IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jeners/v15y2022i23p8831-d981435.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The Electricity Generation Dispatch in Mexico: An Uncertain Road towards Sustainability

Author

Listed:
  • Karla Miranda

    (School of Engineering and Sciences, Tecnologico de Monterrey, Monterrey 64849, NL, Mexico)

  • Ana Victoria Tarín-Santiso

    (Greenvolt Power Renewables, Escondido, CA 92025, USA)

  • Armando Llamas-Terrés

    (School of Engineering and Sciences, Tecnologico de Monterrey, Monterrey 64849, NL, Mexico)

  • Oliver Probst

    (School of Engineering and Sciences, Tecnologico de Monterrey, Monterrey 64849, NL, Mexico)

Abstract

A comprehensive assessment was conducted for the electricity dispatch in the Mexican National Interconnected System for the 2017–2021 period, as well as the projected period of 2022–2030, with special attention on emissions and the transition to clean energy. The reported official generation data for the 2017–2021 period were compared to the results of both one- and multi-node dispatch modeling. The officially reported generation mix was found to be sub-optimal in terms of costs and emissions. A small part of the differences can be traced back to transmission constraints. Some of the remaining discrepancies can be explained by out-of-merit order dispatch favoring fossil fuel power plants. While transmission constraints were not critical for the 2017–2021 period, an increasing unbalance between regions with cost-effective generation (exporting regions) and importing regions was found, calling for inter-region transmission corridor reinforcements in the near future. The 2022–2030 emissions dramatically depend on the contemplated scenario. The existing project pipeline would allow for a 45% fraction of clean electricity by 2024, but the projection of current policies, with a renewed focus on generation from fossil fuels, makes a reduced generation from clean sources more likely. A clear policy path is required to bring Mexico’s emissions in line with its national and international clean energy and climate change mitigation goals.

