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A Framework for Introducing Climate-Change Adaptation in Pavement Management

Author

Listed:
  • Jayne F. Knott

    (JFK Environmental Services LLC, Upton, MA 01568, USA)

  • Jennifer M. Jacobs

    (Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of New Hampshire, Durham, NH 03824, USA)

  • Jo E. Sias

    (Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of New Hampshire, Durham, NH 03824, USA)

  • Paul Kirshen

    (School for the Environment, University of Massachusetts-Boston, Boston, MA 02125, USA)

  • Eshan V. Dave

    (Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of New Hampshire, Durham, NH 03824, USA)

Abstract

Greenhouse gas emissions have caused global temperatures to rise since the mid-20th century accompanied by sea-level rise (SLR). Temperature increases and SLR-induced groundwater rise have been shown to cause premature pavement failure in many roadway structures. Hybrid bottom-up/top-down (hybrid) adaptation approaches have shown promise by initially investigating an asset’s response to incremental environmental change and then identifying the timing of critical effects for budgetary planning. This improves practitioners’ understanding of the asset’s climate resiliency and informs adaptation-plan development to minimize both cost and risk. In this study, a hybrid approach to pavement adaptation with climate-change-induced temperature and groundwater rise is demonstrated at a case-study site in coastal New Hampshire. The hot-mix-asphalt (HMA) thickness that achieves a minimum of 85% reliability is calculated for 70 combinations of incremental temperature and groundwater rise. Increasing the base-layer thickness improves resiliency against rising temperatures, but rising groundwater diminishes this improvement demonstrating that both HMA and base-layer thickness increases are needed. Thirteen adaptation pathways are evaluated for pavement performance, life-cycle costs, and road-surface inundation over a 60-year pavement management period. A stepwise and flexible adaptation plan is developed that includes HMA overlays with prescribed thickness and application timing, base-layer rehabilitation options, and re-evaluation opportunities.

Suggested Citation

  • Jayne F. Knott & Jennifer M. Jacobs & Jo E. Sias & Paul Kirshen & Eshan V. Dave, 2019. "A Framework for Introducing Climate-Change Adaptation in Pavement Management," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(16), pages 1-23, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:11:y:2019:i:16:p:4382-:d:257253
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Thives, Liseane Padilha & Ghisi, Enedir, 2017. "Asphalt mixtures emission and energy consumption: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 473-484.
    2. Jan Kwakkel & Marjolijn Haasnoot & Warren Walker, 2015. "Developing dynamic adaptive policy pathways: a computer-assisted approach for developing adaptive strategies for a deeply uncertain world," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 132(3), pages 373-386, October.
    3. Robert M. DeConto & David Pollard, 2016. "Contribution of Antarctica to past and future sea-level rise," Nature, Nature, vol. 531(7596), pages 591-597, March.
    4. Patrick A. Ray & Casey M. Brown, 2015. "Confronting Climate Uncertainty in Water Resources Planning and Project Design," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 22544.
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    Cited by:

    1. Victor Hugo Souza de Abreu & Andrea Souza Santos & Thaís Guedes Máximo Monteiro, 2022. "Climate Change Impacts on the Road Transport Infrastructure: A Systematic Review on Adaptation Measures," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-22, July.
    2. Johan Larsson & Lisa Larsson, 2020. "Integration, Application and Importance of Collaboration in Sustainable Project Management," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-17, January.
    3. Yaning Qiao & Andrew R. Dawson & Tony Parry & Gerardo Flintsch & Wenshun Wang, 2020. "Flexible Pavements and Climate Change: A Comprehensive Review and Implications," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-21, February.

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