IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jeners/v17y2024i18p4571-d1476628.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Robustness Indicators for the Impact of Occupant Behavior Uncertainty on Building Energy Consumption

Author

Listed:
  • Jiahui Ying

    (Department of Civil Engineering, Ningbo University, Ningbo 315211, China)

  • Jian Yao

    (Department of Architecture, Ningbo University, Ningbo 315211, China)

  • Rongyue Zheng

    (Department of Civil Engineering, Ningbo University, Ningbo 315211, China)

Abstract

Due to the significant impact of occupant behavior uncertainty on building performance, robustness indicators are crucial for assessing and predicting building energy consumption. This study evaluates the robustness of building performance under occupant behavior uncertainty using various robustness indicators such as Maximax, Maximin, Hurwicz, and Laplace. Benchmark values (0.635) and coefficients of variation (0.544) from statistics were introduced to quantify the relative performance of each indicator and the relative dispersion of the data, allowing for fair comparisons across different magnitudes of indicators. “Variance”, “Starr’s Domain”, “Kurtosis”, and “Maximin” were identified as key indicators for assessing the robustness of energy consumption and load data. Based on these indicators and statistical principles, assuming the data follows a normal distribution, energy consumption and loads were predicted, showing that the optimized outcomes demonstrate good robustness.

Suggested Citation

  • Jiahui Ying & Jian Yao & Rongyue Zheng, 2024. "Robustness Indicators for the Impact of Occupant Behavior Uncertainty on Building Energy Consumption," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(18), pages 1-26, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:17:y:2024:i:18:p:4571-:d:1476628
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/17/18/4571/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/17/18/4571/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Kim, Sean Hay, 2013. "An evaluation of robust controls for passive building thermal mass and mechanical thermal energy storage under uncertainty," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 602-623.
    2. Yang, Xiaohui & Chen, Zaixing & Huang, Xin & Li, Ruixin & Xu, Shaoping & Yang, Chunsheng, 2021. "Robust capacity optimization methods for integrated energy systems considering demand response and thermal comfort," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).
    3. Richard H. Moss & Jae A. Edmonds & Kathy A. Hibbard & Martin R. Manning & Steven K. Rose & Detlef P. van Vuuren & Timothy R. Carter & Seita Emori & Mikiko Kainuma & Tom Kram & Gerald A. Meehl & John F, 2010. "The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment," Nature, Nature, vol. 463(7282), pages 747-756, February.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Fan, Wei & Tan, Zhongfu & Li, Fanqi & Zhang, Amin & Ju, Liwei & Wang, Yuwei & De, Gejirifu, 2023. "A two-stage optimal scheduling model of integrated energy system based on CVaR theory implementing integrated demand response," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(PC).
    2. Cai, Yiyong & Newth, David & Finnigan, John & Gunasekera, Don, 2015. "A hybrid energy-economy model for global integrated assessment of climate change, carbon mitigation and energy transformation," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 148(C), pages 381-395.
    3. Chateau, J. & Dellink, R. & Lanzi, E. & Magne, B., 2012. "Long-term economic growth and environmental pressure: reference scenarios for future global projections," Conference papers 332249, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    4. Gerald Nelson & Jessica Bogard & Keith Lividini & Joanne Arsenault & Malcolm Riley & Timothy B. Sulser & Daniel Mason-D’Croz & Brendan Power & David Gustafson & Mario Herrero & Keith Wiebe & Karen Coo, 2018. "Income growth and climate change effects on global nutrition security to mid-century," Nature Sustainability, Nature, vol. 1(12), pages 773-781, December.
    5. Meraj Sarwary & Senthilnathan Samiappan & Ghulam Dastgir Khan & Masaood Moahid, 2023. "Climate Change and Cereal Crops Productivity in Afghanistan: Evidence Based on Panel Regression Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(14), pages 1-13, July.
