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Deep Generators on Commodity Markets Application to Deep Hedging

Author

Listed:
  • Nicolas Boursin

    (EDF Lab Singapore, 1 Lor 2 Toa Payoh, #04-02 Braddell House, Singapore 319637, Singapore)

  • Carl Remlinger

    (LAMA, Université Gustave Eiffel, 16 Bd Newton, 77420 Champs-sur-Marne, France
    FiME Laboratory, EDF Lab, Bd Gaspard Monge, 91120 Palaiseau, France)

  • Joseph Mikael

    (FiME Laboratory, EDF Lab, Bd Gaspard Monge, 91120 Palaiseau, France)

Abstract

Four deep generative methods for time series are studied on commodity markets and compared with classical probabilistic models. The lack of data in the case of deep hedgers is a common flaw, which deep generative methods seek to address. In the specific case of commodities, it turns out that these generators can also be used to refine the price models by tackling the high-dimensional challenges. In this work, the synthetic time series of commodity prices produced by such generators are studied and then used to train deep hedgers on various options. A fully data-driven approach to commodity risk management is thus proposed, from synthetic price generation to learning risk hedging policies.

Suggested Citation

  • Nicolas Boursin & Carl Remlinger & Joseph Mikael, 2022. "Deep Generators on Commodity Markets Application to Deep Hedging," Risks, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-18, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jrisks:v:11:y:2022:i:1:p:7-:d:1013290
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hutchinson, James M & Lo, Andrew W & Poggio, Tomaso, 1994. "A Nonparametric Approach to Pricing and Hedging Derivative Securities via Learning Networks," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 49(3), pages 851-889, July.
    2. Julio Backhoff-Veraguas & Daniel Bartl & Mathias Beiglböck & Manu Eder, 2020. "Adapted Wasserstein distances and stability in mathematical finance," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 24(3), pages 601-632, July.
    3. Julio Backhoff-Veraguas & Daniel Bartl & Mathias Beiglbock & Manu Eder, 2019. "Adapted Wasserstein Distances and Stability in Mathematical Finance," Papers 1901.07450, arXiv.org, revised May 2020.
    4. Schwartz, Eduardo S, 1997. "The Stochastic Behavior of Commodity Prices: Implications for Valuation and Hedging," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 52(3), pages 923-973, July.
    5. Magnus Wiese & Robert Knobloch & Ralf Korn & Peter Kretschmer, 2020. "Quant GANs: deep generation of financial time series," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(9), pages 1419-1440, September.
    6. Thomas Deschatre & Olivier F'eron & Pierre Gruet, 2021. "A survey of electricity spot and futures price models for risk management applications," Papers 2103.16918, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2021.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Ali Fathi & Bernhard Hientzsch, 2023. "A Comparison of Reinforcement Learning and Deep Trajectory Based Stochastic Control Agents for Stepwise Mean-Variance Hedging," Papers 2302.07996, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2023.
    2. Nacira Agram & Bernt Øksendal & Jan Rems, 2024. "Deep learning for quadratic hedging in incomplete jump market," Digital Finance, Springer, vol. 6(3), pages 463-499, September.
    3. Nacira Agram & Bernt {O}ksendal & Jan Rems, 2024. "Deep learning for quadratic hedging in incomplete jump market," Papers 2407.13688, arXiv.org.
    4. Bernhard Hientzsch, 2023. "Reinforcement Learning and Deep Stochastic Optimal Control for Final Quadratic Hedging," Papers 2401.08600, arXiv.org.

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