IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/nathaz/v103y2020i2d10.1007_s11069-020-04053-1.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Climate-driven migration: prioritizing cultural resources threatened by secondary impacts of climate change

Author

Listed:
  • Frankie St. Amand

    (University of Maine
    University of Maine)

  • Daniel H. Sandweiss

    (University of Maine
    University of Maine
    University of Maine, 5790 Bryand Global Sciences Center)

  • Alice R. Kelley

    (University of Maine
    University of Maine
    University of Maine, 5790 Bryand Global Sciences Center)

Abstract

Archaeological sites are increasingly threatened by primary impacts of climate change, including sea-level rise, flooding, and erosion. These important sites represent cultural heritage and contain unique past environmental, ecological, and climate information. Stewardship of these cultural resources is generally limited to mitigation and salvage of immediately threatened sites, with little forethought given to secondary impacts of climate change. Secondary impacts are defined in this paper as climate-driven resettlement and associated development and may result in destruction of archaeological sites via resettlement of affected populations. The United Nations predicts increases above existing rates of resettlement of climate-affected communities from areas in which in situ infrastructure adaptations are not economically feasible, legal, or physically possible. Resulting development will likely disturb archaeological sites in interior regions. These cultural, environmental, and climate archives may be lost if urgent, unplanned climate-driven resettlement overwhelms state and local protections. Thus, planning for climate-driven resettlement should include standard methods for assessing threats to archaeological sites. Using Southern Maine as a pilot study, we report a trial methodology for identifying towns likely to experience rapid increases in population and infrastructure development related to climate-driven resettlement. Socioeconomic and demographic data, land cover change analyses, and archaeological records are combined in this risk assessment framework. The products are town-level maps that identify archaeological sites threatened by secondary impacts of climate change (climate-driven migration). This tool enables prioritization of threatened sites prior to potential destruction by large-scale migration and associated economic development and makes timely development compliance with federal and state legislation more likely.

