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Techno-Economic Analysis of Indonesia Power Generation Expansion to Achieve Economic Sustainability and Net Zero Carbon 2050

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  • Satria Putra Kanugrahan

    (PT Perusahaan Listrik Negara (Persero), Jakarta 12160, Indonesia
    School of Business and Management, Institut Teknologi Bandung, Bandung 40132, Indonesia)

  • Dzikri Firmansyah Hakam

    (PT Perusahaan Listrik Negara (Persero), Jakarta 12160, Indonesia
    School of Business and Management, Institut Teknologi Bandung, Bandung 40132, Indonesia
    Faculty of Technology and Energy Business, Institut Teknologi PLN, Jakarta 11750, Indonesia)

  • Herry Nugraha

    (PT Perusahaan Listrik Negara (Persero), Jakarta 12160, Indonesia
    Faculty of Technology and Energy Business, Institut Teknologi PLN, Jakarta 11750, Indonesia)

Abstract

Indonesia’s power generation roadmap aspires to achieve 23%, 28%, and 31% of power from renewable energy by 2025, 2038, and 2050, respectively. This study presents a technoeconomic analysis of Indonesia’s power generation development plans using the LEAP model in the post-COVID-19 period, with a focus on achieving the renewable target. In this study, four scenarios were modeled: business as usual (BAU), cost optimization (CO), national plan (NP), and zero-carbon (ZC). The BAU scenario is based on the PLN Electricity Business Plan 2019–2028, which does not include a target for renewable energy. The CO scenario aims to meet the renewable energy mandate at the lowest possible cost. The NP scenario aims to achieve renewable energy, with an additional natural gas target of 22% by 2025 and 25% by 2038. The ZC scenario aims to achieve 100% renewable energy by 2050 at the lowest possible cost. In comparison to the other scenarios, the BAU scenario has the highest total cost of power production, with a total of 180.51 billion USD by 2050. The CO scenario has the lowest total cost of production with a total of 89.21 billion USD; however, it may not be practical to implement.

Suggested Citation

  • Satria Putra Kanugrahan & Dzikri Firmansyah Hakam & Herry Nugraha, 2022. "Techno-Economic Analysis of Indonesia Power Generation Expansion to Achieve Economic Sustainability and Net Zero Carbon 2050," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-25, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:14:y:2022:i:15:p:9038-:d:869868
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    Cited by:

    1. Satria Putra Kanugrahan & Dzikri Firmansyah Hakam, 2023. "Long-Term Scenarios of Indonesia Power Sector to Achieve Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) 2060," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(12), pages 1-23, June.
    2. Hilda Hilmiyati-Mas’adah & Achmad Sudiro & Fatchur Rohman & Agung Yuniarinto & Dzikri Firmansyah Hakam & Herry Nugraha, 2023. "Assessing the Impact of Urban Lifestyle and Consumption Values on Conversion Intention: A Study towards Energy Sustainability," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-18, April.
    3. Mujammil Asdhiyoga Rahmanta & Andrew Cahyo Adhi & Handrea Bernando Tambunan & Wigas Digwijaya & Natalina Damanik & Rahmat Adiprasetya Al Hasibi, 2023. "An Analysis of National Position, Opportunity, and Challenge of Indonesia’s Nuclear Program to Support Net-Zero Emissions by 2060," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(24), pages 1-37, December.
    4. Natalina Damanik & Ririen Clara Octavia & Dzikri Firmansyah Hakam, 2024. "Powering Indonesia’s Future: Reviewing the Road to Electric Vehicles Through Infrastructure, Policy, and Economic Growth," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(24), pages 1-16, December.

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