IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v13y2021i16p8771-d609188.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Dynamic Decision-Making Process of Evacuees during Post-Earthquake Evacuation near an Automatic Flap Barrier Gate System: A Broken Windows Perspective

Author

Listed:
  • Yu Song

    (School of Public Administration, Huazhong Agricultural University, Wuhan 430072, China)

  • Jia Liu

    (School of Information and Safety Engineering, Zhongnan University of Economics and Law, Wuhan 430073, China)

  • Qian Liu

    (School of Public Administration, Huazhong Agricultural University, Wuhan 430072, China)

Abstract

The automatic flap barrier gate system (AFBGS) plays a critical role in building security, but it is more vulnerable to natural hazards than common exits (including power failure, due to earthquakes, and delayed evacuation, due to safety certification, etc.). This article considers a dynamic decision-making process of evacuees during post-earthquake evacuation near an AFBGS. An interesting metaphor, broken windows (BW), is utilized to interpret people’s actual behavior during evacuation. A multi-stage decision-making mechanism of evacuees is developed to characterize the instantaneous transition among three defined stages: Habitual, mild, and radical states. Then, we build a modified three-layer social force model to reproduce the interaction between evacuees based on an actual post-earthquake evacuation. The simulations reveal that BW provides a contextualized understanding of emergency evacuation with a similar effect to the traditional metaphor. An earlier appearance of a mild rule breaker leads to a higher crowd evacuation efficiency. If evacuees maintain the state of broken windows behavior (BWB), the crowd evacuation efficiency can be improved significantly. Contrary to the criminological interpretation, the overall effect of mild BWB is positive, but the radical BWB is encouraged under the command of guiders.

