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Dynamics and determinants of emigration: the case of Croatia and the experience of new EU member states

Author

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  • Ivana Drazenovic

    (Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague, Czech Republic)

  • Marina Kunovac

    (Croatian National Bank, Zagreb, Croatia)

  • Dominik Pripuzic

    (Croatian National Bank, Zagreb, Croatia)

Abstract

This paper analyzes the emigration flows from Croatia and other new EU member states to the core EU countries after their EU accession. In order to assess the magnitude and dynamics of the recent emigration wave properly, we construct the series of indirect emigration flows, resorting to the national statistical offices of the selected core EU destination countries. We compare the Croatian experience with that of other NMS and show that the intensity of Croatia’s emigration flows after EU accession is proportional to that of the Romanian and Bulgarian cases. Finally, we empirically analyze the economic and non-economic drivers of emigration from NMS to the core EU in the 2000-2016 period. Results show that both economic (measured by different GDP and labour market indicators) and noneconomic factors (capturing the EU accession, the level of corruption in the economy and demographic characteristics of the origin country population) are relevant for emigration decisions.

Suggested Citation

  • Ivana Drazenovic & Marina Kunovac & Dominik Pripuzic, 2018. "Dynamics and determinants of emigration: the case of Croatia and the experience of new EU member states," Public Sector Economics, Institute of Public Finance, vol. 42(4), pages 415-447.
    • Handle: RePEc:ipf:psejou:v:42:y:2018:i:4:p:415-447
    DOI: 10.3326/pse.42.4.3
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    Cited by:

    1. Ana Grdoviæ Gnip, 2023. "The determinants of regional migration in Croatia," Zbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Rijeci/Proceedings of Rijeka Faculty of Economics, University of Rijeka, Faculty of Economics and Business, vol. 41(2), pages 427-448.
    2. Ivandić Ria, 2023. "The Fiscal Consequences of Emigration: Evidence from Croatia," Zagreb International Review of Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 26(2), pages 183-202.
    3. Josip FRANIC, 2020. "Why workers engage in quasi-formal employment? Some lessons from Croatia," Eastern Journal of European Studies, Centre for European Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, vol. 11, pages 94-112, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    emigration; EU accession; new member states; gravity model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J61 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Geographic Labor Mobility; Immigrant Workers
    • E65 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Studies of Particular Policy Episodes
    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models

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