IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v13y2021i8p4104-d531519.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Impact of Climate Change on Wind and Photovoltaic Energy Resources in the Canary Islands and Adjacent Regions

Author

Listed:
  • Claudia Gutiérrez

    (Environmental Science Institute, University of Castilla-La Mancha, 45071 Toledo, Spain)

  • Alba de la Vara

    (Environmental Science Institute, University of Castilla-La Mancha, 45071 Toledo, Spain
    Departamento de Matemática Aplicada a la Ingeniería Industrial, E.T.S.I. Industriales, Universidad Politécnica de Madrid, 28006 Madrid, Spain)

  • Juan Jesús González-Alemán

    (Departament of Earth Physics and Astrophysics, Complutense University of Madrid, 28040 Madrid, Spain)

  • Miguel Ángel Gaertner

    (Environmental Sciences and Biochemistry Faculty, University of Castilla-La Mancha, 45071 Toledo, Spain)

Abstract

The progressive energy transition to systems with higher shares of renewable energy is particularly important in islands regions, which are largely dependent on energy imports. In this context, to assess the impact of climate change on renewable energy resources during the 21st century is crucial for polycimakers and stakeholders. In this work, we provide an overview of wind and photovoltaic (PV) resources, its variability and complementarity between them, as well as their future changes, in the Canary Islands and surrounding areas. Variability is assessed through the analysis of energy droughts (low-productivity periods). In addition, a sensitivity test is performed to find the optimal combination of PV (photovoltaic) and wind that reduce energy droughts and the persistence of that conditions at a local scale. A set of climate simulations from the MENA-CORDEX runs are used, in present and future climate (2046–2065, 2081–2100) for two different scenarios (RCP2.6, RCP8.5). Results show different changes in wind productivity depending on the scenario: a decrease in RCP2.6 and an increase in the RCP8.5. PV experienced a subtle decrease, with some exceptions. Changes in variability are small and the complementarity test shows that high shares of PV energy (above 50%) reduce both, energy droughts and the persistence of drought conditions.

