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Deep Generators on Commodity Markets; application to Deep Hedging

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  • Nicolas Boursin
  • Carl Remlinger
  • Joseph Mikael
  • Carol Anne Hargreaves

Abstract

Driven by the good results obtained in computer vision, deep generative methods for time series have been the subject of particular attention in recent years, particularly from the financial industry. In this article, we focus on commodity markets and test four state-of-the-art generative methods, namely Time Series Generative Adversarial Network (GAN) Yoon et al. [2019], Causal Optimal Transport GAN Xu et al. [2020], Signature GAN Ni et al. [2020] and the conditional Euler generator Remlinger et al. [2021], are adapted and tested on commodity time series. A first series of experiments deals with the joint generation of historical time series on commodities. A second set deals with deep hedging of commodity options trained on he generated time series. This use case illustrates a purely data-driven approach to risk hedging.

Suggested Citation

  • Nicolas Boursin & Carl Remlinger & Joseph Mikael & Carol Anne Hargreaves, 2022. "Deep Generators on Commodity Markets; application to Deep Hedging," Papers 2205.13942, arXiv.org.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2205.13942
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    7. Schwartz, Eduardo S, 1997. "The Stochastic Behavior of Commodity Prices: Implications for Valuation and Hedging," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 52(3), pages 923-973, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Nacira Agram & Bernt Øksendal & Jan Rems, 2024. "Deep learning for quadratic hedging in incomplete jump market," Digital Finance, Springer, vol. 6(3), pages 463-499, September.
    2. Bernhard Hientzsch, 2023. "Reinforcement Learning and Deep Stochastic Optimal Control for Final Quadratic Hedging," Papers 2401.08600, arXiv.org.
    3. Nacira Agram & Bernt {O}ksendal & Jan Rems, 2024. "Deep learning for quadratic hedging in incomplete jump market," Papers 2407.13688, arXiv.org.
    4. Ali Fathi & Bernhard Hientzsch, 2023. "A Comparison of Reinforcement Learning and Deep Trajectory Based Stochastic Control Agents for Stepwise Mean-Variance Hedging," Papers 2302.07996, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2023.

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