Suggested Citation

  • Frankie St. Amand & Daniel H. Sandweiss & Alice R. Kelley, 2020. "Climate-driven migration: prioritizing cultural resources threatened by secondary impacts of climate change," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 103(2), pages 1761-1781, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:103:y:2020:i:2:d:10.1007_s11069-020-04053-1
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-020-04053-1
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11069-020-04053-1
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11069-020-04053-1?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jonathan Eyer & Robert Dinterman & Noah Miller & Adam Rose, 2018. "The Effect of Disasters on Migration Destinations: Evidence from Hurricane Katrina," Economics of Disasters and Climate Change, Springer, vol. 2(1), pages 91-106, April.
    2. Robert M. DeConto & David Pollard, 2016. "Contribution of Antarctica to past and future sea-level rise," Nature, Nature, vol. 531(7596), pages 591-597, March.
    3. Erika E. Lentz & E. Robert Thieler & Nathaniel G. Plant & Sawyer R. Stippa & Radley M. Horton & Dean B. Gesch, 2016. "Evaluation of dynamic coastal response to sea-level rise modifies inundation likelihood," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 6(7), pages 696-700, July.
    4. Frances C. Moore & Nick Obradovich, 2020. "Using remarkability to define coastal flooding thresholds," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 11(1), pages 1-8, December.
    5. Jennifer Irish & Alison Sleath & Mary Cialone & Thomas Knutson & Robert Jensen, 2014. "Simulations of Hurricane Katrina (2005) under sea level and climate conditions for 1900," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 122(4), pages 635-649, February.
    6. Mathew E. Hauer, 2017. "Migration induced by sea-level rise could reshape the US population landscape," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 7(5), pages 321-325, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Cara Nissen & Ralph Timmermann & Mario Hoppema & Özgür Gürses & Judith Hauck, 2022. "Abruptly attenuated carbon sequestration with Weddell Sea dense waters by 2100," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-14, December.
    2. T.M.L. Wigley, 2018. "The Paris warming targets: emissions requirements and sea level consequences," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 147(1), pages 31-45, March.
    3. Le Bars, Dewi, 2018. "Uncertainty in sea level rise projections due to the dependence between contributors," Earth Arxiv uvw3s, Center for Open Science.
    4. Tony E. Wong & Alexander M. R. Bakker & Klaus Keller, 2017. "Impacts of Antarctic fast dynamics on sea-level projections and coastal flood defense," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 144(2), pages 347-364, September.
    5. Tom Wilson & Irina Grossman & Monica Alexander & Phil Rees & Jeromey Temple, 2022. "Methods for Small Area Population Forecasts: State-of-the-Art and Research Needs," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer;Southern Demographic Association (SDA), vol. 41(3), pages 865-898, June.
    6. Byungdoo Kim & David L. Kay & Jonathon P. Schuldt, 2021. "Will I have to move because of climate change? Perceived likelihood of weather- or climate-related relocation among the US public," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 165(1), pages 1-8, March.
    7. Klaus Desmet & Robert E. Kopp & Scott A. Kulp & Dávid Krisztián Nagy & Michael Oppenheimer & Esteban Rossi-Hansberg & Benjamin H. Strauss, 2021. "Evaluating the Economic Cost of Coastal Flooding," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 13(2), pages 444-486, April.
    8. Marion Borderon & Patrick Sakdapolrak & Raya Muttarak & Endale Kebede & Raffaella Pagogna & Eva Sporer, 2019. "Migration influenced by environmental change in Africa: A systematic review of empirical evidence," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 41(18), pages 491-544.
    9. D. J. Rasmussen & Scott Kulp & Robert E. Kopp & Michael Oppenheimer & Benjamin H. Strauss, 2022. "Popular extreme sea level metrics can better communicate impacts," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 170(3), pages 1-17, February.
    10. Kelsea Best & Qian He & Allison C. Reilly & Deb A. Niemeier & Mitchell Anderson & Tom Logan, 2023. "Demographics and risk of isolation due to sea level rise in the United States," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-9, December.
    11. Jack DeWaard & Mathew Hauer & Elizabeth Fussell & Katherine J. Curtis & Stephan D. Whitaker & Kathryn McConnell & Kobie Price & David Egan-Robertson & Michael Soto & Catalina Anampa Castro, 2022. "User Beware: Concerning Findings from the Post 2011–2012 U.S. Internal Revenue Service Migration Data," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer;Southern Demographic Association (SDA), vol. 41(2), pages 437-448, April.
    12. Heather M. Stoll & Isabel Cacho & Edward Gasson & Jakub Sliwinski & Oliver Kost & Ana Moreno & Miguel Iglesias & Judit Torner & Carlos Perez-Mejias & Negar Haghipour & Hai Cheng & R. Lawrence Edwards, 2022. "Rapid northern hemisphere ice sheet melting during the penultimate deglaciation," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-16, December.
    13. Davis, Melanie J. & Woo, Isa & De La Cruz, Susan E.W., 2019. "Development and implementation of an empirical habitat change model and decision support tool for estuarine ecosystems," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 410(C), pages 1-1.
    14. Bryan Jones & Fernando Riosmena & Daniel H. Simon & Deborah Balk, 2019. "Estimating Internal Migration in Contemporary Mexico and its Relevance in Gridded Population Distributions," Data, MDPI, vol. 4(2), pages 1-16, April.
    15. Matthew D. Palmer & Benjamin J. Harrison & Jonathan M. Gregory & Helene T. Hewitt & Jason A. Lowe & Jennifer H. Weeks, 2024. "A framework for physically consistent storylines of UK future mean sea level rise," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 177(7), pages 1-24, July.
    16. James R. Jordan & B. W. J. Miles & G. H. Gudmundsson & S. S. R. Jamieson & A. Jenkins & C. R. Stokes, 2023. "Increased warm water intrusions could cause mass loss in East Antarctica during the next 200 years," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-11, December.
    17. Theodore G. Shepherd & Emily Boyd & Raphael A. Calel & Sandra C. Chapman & Suraje Dessai & Ioana M. Dima-West & Hayley J. Fowler & Rachel James & Douglas Maraun & Olivia Martius & Catherine A. Senior , 2018. "Storylines: an alternative approach to representing uncertainty in physical aspects of climate change," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 151(3), pages 555-571, December.
    18. David Rodziewicz & Christopher J. Amante & Jacob Dice & Eugene Wahl, 2022. "Housing market impairment from future sea-level rise inundation," Environment Systems and Decisions, Springer, vol. 42(4), pages 637-656, December.
    19. R. Dean Hardy & Bryan L. Nuse, 2016. "Global sea-level rise: weighing country responsibility and risk," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 137(3), pages 333-345, August.
    20. Anna Ruth W. Halberstadt & Edward Gasson & David Pollard & James Marschalek & Robert M. DeConto, 2024. "Geologically constrained 2-million-year-long simulations of Antarctic Ice Sheet retreat and expansion through the Pliocene," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-16, December.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:103:y:2020:i:2:d:10.1007_s11069-020-04053-1. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.