IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v14y2022i18p11396-d912135.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

SEIR Evolutionary Game Model Applied to the Evolution and Control of the Medical Waste Disposal Crisis in China during the COVID-19 Outbreak

Author

Listed:
  • Guojian Ma

    (School of Management, Jiangsu University, Zhenjiang 212013, China)

  • Juan Ding

    (School of Management, Jiangsu University, Zhenjiang 212013, China)

  • Youqing Lv

    (School of Management, Jiangsu University, Zhenjiang 212013, China
    School of Economics and Management, Chuzhou University, Chuzhou 239000, China)

Abstract

The behavioral choices and speculative psychology of the participants in medical waste disposal can lead to the evolution of the medical waste disposal crisis, which has a great impact on and represents a potential threat to environmental safety as well as public health. This study constructs the SEIR evolutionary game model based on the theory of propagation dynamics and evolutionary game and explores the game relationship between local governments and medical waste disposal enterprises. Then it analyzes the propagation threshold and evolutionary path of medical institutions’ speculative psychology under different behavioral decisions of both subjects and explores the process and law of system evolution to a benign stable state and conducts a multi-situated simulation analysis. The results showed that the number of infected states in medical institutions varies in a positive direction with the propagation threshold of their speculative psychology, and when the propagation threshold is greater than 1, the speculative psychology of medical institutions will spread widely in the system. The “strict regulation and high-quality disposal” behavior of local governments and disposal enterprises could effectively eliminate the speculative psychology of medical institutions, the number of infected medical institutions could gradually evolve to 0, then the further evolution of the medical waste disposal crisis could be prevented. The formation of an integrated, coordinated, and mutually constraining crisis governance mechanism should improve the government’s regulatory capacity and efficiency, develop attractive and deterrent reward and punishment policies to guide disposal enterprises to high-quality disposal, and contribute to the compliant disposal of medical waste in medical institutions.

