IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jijerp/v19y2022i9p5708-d810606.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Modeling the Impact of Climatological Factors and Technological Revolution on Soybean Yield: Evidence from 13-Major Provinces of China

Author

Listed:
  • Huaquan Zhang

    (College of Economics, Sichuan Agricultural University, Chengdu 611130, China)

  • Abbas Ali Chandio

    (College of Economics, Sichuan Agricultural University, Chengdu 611130, China)

  • Fan Yang

    (College of Economics, Sichuan Agricultural University, Chengdu 611130, China)

  • Yashuang Tang

    (College of Economics, Sichuan Agricultural University, Chengdu 611130, China)

  • Martinson Ankrah Twumasi

    (College of Economics, Sichuan Agricultural University, Chengdu 611130, China)

  • Ghulam Raza Sargani

    (College of Economics, Sichuan Agricultural University, Chengdu 611130, China)

Abstract

In recent years, the changing climate has become a major global concern, and it poses a higher threat to the agricultural sector around the world. Consequently, this study examines the impact of changing climate and technological progress on soybean yield in the 13 major provinces of China, and considers the role of agricultural credit, farming size, public investment, and power of agricultural machinery from 2000 to 2020. Fully modified ordinary least squares (FMOLS) and dynamic ordinary least squares (DOLS) are applied to assess the long-run effect, while Dumitrescu and Hurlin’s (2012) causality test is used to explore the short-run causalities among the studied variables. The results revealed that an increase in the annual mean temperature negatively and significantly affects soybean yield, while precipitation expressively helps augment soybean yield. Furthermore, technological factors such as chemical fertilizers accelerate soybean yield significantly, whereas pesticides negatively influence soybean yield. In addition, farming size, public investment, and power of agricultural machinery contribute remarkably to soybean yield. The causality results endorse that chemical fertilizers, pesticides used, agricultural credit, public investment, and power of agricultural machinery have bidirectional causality links with soybean yield. This study suggests several fruitful policy implications for sustainable soybean production in China.

