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The Impact of Technological Progress and Climate Change on Food Crop Production: Evidence from Sichuan—China

Author

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  • Abbas Ali Chandio

    (College of Economics, Sichuan Agricultural University, Chengdu 611130, China)

  • Yasir A. Nasereldin

    (College of Economics and Management, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing 210095, China
    Department of Agricultural Economics & Agribusiness, Faculty of Natural Resources & Environmental Studies, Kordofan University, EI Obied 51111, Sudan)

  • Dao Le Trang Anh

    (Faculty of Business and Economics, Phenikaa University, Hanoi 100000, Vietnam)

  • Yashuang Tang

    (College of Economics, Sichuan Agricultural University, Chengdu 611130, China)

  • Ghulam Raza Sargani

    (College of Economics, Sichuan Agricultural University, Chengdu 611130, China)

  • Huaquan Zhang

    (College of Economics, Sichuan Agricultural University, Chengdu 611130, China)

Abstract

Agriculture is an integral sector in China mandated to feed over 1.3 billion of its people and provide essential inputs for many industries. Sichuan, a central grain-producing province in Southwest China, is a significant supplier of cereals in the country. Yet, it is likely to be threatened by yield damages induced by climate change. Therefore, this study examines the effects of technological progress (via fertilizers usage and mechanization) and climatic changes (via temperature and precipitation) on the productivity of main food crops, such as rice ( Oryza sativa ), wheat ( Triticum aestivum ), and maize ( Zea mays ) in Sichuan province. We employ the generalized method of moments ( GMM ) model to analyze Sichuan provincial data from 1980 to 2018. Our findings show a positive nexus between fertilizers use and yields of main food crops. Only rice and maize yields are significantly improved by mechanization. Increased average temperature reduces rice and wheat yields significantly. Rainfall is unlikely to have a significant impact on agricultural production. The study suggests that the Chinese government should consider revising its strategies and policies to reduce the impact of climate change on food crop production and increase farmers’ adaptive ability.

Suggested Citation

  • Abbas Ali Chandio & Yasir A. Nasereldin & Dao Le Trang Anh & Yashuang Tang & Ghulam Raza Sargani & Huaquan Zhang, 2022. "The Impact of Technological Progress and Climate Change on Food Crop Production: Evidence from Sichuan—China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(16), pages 1-18, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:19:y:2022:i:16:p:9863-:d:884818
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Handong Lyu & Hongfei Xing & Taixiang Duan, 2024. "Optimizing Water Resource Allocation for Food Security: An Evaluation of China’s Water Rights Trading Policy," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(23), pages 1-23, November.
    3. Lijing Dong & Yingjie Li & Zhenya Sun & Lingyu Zhang & Haiyun Tang, 2024. "Farmers’ Non-Agricultural Income, Agricultural Technological Progress, and Sustainable Food Supply Security: Insights from China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(18), pages 1-22, September.
    4. Jiaxu Ling & Yongji Xue & Chenyujing Yang & Yuanyuan Zhang, 2022. "Effect of Farmers’ Awareness of Climate Change on Their Willingness to Adopt Low-Carbon Production: Based on the TAM-SOR Model," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(1), pages 1-17, December.

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