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Frontiers: How Effective Is Third-Party Consumer Profiling? Evidence from Field Studies

Author

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  • Nico Neumann

    (Melbourne Business School, Carlton, Victoria 3053, Australia)

  • Catherine E. Tucker

    (Sloan School of Management, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts 02142; National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, Massachusetts 02138)

  • Timothy Whitfield

    (Burst SMS, Sydney, New South Wales 2000, Australia)

Abstract

Data brokers often use online browsing records to create digital consumer profiles that they sell to marketers as predefined audiences for ad targeting. However, this process is a “black box”—little is known about the reliability of the digital profiles that are created or of the audience identification provided by buying platforms. In this paper, we investigate using three field tests the accuracy of a variety of demographic and audience-interest segments. We examine the accuracy of more than 90 third-party audiences across 19 data brokers. Audience segments vary greatly in quality and are often inaccurate across leading data brokers. In comparison with random audience selection, the use of black box data profiles, on average, increased identification of a user with a desired single attribute by 0%–77%. Audience identification can be improved, on average, by 123% when combined with optimization software. However, given the high extra costs of targeting solutions and the relative inaccuracy, we find that third-party audiences are often economically unattractive except for higher-priced media placements.

Suggested Citation

  • Nico Neumann & Catherine E. Tucker & Timothy Whitfield, 2019. "Frontiers: How Effective Is Third-Party Consumer Profiling? Evidence from Field Studies," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 38(6), pages 918-926, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:inm:ormksc:v:38:y:2019:i:6:p:918-926
    DOI: 10.1287/mksc.2019.1188
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    6. Reviglio, Urbano, 2022. "The untamed and discreet role of data brokers in surveillance capitalism: A transnational and interdisciplinary overview," Internet Policy Review: Journal on Internet Regulation, Alexander von Humboldt Institute for Internet and Society (HIIG), Berlin, vol. 11(3), pages 1-27.
    7. Garrett A. Johnson & Scott K. Shriver & Shaoyin Du, 2020. "Consumer Privacy Choice in Online Advertising: Who Opts Out and at What Cost to Industry?," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 39(1), pages 33-51, January.
    8. K. Sudhir & Seung Yoon Lee & Subroto Roy, 2021. "Lookalike Targeting on Others' Journeys: Brand Versus Performance Marketing," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 2302R, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, revised Jun 2022.
    9. K. Sudhir & Seung Yoon Lee & Subroto Roy, 2021. "Lookalike Targeting on Others' Journeys: Brand Versus Performance Marketing," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 2302, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
    10. Christian Peukert & Florian Abeillon & J'er'emie Haese & Franziska Kaiser & Alexander Staub, 2024. "Strategic Behavior and AI Training Data," Papers 2404.18445, arXiv.org.
    11. Andre Veiga & Tommaso Valletti, 2020. "Attention, recall and purchase: Experimental evidence on online news and advertising," Working Papers 20-15, NET Institute.
    12. Koski, Heli & Kässi, Otto & Braesemann, Fabian, 2020. "Killers on the Road of Emerging Start-ups – Implications for Market Entry and Venture Capital Financing," ETLA Working Papers 81, The Research Institute of the Finnish Economy.
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    16. Nico Neumann & Catherine E. Tucker & Kumar Subramanyam & John Marshall, 2023. "Is first- or third-party audience data more effective for reaching the ‘right’ customers? The case of IT decision-makers," Quantitative Marketing and Economics (QME), Springer, vol. 21(4), pages 519-571, December.
    17. Garrett Johnson & Julian Runge & Eric Seufert, 2022. "Privacy-Centric Digital Advertising: Implications for Research," Customer Needs and Solutions, Springer;Institute for Sustainable Innovation and Growth (iSIG), vol. 9(1), pages 49-54, June.
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