Suggested Citation

  • Huaquan Zhang & Abbas Ali Chandio & Fan Yang & Yashuang Tang & Martinson Ankrah Twumasi & Ghulam Raza Sargani, 2022. "Modeling the Impact of Climatological Factors and Technological Revolution on Soybean Yield: Evidence from 13-Major Provinces of China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(9), pages 1-16, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:19:y:2022:i:9:p:5708-:d:810606
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1660-4601/19/9/5708/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1660-4601/19/9/5708/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hui Ju & Marijn Velde & Erda Lin & Wei Xiong & Yingchun Li, 2013. "The impacts of climate change on agricultural production systems in China," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 120(1), pages 313-324, September.
    2. Bhattarai, Mukesh Dev & Secchi, Silvia & Schoof, Justin, 2017. "Projecting corn and soybeans yields under climate change in a Corn Belt watershed," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 152(C), pages 90-99.
    3. Usman, Muhammad & Makhdum, Muhammad Sohail Amjad, 2021. "What abates ecological footprint in BRICS-T region? Exploring the influence of renewable energy, non-renewable energy, agriculture, forest area and financial development," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 179(C), pages 12-28.
    4. Wu Xiaoman & Abdul Majeed & Dinara G. Vasbieva & Claire Emilienne Wati Yameogo & Nazim Hussain, 2021. "Natural resources abundance, economic globalization, and carbon emissions: Advancing sustainable development agenda," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(5), pages 1037-1048, September.
    5. Zhihao Wu & Jingqi Dang & Yipu Pang & Wei Xu, 2021. "Threshold effect or spatial spillover? The impact of agricultural mechanization on grain production," Journal of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(1), pages 478-503, January.
    6. Chen, Shuai & Chen, Xiaoguang & Xu, Jintao, 2013. "Impacts of Climate Change on Corn and Soybean Yields in China," 2013 Annual Meeting, August 4-6, 2013, Washington, D.C. 149739, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    7. Lybbert, Travis J. & Sumner, Daniel A., 2012. "Agricultural technologies for climate change in developing countries: Policy options for innovation and technology diffusion," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 114-123.
    8. Zhao, Jiongchao & Wang, Chong & Shi, Xiaoyu & Bo, Xiaozhi & Li, Shuo & Shang, Mengfei & Chen, Fu & Chu, Qingquan, 2021. "Modeling climatically suitable areas for soybean and their shifts across China," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 192(C).
    9. Sheng, Yu & Song, Ligang, 2019. "Agricultural production and food consumption in China: A long-term projection," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 15-29.
    10. Danish, & Baloch, Muhammad Awais & Wang, Bo, 2019. "Analyzing the role of governance in CO2 emissions mitigation: The BRICS experience," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 119-125.
    11. Sara M. Torres & Emilio F. Moran & Ramon Felipe Bicudo da Silva, 2017. "Property Rights and the Soybean Revolution: Shaping How China and Brazil Are Telecoupled," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(6), pages 1-15, June.
    12. Zemin Zhang & Changhe Lu, 2020. "Clustering Analysis of Soybean Production to Understand its Spatiotemporal Dynamics in the North China Plain," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(15), pages 1-15, July.
    13. Belton, Ben & Win, Myat Thida & Zhang, Xiaobo & Filipski, Mateusz, 2021. "The rapid rise of agricultural mechanization in Myanmar," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
    14. Karim Ennouri & Abdelaziz Kallel, 2019. "Remote Sensing: An Advanced Technique for Crop Condition Assessment," Mathematical Problems in Engineering, Hindawi, vol. 2019, pages 1-8, July.
    15. Sohail Abbas & Zulfiqar Ali Mayo, 2021. "Impact of temperature and rainfall on rice production in Punjab, Pakistan," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(2), pages 1706-1728, February.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Chandio, Abbas Ali & Ozdemir, Dicle & Gokmenoglu, Korhan K. & Usman, Muhammad & Jiang, Yuansheng, 2024. "Digital agriculture for sustainable development in China: The promise of computerization," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    2. Xuelan Li & Jiyu Jiang & Javier Cifuentes-Faura, 2023. "Coordinated Development and Sustainability of the Agriculture, Climate and Society System in China: Based on the PLE Analysis Framework," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-19, March.
    3. Huaquan Zhang & Yashuang Tang & Abbas Ali Chandio & Ghulam Raza Sargani & Martinson Ankrah Twumasi, 2022. "Measuring the Effects of Climate Change on Wheat Production: Evidence from Northern China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(19), pages 1-16, September.
    4. Abbas Ali Chandio & Yasir A. Nasereldin & Dao Le Trang Anh & Yashuang Tang & Ghulam Raza Sargani & Huaquan Zhang, 2022. "The Impact of Technological Progress and Climate Change on Food Crop Production: Evidence from Sichuan—China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(16), pages 1-18, August.
    5. Chandio, Abbas Ali & Ozdemir, Dicle & Jiang, Yuansheng, 2023. "Modelling the impact of climate change and advanced agricultural technologies on grain output: Recent evidence from China," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 485(C).