    6. Kokou Amega & Yendoubé Laré & Ramchandra Bhandari & Yacouba Moumouni & Aklesso Y. G. Egbendewe & Windmanagda Sawadogo & Saidou Madougou, 2022. "Solar Energy Powered Decentralized Smart-Grid for Sustainable Energy Supply in Low-Income Countries: Analysis Considering Climate Change Influences in Togo," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(24), pages 1-24, December.
    7. Liu, Jiejie & Li, Yao & Ma, Yanan & Qin, Ruomu & Meng, Xianyang & Wu, Jiangtao, 2023. "Two-layer multiple scenario optimization framework for integrated energy system based on optimal energy contribution ratio strategy," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 285(C).
    8. Syed Asif Ali Naqvi & Abdul Majeed Nadeem & Muhammad Amjed Iqbal & Sadia Ali & Asia Naseem, 2019. "Assessing the Vulnerabilities of Current and Future Production Systems in Punjab, Pakistan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(19), pages 1-13, September.
    9. Elmar Kriegler & Brian-C O'Neill & Stéphane Hallegatte & Tom Kram & Richard-H Moss & Robert Lempert & Thomas J Wilbanks, 2010. "Socio-economic Scenario Development for Climate Change Analysis," CIRED Working Papers hal-00866437, HAL.
    10. Mohamed Kefi & Binaya Kumar Mishra & Yoshifumi Masago & Kensuke Fukushi, 2020. "Analysis of flood damage and influencing factors in urban catchments: case studies in Manila, Philippines, and Jakarta, Indonesia," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 104(3), pages 2461-2487, December.
    11. Qun'ou Jiang & Yuwei Cheng & Qiutong Jin & Xiangzheng Deng & Yuanjing Qi, 2015. "Simulation of Forestland Dynamics in a Typical Deforestation and Afforestation Area under Climate Scenarios," Energies, MDPI, vol. 8(10), pages 1-26, September.
    12. Flavio R. Arroyo M. & Luis J. Miguel, 2019. "The Trends of the Energy Intensity and CO 2 Emissions Related to Final Energy Consumption in Ecuador: Scenarios of National and Worldwide Strategies," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-21, December.
    13. Wu, Xiao & Yang, Lihua & Zheng, Bingle, 2024. "Joint capacity configuration and demand response optimization of integrated energy system considering economic and dynamic control performance," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 301(C).
    14. Lu, Yongquan & Liu, Guilin & Xian, Yuyang & Tang, Jiaqi & Zhong, Liming, 2024. "Climate change brings both opportunities and challenges to rural revitalization in China: Evidence from apple geographical indication predictions," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    15. Ricky P. Laureta & Ric Ryan H. Regalado & Ermar B. De La Cruz, 2021. "Climate vulnerability scenario of the agricultural sector in the Bicol River Basin, Philippines," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 168(1), pages 1-18, September.
    16. Yan, Rujing & Wang, Jiangjiang & Wang, Jiahao & Tian, Lei & Tang, Saiqiu & Wang, Yuwei & Zhang, Jing & Cheng, Youliang & Li, Yuan, 2022. "A two-stage stochastic-robust optimization for a hybrid renewable energy CCHP system considering multiple scenario-interval uncertainties," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 247(C).
    17. Bucchignani Edoardo & Mercogliano Paola & Montesarchio Myriam & Zollo Alessandra Lucia, 2017. "Numerical Simulation of the Period 1971–2100 over the Mediterranean Area with a Regional Model, Scenario SRES-A1B," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(12), pages 1-17, November.
    18. Avri Eitan, 2021. "Promoting Renewable Energy to Cope with Climate Change—Policy Discourse in Israel," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-17, March.
    19. John M. DeCicco, 2018. "Methodological Issues Regarding Biofuels and Carbon Uptake," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(5), pages 1-15, May.
    20. Pedro Pérez-Cutillas & Pedro Baños Páez & Isabel Banos-González, 2020. "Variability of Water Balance under Climate Change Scenarios. Implications for Sustainability in the Rhône River Basin," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(16), pages 1-22, August.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:17:y:2024:i:18:p:4571-:d:1476628. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.