Suggested Citation

  • Guojian Ma & Juan Ding & Youqing Lv, 2022. "SEIR Evolutionary Game Model Applied to the Evolution and Control of the Medical Waste Disposal Crisis in China during the COVID-19 Outbreak," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(18), pages 1-18, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:14:y:2022:i:18:p:11396-:d:912135
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/14/18/11396/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/14/18/11396/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Tian, Ru-Ya & Zhang, Xue-Fu & Liu, Yi-Jun, 2015. "SSIC model: A multi-layer model for intervention of online rumors spreading," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 427(C), pages 181-191.
    2. Daniel Friedman, 1998. "On economic applications of evolutionary game theory," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 8(1), pages 15-43.
    3. Youwei Yuan & Lanying Du & Xiumei Li & Fan Chen, 2022. "An Evolutionary Game Model of the Supply Decisions between GNPOs and Hospitals during a Public Health Emergency," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(3), pages 1-23, January.
    4. Weber, Gabriel & Cabras, Ignazio & Calaf-Forn, Maria & Puig-Ventosa, Ignasi & D'Alisa, Giacomo, 2019. "Promoting Waste Degrowth and Environmental Justice at a Local Level: The Case of Unit-Pricing Schemes in Spain," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 156(C), pages 306-317.
    5. Hao Yu & Xu Sun & Wei Deng Solvang & Xu Zhao, 2020. "Reverse Logistics Network Design for Effective Management of Medical Waste in Epidemic Outbreaks: Insights from the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Outbreak in Wuhan (China)," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(5), pages 1-25, March.
    6. Chao Wang & Xuan Dong & Yan Zhang & Yiwen Luo, 2021. "Community Resilience Governance on Public Health Crisis in China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(4), pages 1-19, February.
    7. Steffen Unkel & C. Paddy Farrington & Paul H. Garthwaite & Chris Robertson & Nick Andrews, 2012. "Statistical methods for the prospective detection of infectious disease outbreaks: a review," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 175(1), pages 49-82, January.
    8. Youqing Lv & Guojian Ma & Juan Ding, 2022. "Evolutionary Game Analysis of Medical Waste Disposal in China under Different Reward and Penalty Models," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(8), pages 1-19, April.
    9. Ying Sun & Zhaolin Gu, 2022. "Implementation of Construction Waste Recycling under Construction Sustainability Incentives: A Multi-Agent Stochastic Evolutionary Game Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-21, March.
    10. Afşin Yusuf Çetinkaya & S. Levent Kuzu & Ahmet Demir, 2020. "Medical waste management in a mid-populated Turkish city and development of medical waste prediction model," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 22(7), pages 6233-6244, October.
    11. Sabine Kuhlmann & Jochen Franzke, 2022. "Multi-level responses to COVID-19: crisis coordination in Germany from an intergovernmental perspective," Local Government Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(2), pages 312-334, March.
    12. Yaling Deng & Daming You & Yang Zhang, 2021. "Can the Behavioural Spillover Effect Affect the Environmental Regulations Strategy Choice of Local Governments?," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(9), pages 1-24, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Shuwen Zhao & Guojian Ma & Juan Ding, 2023. "Symbiotic Mechanism of Multiple Subjects for the Resource-Based Disposal of Medical Waste in China in the Post-Pandemic Context," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(1), pages 1-19, January.
    2. Dehai Liu & Hongyi Li & Weiguo Wang & Chuang Zhou, 2015. "Scenario forecast model of long term trends in rural labor transfer based on evolutionary games," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 25(3), pages 649-670, July.
    3. Doyo G Enki & Paul H Garthwaite & C Paddy Farrington & Angela Noufaily & Nick J Andrews & Andre Charlett, 2016. "Comparison of Statistical Algorithms for the Detection of Infectious Disease Outbreaks in Large Multiple Surveillance Systems," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 11(8), pages 1-25, August.
    4. Liang Liu & Cong Feng & Hongwei Zhang & Xuehua Zhang, 2015. "Game Analysis and Simulation of the River Basin Sustainable Development Strategy Integrating Water Emission Trading," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 7(5), pages 1-21, April.
    5. Liu, Jicheng & Sun, Jiakang & Yuan, Hanying & Su, Yihan & Feng, Shuxian & Lu, Chaoran, 2022. "Behavior analysis of photovoltaic-storage-use value chain game evolution in blockchain environment," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 260(C).
    6. Liming Zhao & Haihong Zhang & Wenqing Wu, 2019. "Cooperative knowledge creation in an uncertain network environment based on a dynamic knowledge supernetwork," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 119(2), pages 657-685, May.
    7. Min Su & Qiang Wang & Rongrong Li, 2021. "How to Dispose of Medical Waste Caused by COVID-19? A Case Study of China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(22), pages 1-18, November.
    8. Jin, Tao & Jiang, Yulian & Liu, Xingwen, 2023. "Evolutionary game analysis of the impact of dynamic dual credit policy on new energy vehicles after subsidy cancellation," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 440(C).
    9. Xiongwei Quan & Gaoshan Zuo & Helin Sun, 2022. "Risk Perception Thresholds and Their Impact on the Behavior of Nearby Residents in Waste to Energy Project Conflict: An Evolutionary Game Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-20, May.
    10. Wei Wang & Yanbin Li & Jinzhong Li & Yun Li, 2024. "Can pumped-storage power stations stimulate rural revitalization? Evidence from the four-party evolutionary game," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 34(3), pages 595-645, July.
    11. Gabriele Cervino & Luca Fiorillo & Giovanni Surace & Valeria Paduano & Maria Teresa Fiorillo & Rosa De Stefano & Riccardo Laudicella & Sergio Baldari & Michele Gaeta & Marco Cicciù, 2020. "SARS-CoV-2 Persistence: Data Summary up to Q2 2020," Data, MDPI, vol. 5(3), pages 1-16, September.
    12. Wenke Wang & Xiaoqiong You & Kebei Liu & Yenchun Jim Wu & Daming You, 2020. "Implementation of a Multi-Agent Carbon Emission Reduction Strategy under the Chinese Dual Governance System: An Evolutionary Game Theoretical Approach," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(22), pages 1-21, November.
    13. He, Yong & Jiang, Ruipeng & Liao, Nuo, 2023. "How to promote the Chinese Certified Emission Reduction scheme in the carbon market? A study based on tripartite evolutionary game model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 285(C).
    14. Xunjie Cheng & Tao Chen & Yang Yang & Jing Yang & Dayan Wang & Guoqing Hu & Yuelong Shu, 2018. "Using an innovative method to develop the threshold of seasonal influenza epidemic in China," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 13(8), pages 1-13, August.
    15. Christin Schröder & Luis Alberto Peña Diaz & Anna Maria Rohde & Brar Piening & Seven Johannes Sam Aghdassi & Georg Pilarski & Norbert Thoma & Petra Gastmeier & Rasmus Leistner & Michael Behnke, 2020. "Lean back and wait for the alarm? Testing an automated alarm system for nosocomial outbreaks to provide support for infection control professionals," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(1), pages 1-15, January.
    16. Yingrui Ma & Chao Wu & Xindong Wei & Weijun Gao & Lei Sun, 2024. "Evolutionary Dynamics of Passive Housing Initiatives in New Rural Construction," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(13), pages 1-20, June.
    17. Zhuozhuo Gou & Yansong Deng, 2021. "Dynamic Model of Collaboration in Multi-Agent System Based on Evolutionary Game Theory," Games, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-19, October.
    18. Yi Shi & Yan Li, 2022. "An Evolutionary Game Analysis on Green Technological Innovation of New Energy Enterprises under the Heterogeneous Environmental Regulation Perspective," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(10), pages 1-26, May.
    19. Lu, Peng, 2019. "Heterogeneity, judgment, and social trust of agents in rumor spreading," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 350(C), pages 447-461.
    20. Fisher, Eric ON. & Kakkar, Vikas, 2004. "On the evolution of comparative advantage in matching models," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(1), pages 169-193, October.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:14:y:2022:i:18:p:11396-:d:912135. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.