Suggested Citation

  • Karla Miranda & Ana Victoria Tarín-Santiso & Armando Llamas-Terrés & Oliver Probst, 2022. "The Electricity Generation Dispatch in Mexico: An Uncertain Road towards Sustainability," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(23), pages 1-24, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:15:y:2022:i:23:p:8831-:d:981435
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/15/23/8831/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/15/23/8831/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Philip J. Heptonstall & Robert J. K. Gross, 2021. "A systematic review of the costs and impacts of integrating variable renewables into power grids," Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 6(1), pages 72-83, January.
    2. Juan C. Percino-Picazo & Armando R. Llamas-Terres & Federico A. Viramontes-Brown, 2021. "Analysis of Restructuring the Mexican Electricity Sector to Operate in a Wholesale Energy Market," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-26, June.
    3. Zhao, Baining & Qian, Tong & Tang, Wenhu & Liang, Qiheng, 2022. "A data-enhanced distributionally robust optimization method for economic dispatch of integrated electricity and natural gas systems with wind uncertainty," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 243(C).
    4. Sarmiento, Luis & Molar-Cruz, Anahi & Avraam, Charalampos & Brown, Maxwell & Rosellón, Juan & Siddiqui, Sauleh & Rodríguez, Baltazar Solano, 2021. "Mexico and U.S. power systems under variations in natural gas prices," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    5. Tian, Yuyu & Chang, Jianxia & Wang, Yimin & Wang, Xuebin & Zhao, Mingzhe & Meng, Xuejiao & Guo, Aijun, 2022. "A method of short-term risk and economic dispatch of the hydro-thermal-wind-PV hybrid system considering spinning reserve requirements," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 328(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Goulart de Freitas Machado, Bruno, 2024. "Modelling features and outcomes of Brazil's electricity tariff flag program," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Zhao, Baining & Qian, Tong & Li, Weiwei & Xin, Yanli & Zhao, Wei & Lin, Zekang & Tang, Wenhu & Jin, Xin & Cao, Wangzhang & Pan, Tingzhe, 2024. "Fast distributed co-optimization of electricity and natural gas systems hedging against wind fluctuation and uncertainty," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 298(C).
    2. Bojana Škrbić & Željko Đurišić, 2023. "Novel Planning Methodology for Spatially Optimized RES Development Which Minimizes Flexibility Requirements for Their Integration into the Power System," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(7), pages 1-34, April.
    3. Gorbach, O.G. & Kost, C. & Pickett, C., 2022. "Review of internal carbon pricing and the development of a decision process for the identification of promising Internal Pricing Methods for an Organisation," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    4. Han, Zhixin & Fang, Debin & Yang, Peiwen & Lei, Leyao, 2023. "Cooperative mechanisms for multi-energy complementarity in the electricity spot market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PB).
    5. Li, Xudong & Yang, Weijia & Liao, Yiwen & Zhang, Shushu & Zheng, Yang & Zhao, Zhigao & Tang, Maojia & Cheng, Yongguang & Liu, Pan, 2024. "Short-term risk-management for hydro-wind-solar hybrid energy system considering hydropower part-load operating characteristics," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 360(C).
    6. Abdul Rauf & Mahmoud Kassas & Muhammad Khalid, 2022. "Data-Driven Optimal Battery Storage Sizing for Grid-Connected Hybrid Distributed Generations Considering Solar and Wind Uncertainty," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(17), pages 1-27, September.
    7. Li, Xiao & Liu, Pan & Cheng, Lei & Cheng, Qian & Zhang, Wei & Xu, Shitian & Zheng, Yalian, 2023. "Strategic bidding for a hydro-wind-photovoltaic hybrid system considering the profit beyond forecast time," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 204(C), pages 277-289.
    8. Zhang, Yunfei & Zhou, Zhihua & Liu, Junwei & Yuan, Jianjuan, 2022. "Data augmentation for improving heating load prediction of heating substation based on TimeGAN," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 260(C).
    9. Miguel A. Morales Mora & Andrea Marín Rovira & Vicente A. Soriano Ramirez & Patricia López Rivera & Omar Guillen Solis & Vincent Pozos Castillo & Gonzalo AngelesOrdoñez & Alejandro Castillo Antonio & , 2024. "An integrated analysis of the Mexican electrical system’s metabolic pattern and industry sector in the energy transition," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 26(9), pages 24313-24338, September.
    10. Ajay Kumar & Jyotirani Gupta & Niladri Das, 2022. "Revisiting the influence of corporate sustainability practices on corporate financial performance: An evidence from the global energy sector," Business Strategy and the Environment, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(7), pages 3231-3253, November.
    11. Pradhan, Ashis Kumar & Rout, Sandhyarani & Khan, Imran Ahmed, 2021. "Does market concentration affect wholesale electricity prices? An analysis of the Indian electricity sector in the COVID-19 pandemic context," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    12. Haji Bashi, Mazaher & De Tommasi, Luciano & Le Cam, Andreea & Relaño, Lorena Sánchez & Lyons, Padraig & Mundó, Joana & Pandelieva-Dimova, Ivanka & Schapp, Henrik & Loth-Babut, Karolina & Egger, Christ, 2023. "A review and mapping exercise of energy community regulatory challenges in European member states based on a survey of collective energy actors," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    13. Wang, Zizhao & Li, Yang & Wu, Feng & Wu, Jiawei & Shi, Linjun & Lin, Keman, 2024. "Multi-objective day-ahead scheduling of cascade hydropower-photovoltaic complementary system with pumping installation," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 290(C).
    14. Xu, Shitian & Liu, Pan & Li, Xiao & Cheng, Qian & Liu, Zheyuan, 2023. "Deriving long-term operating rules of the hydro-wind-PV hybrid energy system considering electricity price," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 219(P1).
    15. Santillán Vera, Mónica & García Manrique, Lilia & Rodríguez Peña, Isabel & De La Vega Navarro, Angel, 2023. "Drivers of electricity GHG emissions and the role of natural gas in mexican energy transition," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
    16. Arriet, Andrea & Matis, Timothy I. & Feijoo, Felipe, 2023. "Water taxation strategies for the natural gas sector in North America: Facing a rising water crisis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 279(C).
    17. Khadija Sherece Usher & Benjamin Craig McLellan, 2024. "Price Risk Exposure of Small Participants in Liberalized Multi-National Power Markets: A Case Study on the Belize–Mexico Interconnection," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(14), pages 1-29, July.
    18. Steele, Amanda Harker & Sharma, Smriti & Pena Cabra, Ivonne & Clahane, Luke & Iyengar, Arun, 2023. "A tool for measuring the system cost of replacement energy," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 275(C).
    19. Laugs, Gideon A.H. & Benders, René M.J. & Moll, Henri C., 2024. "Maximizing self-sufficiency and minimizing grid interaction: Combining electric and molecular energy storage for decentralized balancing of variable renewable energy in local energy systems," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    20. Li, Weiwei & Qian, Tong & Zhang, Yin & Shen, Yueqing & Wu, Chenghu & Tang, Wenhu, 2023. "Distributionally robust chance-constrained planning for regional integrated electricity–heat systems with data centers considering wind power uncertainty," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 336(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:15:y:2022:i:23:p:8831-:d:981435. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.