Suggested Citation

  • Claudia Gutiérrez & Alba de la Vara & Juan Jesús González-Alemán & Miguel Ángel Gaertner, 2021. "Impact of Climate Change on Wind and Photovoltaic Energy Resources in the Canary Islands and Adjacent Regions," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(8), pages 1-32, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:13:y:2021:i:8:p:4104-:d:531519
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/13/8/4104/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/13/8/4104/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. François, B. & Borga, M. & Creutin, J.D. & Hingray, B. & Raynaud, D. & Sauterleute, J.F., 2016. "Complementarity between solar and hydro power: Sensitivity study to climate characteristics in Northern-Italy," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 543-553.
    2. Paul Lehmann & Patrik Söderholm, 2018. "Can Technology-Specific Deployment Policies Be Cost-Effective? The Case of Renewable Energy Support Schemes," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 71(2), pages 475-505, October.
    3. Raynaud, D. & Hingray, B. & François, B. & Creutin, J.D., 2018. "Energy droughts from variable renewable energy sources in European climates," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 578-589.
    4. Jerez, S. & Thais, F. & Tobin, I. & Wild, M. & Colette, A. & Yiou, P. & Vautard, R., 2015. "The CLIMIX model: A tool to create and evaluate spatially-resolved scenarios of photovoltaic and wind power development," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 1-15.
    5. Jerez, S. & Tobin, I. & Turco, M. & Jiménez-Guerrero, P. & Vautard, R. & Montávez, J.P., 2019. "Future changes, or lack thereof, in the temporal variability of the combined wind-plus-solar power production in Europe," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 251-260.
    6. Pérez, Juan C. & González, Albano & Díaz, Juan P. & Expósito, Francisco J. & Felipe, Jonatan, 2019. "Climate change impact on future photovoltaic resource potential in an orographically complex archipelago, the Canary Islands," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 133(C), pages 749-759.
    7. Pérez Odeh, Rodrigo & Watts, David & Flores, Yarela, 2018. "Planning in a changing environment: Applications of portfolio optimisation to deal with risk in the electricity sector," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 82(P3), pages 3808-3823.
    8. Isabelle Tobin & Robert Vautard & Irena Balog & François-Marie Bréon & Sonia Jerez & Paolo Ruti & Françoise Thais & Mathieu Vrac & Pascal Yiou, 2015. "Assessing climate change impacts on European wind energy from ENSEMBLES high-resolution climate projections," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 128(1), pages 99-112, January.
    9. Caroline De Oliveira Costa Souza Rosa & Kelly Alonso Costa & Eliane Da Silva Christo & Pâmela Braga Bertahone, 2017. "Complementarity of Hydro, Photovoltaic, and Wind Power in Rio de Janeiro State," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(7), pages 1-12, June.
    10. Koletsis, I. & Kotroni, V. & Lagouvardos, K. & Soukissian, T., 2016. "Assessment of offshore wind speed and power potential over the Mediterranean and the Black Seas under future climate changes," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 234-245.
    11. Kaldellis, J.K. & Kapsali, M., 2013. "Shifting towards offshore wind energy—Recent activity and future development," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 136-148.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Maria Meirelles & Fernanda Carvalho & João Porteiro & Diamantino Henriques & Patrícia Navarro & Helena Vasconcelos, 2022. "Climate Change and Impact on Renewable Energies in the Azores Strategic Visions for Sustainability," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(22), pages 1-17, November.
    2. Jung, Christopher & Schindler, Dirk, 2022. "A review of recent studies on wind resource projections under climate change," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 165(C).
    3. Vázquez, Rubén & Cabos, William & Nieto-Borge, José Carlos & Gutiérrez, Claudia, 2024. "Complementarity of offshore energy resources on the Spanish coasts: Wind, wave, and photovoltaic energy," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 224(C).
    4. Cruz-Pérez, Noelia & Santamarta, Juan C. & Rodríguez-Martín, Jesica & Beltrán, Rubén Fuentes & García-Gil, Alejandro, 2023. "Photovoltaic potential of public buildings in a world Heritage city: The case of San Cristóbal de La Laguna (Canary Islands, Spain)," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 209(C), pages 357-364.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Vázquez, Rubén & Cabos, William & Nieto-Borge, José Carlos & Gutiérrez, Claudia, 2024. "Complementarity of offshore energy resources on the Spanish coasts: Wind, wave, and photovoltaic energy," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 224(C).
    2. Karadöl, İsrafil & Yıldız, Ceyhun & Şekkeli, Mustafa, 2021. "Determining optimal spatial and temporal complementarity between wind and hydropower," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
    3. Alexis Tantet & Marc Stéfanon & Philippe Drobinski & Jordi Badosa & Silvia Concettini & Anna Cretì & Claudia D’Ambrosio & Dimitri Thomopulos & Peter Tankov, 2019. "e 4 clim 1.0: The Energy for a Climate Integrated Model: Description and Application to Italy," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(22), pages 1-37, November.
    4. Soares, Pedro M.M. & Lima, Daniela C.A. & Cardoso, Rita M. & Nascimento, Manuel L. & Semedo, Alvaro, 2017. "Western Iberian offshore wind resources: More or less in a global warming climate?," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 203(C), pages 72-90.
    5. Bracken, Cameron & Voisin, Nathalie & Burleyson, Casey D. & Campbell, Allison M. & Hou, Z. Jason & Broman, Daniel, 2024. "Standardized benchmark of historical compound wind and solar energy droughts across the Continental United States," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 220(C).
    6. Kapica, Jacek & Jurasz, Jakub & Canales, Fausto A. & Bloomfield, Hannah & Guezgouz, Mohammed & De Felice, Matteo & Zbigniew, Kobus, 2024. "The potential impact of climate change on European renewable energy droughts," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 189(PA).
    7. Aina Maimó-Far & Alexis Tantet & Víctor Homar & Philippe Drobinski, 2020. "Predictable and Unpredictable Climate Variability Impacts on Optimal Renewable Energy Mixes: The Example of Spain," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(19), pages 1-25, October.
    8. Handriyanti Diah Puspitarini & Baptiste François & Marco Baratieri & Casey Brown & Mattia Zaramella & Marco Borga, 2020. "Complementarity between Combined Heat and Power Systems, Solar PV and Hydropower at a District Level: Sensitivity to Climate Characteristics along an Alpine Transect," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(16), pages 1-19, August.
    9. Zhang, Shuangyi & Li, Xichen, 2021. "Future projections of offshore wind energy resources in China using CMIP6 simulations and a deep learning-based downscaling method," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
    10. Vu Dinh, Quang & Doan, Quang-Van & Ngo-Duc, Thanh & Nguyen Dinh, Van & Dinh Duc, Nguyen, 2022. "Offshore wind resource in the context of global climate change over a tropical area," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 308(C).
    11. Baptiste François & Benoit Hingray & Marco Borga & Davide Zoccatelli & Casey Brown & Jean-Dominique Creutin, 2018. "Impact of Climate Change on Combined Solar and Run-of-River Power in Northern Italy," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-22, January.
    12. deCastro, M. & Rusu, L. & Arguilé-Pérez, B. & Ribeiro, A. & Costoya, X. & Carvalho, D. & Gómez-Gesteira, M., 2024. "Different approaches to analyze the impact of future climate change on the exploitation of wave energy," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 220(C).
    13. Katopodis, Theodoros & Markantonis, Iason & Vlachogiannis, Diamando & Politi, Nadia & Sfetsos, Athanasios, 2021. "Assessing climate change impacts on wind characteristics in Greece through high resolution regional climate modelling," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 179(C), pages 427-444.
    14. Santos, F. & Gómez-Gesteira, M. & deCastro, M. & Añel, J.A. & Carvalho, D. & Costoya, Xurxo & Dias, J.M., 2018. "On the accuracy of CORDEX RCMs to project future winds over the Iberian Peninsula and surrounding ocean," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 228(C), pages 289-300.
    15. Hanieh Seyedhashemi & Benoît Hingray & Christophe Lavaysse & Théo Chamarande, 2021. "The Impact of Low-Resource Periods on the Reliability of Wind Power Systems for Rural Electrification in Africa," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-18, May.
    16. Tolga Kara & Ahmet Duran Şahin, 2023. "Implications of Climate Change on Wind Energy Potential," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(20), pages 1-26, October.
    17. Emmanouil, Stergios & Nikolopoulos, Efthymios I. & François, Baptiste & Brown, Casey & Anagnostou, Emmanouil N., 2021. "Evaluating existing water supply reservoirs as small-scale pumped hydroelectric storage options – A case study in Connecticut," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
    18. Monforti, F. & Gaetani, M. & Vignati, E., 2016. "How synchronous is wind energy production among European countries?," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 1622-1638.
    19. Marianna Rotilio & Chiara Marchionni & Pierluigi De Berardinis, 2017. "The Small-Scale Hydropower Plants in Sites of Environmental Value: An Italian Case Study," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(12), pages 1-15, November.
    20. Zappa, William & van den Broek, Machteld, 2018. "Analysing the potential of integrating wind and solar power in Europe using spatial optimisation under various scenarios," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 1192-1216.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:13:y:2021:i:8:p:4104-:d:531519. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.