    6. Chandio, Abbas Ali & Dash, Devi Prasad & Nathaniel, Solomon Prince & Sargani, Ghulam Raza & Jiang, Yuansheng, 2023. "Mitigation pathways towards climate change: Modelling the impact of climatological factors on wheat production in top six regions of China," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 481(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Abbas Ali Chandio & Yasir A. Nasereldin & Dao Le Trang Anh & Yashuang Tang & Ghulam Raza Sargani & Huaquan Zhang, 2022. "The Impact of Technological Progress and Climate Change on Food Crop Production: Evidence from Sichuan—China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(16), pages 1-18, August.
    2. Jahanger, Atif & Hossain, Mohammad Razib & Usman, Muhammad & Chukwuma Onwe, Joshua, 2023. "Recent scenario and nexus between natural resource dependence, energy use and pollution cycles in BRICS region: Does the mediating role of human capital exist?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    3. Huaquan Zhang & Yashuang Tang & Abbas Ali Chandio & Ghulam Raza Sargani & Martinson Ankrah Twumasi, 2022. "Measuring the Effects of Climate Change on Wheat Production: Evidence from Northern China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(19), pages 1-16, September.
    4. Hua Zhang & Ying Li & Hanxiaoxue Sun & Xiaohui Wang, 2023. "How Can Digital Financial Inclusion Promote High-Quality Agricultural Development? The Multiple-Mediation Model Research," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(4), pages 1-19, February.
    5. Zhang, Xuan & Hasan, Mohammad Maruf & Waris, Umra, 2024. "Assessing the nexus between natural resources and government effectiveness: Role of green innovation in shaping environmental sustainability of BRICS nations," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    6. Hussain, Muzzammil & Lu, Tongrui & Chengang, Ye & Wang, Yiwen, 2023. "Role of economic policies, renewable energy consumption, and natural resources to limit carbon emissions in top five polluted economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    7. Boţa-Avram, Cristina & Apostu, Simona Andreea & Ivan, Raluca & Achim, Monica Violeta, 2024. "Exploring the impact of macro-determinant factors on energy resource depletion: Evidence from a worldwide cross-country panel data analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    8. Ziming Bai & Tianyi Wang & Jiabin Xu & Cuixia Li, 2023. "Can Agricultural Productive Services Inhibit Carbon Emissions? Evidence from China," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(7), pages 1-20, June.
    9. Yingyu Zhu & Junmiao Deng & Menghan Wang & Yuanchang Tan & Wei Yao & Yan Zhang, 2022. "Can Agricultural Productive Services Promote Agricultural Environmental Efficiency in China?," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(15), pages 1-18, July.
    10. Oteng-Abayie, Eric Fosu & Duodu, Emmanuel & Mensah, Gideon & Frimpong, Prince Boakye, 2022. "Natural resource abundance, environmental sustainability, and policies and institutions for environmental sustainability in sub-Saharan Africa," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    11. Siming Zuo & Mingxia Zhu & Zhexiao Xu & Judit Oláh & Zoltan Lakner, 2021. "The Dynamic Impact of Natural Resource Rents, Financial Development, and Technological Innovations on Environmental Quality: Empirical Evidence from BRI Economies," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(1), pages 1-17, December.
    12. Sadeq Damrah & Elma Satrovic & Mohamad Atyeh & Fekri Ali Shawtari, 2022. "Employing the Panel Quantile Regression Approach to Examine the Role of Natural Resources in Achieving Environmental Sustainability: Does Globalization Create Some Difference?," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(24), pages 1-19, December.
    13. Wenguang Chen & Bangbang Zhang & Xiangbin Kong & Liangyou Wen & Yubo Liao & Lingxin Kong, 2022. "Soybean Production and Spatial Agglomeration in China from 1949 to 2019," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-17, May.
    14. He, Liuyue & Xu, Zhenci & Wang, Sufen & Bao, Jianxia & Fan, Yunfei & Daccache, Andre, 2022. "Optimal crop planting pattern can be harmful to reach carbon neutrality: Evidence from food-energy-water-carbon nexus perspective," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 308(C).
    15. Javed, Hasnain & Du, Jianguo & Iqbal, Shuja & Nassani, Abdelmohsen A. & Basheer, Muhammad Farhan, 2024. "The impact of mineral resource abundance on environmental degradation in ten mineral- rich countries: Do the green innovation and financial technology matter?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    16. Miao, Yang & Razzaq, Asif & Adebayo, Tomiwa Sunday & Awosusi, Abraham Ayobamiji, 2022. "Do renewable energy consumption and financial globalisation contribute to ecological sustainability in newly industrialized countries?," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 187(C), pages 688-697.
    17. Aladejare, Samson Adeniyi, 2022. "Natural resource rents, globalisation and environmental degradation: New insight from 5 richest African economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    18. Mukhtarov, Shahriyar & Yüksel, Serhat & Dinçer, Hasan, 2022. "The impact of financial development on renewable energy consumption: Evidence from Turkey," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 187(C), pages 169-176.
    19. Xin Xuan & Bing Liu & Fan Zhang, 2021. "Climate Change and Adaptive Management: Case Study in Agriculture, Forestry and Pastoral Areas," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(8), pages 1-17, August.
    20. Muhammad Usman & Atif Jahanger & Magdalena Radulescu & Daniel Balsalobre-Lorente, 2022. "Do Nuclear Energy, Renewable Energy, and Environmental-Related Technologies Asymmetrically Reduce Ecological Footprint? Evidence from Pakistan," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(9), pages 1-24, May.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:19:y:2022:i:9:p:5708-:d:810606. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.