-5075, August.
    2. Sedova, Barbora & Kalkuhl, Matthias, 2020. "Who are the climate migrants and where do they go? Evidence from rural India," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    3. Eshita Gupta & Bharat Ramaswami & E. Somanathan, 2021. "The Distributional Impact of Climate Change: Why Food Prices Matter," Economics of Disasters and Climate Change, Springer, vol. 5(2), pages 249-275, July.
    4. De Clercq, Djavan & Mahdi, Adam, 2024. "Feasibility of machine learning-based rice yield prediction in India at the district level using climate reanalysis and remote sensing data," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 220(C).
    5. Cecilia Castaldo & Matilde Giaccherini & Giacomo Pallante & Alessandro Palma, 2024. "Unveiling Shades of Green Food beyond Labels. Evidence from an Online Experiment to Climate Adaptation," CESifo Working Paper Series 11161, CESifo.
    6. Marie Lassalas & Sabine Duvaleix & Laure Latruffe, 2024. "The technical and economic effects of biodiversity standards on wheat production," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Oxford University Press and the European Agricultural and Applied Economics Publications Foundation, vol. 51(2), pages 275-308.
    7. Sudarshan Chalise & Dr Athula Naranpanawa, 2016. "Climate change adaptation in agriculture: A general equilibrium analysis of land re-allocation in Nepal," EcoMod2016 9272, EcoMod.
    8. Ding, Yugang & Xu, Jiangmin, 2023. "Global vulnerability of agricultural commodities to climate risk: Evidence from satellite data," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 669-687.
    9. Federica Ravera & Victoria Reyes-García & Unai Pascual & Adam G. Drucker & David Tarrasón & Mauricio R. Bellon, 2019. "Gendered agrobiodiversity management and adaptation to climate change: differentiated strategies in two marginal rural areas of India," Agriculture and Human Values, Springer;The Agriculture, Food, & Human Values Society (AFHVS), vol. 36(3), pages 455-474, September.
    10. Mohapatra, Souryabrata & Wen, Le & Sharp, Basil & Sahoo, Dukhabandhu, 2024. "Unveiling the spatial dynamics of climate impact on rice yield in India," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 922-945.
    11. Shuai Chen & Xiaoguang Chen & Jintao Xu, 2016. "Assessing the impacts of temperature variations on rice yield in China," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 138(1), pages 191-205, September.
    12. R. K. Mall & Nidhi Singh & K. K. Singh & Geetika Sonkar & Akhilesh Gupta, 2018. "Evaluating the performance of RegCM4.0 climate model for climate change impact assessment on wheat and rice crop in diverse agro-climatic zones of Uttar Pradesh, India," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 149(3), pages 503-515, August.
    13. Medhavi Sandhani & Anubhab Pattanayak & K.S. Kavi Kumar, 2020. "Impact of Climate Change on Economic Growth: A Case Study of India," Working Papers 2020-204, Madras School of Economics,Chennai,India.
    14. Mojtaba Shadmani & Safar Marofi & Majid Roknian, 2012. "Trend Analysis in Reference Evapotranspiration Using Mann-Kendall and Spearman’s Rho Tests in Arid Regions of Iran," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 26(1), pages 211-224, January.
    15. Selvaraj Krishnan & Subhash Chander, 2015. "Simulation of climatic change impact on crop-pest interactions: a case study of rice pink stem borer Sesamia inferens (Walker)," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 131(2), pages 259-272, July.
    16. Yadav, Nishi, 2024. "Towards Sustainable Agri-Food Systems: Assessment of Climate Risk and its impact on Rice Productivity for Indian States," IAAE 2024 Conference, August 2-7, 2024, New Delhi, India 344338, International Association of Agricultural Economists (IAAE).
    17. R. P. Dayani Gunathilaka & James C. R. Smart & Christopher M. Fleming, 2017. "The impact of changing climate on perennial crops: the case of tea production in Sri Lanka," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 140(3), pages 577-592, February.
    18. Shreekant Gupta & Partha Sen & Suchita Srinivasan, 2014. "Impact Of Climate Change On The Indian Economy: Evidence From Food Grain Yields," Climate Change Economics (CCE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 5(02), pages 1-29.
    19. Fontes, Francisco & Gorst, Ashley & Palmer, Charles, 2020. "Does choice of drought index influence estimates of drought-induced rice losses in India?," Environment and Development Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(5), pages 459-481, October.
    20. V. Saravanakumar, "undated". "Impact of Climate Change on Yield of Major Food Crops in Tamil Nadu, India," Working papers 91, The South Asian Network for Development and Environmental Economics.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ist:ekoist:v:0:y:2023:i:39:p:1-9. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Istanbul University Press Operational Team (Ertuğrul YAŞAR) (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/ifisttr.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.