Suggested Citation

  • Yu Song & Jia Liu & Qian Liu, 2021. "Dynamic Decision-Making Process of Evacuees during Post-Earthquake Evacuation near an Automatic Flap Barrier Gate System: A Broken Windows Perspective," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(16), pages 1-19, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:13:y:2021:i:16:p:8771-:d:609188
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/13/16/8771/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/13/16/8771/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Guo, R.Y. & Huang, H.J., 2008. "A mobile lattice gas model for simulating pedestrian evacuation," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 387(2), pages 580-586.
    2. Dirk Helbing & Illés Farkas & Tamás Vicsek, 2000. "Simulating dynamical features of escape panic," Nature, Nature, vol. 407(6803), pages 487-490, September.
    3. Li, Yang & Chen, Maoyin & Dou, Zhan & Zheng, Xiaoping & Cheng, Yuan & Mebarki, Ahmed, 2019. "A review of cellular automata models for crowd evacuation," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 526(C).
    4. Guo, Ren-Yong & Huang, Hai-Jun & Wong, S.C., 2012. "Route choice in pedestrian evacuation under conditions of good and zero visibility: Experimental and simulation results," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 46(6), pages 669-686.
    5. Song, Weiguo & Xu, Xuan & Wang, Bing-Hong & Ni, Shunjiang, 2006. "Simulation of evacuation processes using a multi-grid model for pedestrian dynamics," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 363(2), pages 492-500.
    6. Li, Shuang & Yu, Xiaohui & Zhang, Yanjuan & Zhai, Changhai, 2018. "A numerical simulation strategy on occupant evacuation behaviors and casualty prediction in a building during earthquakes," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 490(C), pages 1238-1250.
    7. Yue, Hao & Guan, Hongzhi & Shao, Chunfu & Zhang, Xu, 2011. "Simulation of pedestrian evacuation with asymmetrical exits layout," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 390(2), pages 198-207.
    8. Mei-Ling Xiao & Yao Zhang & Benyu Liu, 2017. "Simulation of primary school-aged children’s earthquake evacuation in rural town," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 87(3), pages 1783-1806, July.
    9. Liu, Qian, 2018. "A social force model for the crowd evacuation in a terrorist attack," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 502(C), pages 315-330.
    10. Zheng, Ying & Jia, Bin & Li, Xin-Gang & Zhu, Nuo, 2011. "Evacuation dynamics with fire spreading based on cellular automaton," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 390(18), pages 3147-3156.
    11. Guo, Xiwei & Chen, Jianqiao & Zheng, Yaochen & Wei, Junhong, 2012. "A heterogeneous lattice gas model for simulating pedestrian evacuation," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(3), pages 582-592.
    12. Burstedde, C & Klauck, K & Schadschneider, A & Zittartz, J, 2001. "Simulation of pedestrian dynamics using a two-dimensional cellular automaton," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 295(3), pages 507-525.
    13. Hoogendoorn, S. P. & Bovy, P. H. L., 2004. "Pedestrian route-choice and activity scheduling theory and models," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 38(2), pages 169-190, February.
    14. Zhang, Hao & Liu, Hong & Qin, Xin & Liu, Baoxi, 2018. "Modified two-layer social force model for emergency earthquake evacuation," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 492(C), pages 1107-1119.
    15. Gabriele Prati & Elisa Saccinto & Luca Pietrantoni & Carles Pérez-Testor, 2013. "The 2012 Northern Italy Earthquakes: modelling human behaviour," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 69(1), pages 99-113, October.
    16. Kirchner, Ansgar & Schadschneider, Andreas, 2002. "Simulation of evacuation processes using a bionics-inspired cellular automaton model for pedestrian dynamics," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 312(1), pages 260-276.
    17. X Chen & F B Zhan, 2008. "Agent-based modelling and simulation of urban evacuation: relative effectiveness of simultaneous and staged evacuation strategies," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 59(1), pages 25-33, January.
    18. O'Brien, Daniel T. & Farrell, Chelsea & Welsh, Brandon C., 2019. "Broken (windows) theory: A meta-analysis of the evidence for the pathways from neighborhood disorder to resident health outcomes and behaviors," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 228(C), pages 272-292.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Mohammed Mahmod Shuaib, 2021. "An Extension of the Exit Choice Model: Considering the Variance in the Perspectives of Evacuees When Interacting with the Spread of Fire," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(1), pages 1-18, December.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Tamang, Nutthavuth & Sun, Yi, 2023. "Application of the dynamic Monte Carlo method to pedestrian evacuation dynamics," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 445(C).
    2. Miyagawa, Daiki & Ichinose, Genki, 2020. "Cellular automaton model with turning behavior in crowd evacuation," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 549(C).
    3. Liu, Qian, 2018. "A social force model for the crowd evacuation in a terrorist attack," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 502(C), pages 315-330.
    4. Li, Jun & Fu, Siyao & He, Haibo & Jia, Hongfei & Li, Yanzhong & Guo, Yi, 2015. "Simulating large-scale pedestrian movement using CA and event driven model: Methodology and case study," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 437(C), pages 304-321.
    5. Huang, Rong & Zhao, Xuan & Zhou, Chenyu & Kong, Lingchen & Liu, Chengqing & Yu, Qiang, 2022. "Static floor field construction and fine discrete cellular automaton model: Algorithms, simulations and insights," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 606(C).
    6. Liu, Qian, 2018. "The effect of dedicated exit on the evacuation of heterogeneous pedestrians," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 506(C), pages 305-323.
    7. Cao, Shuchao & Song, Weiguo & Lv, Wei & Fang, Zhiming, 2015. "A multi-grid model for pedestrian evacuation in a room without visibility," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 436(C), pages 45-61.
    8. Geng, Zhongfei & Li, Xingli & Kuang, Hua & Bai, Xuecen & Fan, Yanhong, 2019. "Effect of uncertain information on pedestrian dynamics under adverse sight conditions," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 521(C), pages 681-691.
    9. Zhou, Zi-Xuan & Nakanishi, Wataru & Asakura, Yasuo, 2021. "Route choice in the pedestrian evacuation: Microscopic formulation based on visual information," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 562(C).
    10. Zou, Baobao & Lu, Chunxia & Mao, Shirong & Li, Yi, 2020. "Effect of pedestrian judgement on evacuation efficiency considering hesitation," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 547(C).
    11. Guo, Xiwei & Chen, Jianqiao & Zheng, Yaochen & Wei, Junhong, 2012. "A heterogeneous lattice gas model for simulating pedestrian evacuation," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(3), pages 582-592.
    12. Li, Xingli & Guo, Fang & Kuang, Hua & Geng, Zhongfei & Fan, Yanhong, 2019. "An extended cost potential field cellular automaton model for pedestrian evacuation considering the restriction of visual field," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 515(C), pages 47-56.
    13. Haghani, Milad, 2021. "The knowledge domain of crowd dynamics: Anatomy of the field, pioneering studies, temporal trends, influential entities and outside-domain impact," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 580(C).
    14. Fu, Zhijian & Yang, Lizhong & Chen, Yanqiu & Zhu, Kongjin & Zhu, Shi, 2013. "The effect of individual tendency on crowd evacuation efficiency under inhomogeneous exit attraction using a static field modified FFCA model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(23), pages 6090-6099.
    15. Cheng, Zhiyang & Yue, Hao & Zhang, Ning & Zhang, Xu, 2024. "Research on mechanism and simulation for avoiding behavior of individual pedestrian," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 634(C).
    16. Guo, Xiwei & Chen, Jianqiao & You, Suozhu & Wei, Junhong, 2013. "Modeling of pedestrian evacuation under fire emergency based on an extended heterogeneous lattice gas model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(9), pages 1994-2006.
    17. Hou, Lei & Liu, Jian-Guo & Pan, Xue & Wang, Bing-Hong, 2014. "A social force evacuation model with the leadership effect," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 400(C), pages 93-99.
    18. Guo, Ren-Yong, 2014. "New insights into discretization effects in cellular automata models for pedestrian evacuation," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 400(C), pages 1-11.
    19. Chen, Changkun & Sun, Huakai & Lei, Peng & Zhao, Dongyue & Shi, Congling, 2021. "An extended model for crowd evacuation considering pedestrian panic in artificial attack," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 571(C).
    20. Yue, Hao & Zhang, Junyao & Chen, Wenxin & Wu, Xinsen & Zhang, Xu & Shao, Chunfu, 2021. "Simulation of the influence of spatial obstacles on evacuation pedestrian flow in walking facilities," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 571(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:13:y:2021:i:16:p:8771-:d:609188. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.