IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jeners/v14y2021i13p4038-d588390.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A TensorFlow Approach to Data Analysis for Time Series Forecasting in the Energy-Efficiency Realm

Author

Listed:
  • J. R. S. Iruela

    (Department of Computer Science and Artificial Intelligence, Calle Periodista Daniel Saucedo Aranda, s/n, 18014 Granada, Spain)

  • L. G. B. Ruiz

    (Department of Computer Science and Artificial Intelligence, Calle Periodista Daniel Saucedo Aranda, s/n, 18014 Granada, Spain)

  • M. I. Capel

    (Department of Software Engineering, Calle Periodista Daniel Saucedo Aranda, s/n, 18014 Granada, Spain)

  • M. C. Pegalajar

    (Department of Computer Science and Artificial Intelligence, Calle Periodista Daniel Saucedo Aranda, s/n, 18014 Granada, Spain)

Abstract

Thanks to advances in smart metering devices (SM), the electricity sector is undergoing a series of changes, among which it is worth highlighting the ability to control the response to all events that occur in the electricity grid with the intention of making it more smart. Predicting electricity consumption data is a key factor for the energy sector in order to create a completely intelligent electricity grid that optimizes consumption and forecasts future energy needs. However, it is currently not enough to give a prediction of energy consumption (EC), but it is also necessary to give the prediction as fast as possible so that the grid can operate in the shortest possible time. An approach for developing EC prediction systems is introduced here by the use of artificial neural networks (ANN). Differently from other research studies on the subject, a divide-and-conquer strategy is used so that the target system’s execution switches from one to another specialized small models that forecast the EC of a building within the time range of one hour. By simultaneously processing a large amount of data and models, a consequence of implementing them in parallel with TensorFlow on GPUs, the training procedure proposed here increases the performance of the classic time series prediction methods, which are based on ANN. Leveraging the latest generation of ANN techniques and new GPU-based architectures, correct EC predictions can be obtained and, as the experimentation carried out in this work shows, such predictions can be obtained quickly. The obtained results in this study show a promising way for speeding up big data processing of building’s monitoring data to achieve energy efficiency.

Suggested Citation

  • J. R. S. Iruela & L. G. B. Ruiz & M. I. Capel & M. C. Pegalajar, 2021. "A TensorFlow Approach to Data Analysis for Time Series Forecasting in the Energy-Efficiency Realm," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(13), pages 1-22, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:14:y:2021:i:13:p:4038-:d:588390
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/14/13/4038/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/14/13/4038/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Wilson Castro & Jimy Oblitas & Roberto Santa-Cruz & Himer Avila-George, 2017. "Multilayer perceptron architecture optimization using parallel computing techniques," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 12(12), pages 1-17, December.
    2. Francisco Javier Duque-Pintor & Manuel Jesús Fernández-Gómez & Alicia Troncoso & Francisco Martínez-Álvarez, 2016. "A New Methodology Based on Imbalanced Classification for Predicting Outliers in Electricity Demand Time Series," Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(9), pages 1-10, September.
    3. Vangelis Marinakis, 2020. "Big Data for Energy Management and Energy-Efficient Buildings," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-18, March.
    4. Ahmadi-Karvigh, Simin & Ghahramani, Ali & Becerik-Gerber, Burcin & Soibelman, Lucio, 2018. "Real-time activity recognition for energy efficiency in buildings," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 211(C), pages 146-160.
    5. Dudek, Grzegorz, 2016. "Multilayer perceptron for GEFCom2014 probabilistic electricity price forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 1057-1060.
    6. Antonio Paone & Jean-Philippe Bacher, 2018. "The Impact of Building Occupant Behavior on Energy Efficiency and Methods to Influence It: A Review of the State of the Art," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-19, April.
    7. Rubén Pérez-Chacón & José M. Luna-Romera & Alicia Troncoso & Francisco Martínez-Álvarez & José C. Riquelme, 2018. "Big Data Analytics for Discovering Electricity Consumption Patterns in Smart Cities," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-19, March.
    8. Beccali, Marco & Ciulla, Giuseppina & Lo Brano, Valerio & Galatioto, Alessandra & Bonomolo, Marina, 2017. "Artificial neural network decision support tool for assessment of the energy performance and the refurbishment actions for the non-residential building stock in Southern Italy," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 137(C), pages 1201-1218.
    9. Luis Gonzaga Baca Ruiz & Manuel Pegalajar Cuéllar & Miguel Delgado Calvo-Flores & María Del Carmen Pegalajar Jiménez, 2016. "An Application of Non-Linear Autoregressive Neural Networks to Predict Energy Consumption in Public Buildings," Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(9), pages 1-21, August.
    10. Claudia Aravena & Andrés Riquelme & Eleanor Denny, 2016. "Money, Comfort or Environment? Priorities and Determinants of Energy Efficiency Investments in Irish Households," Journal of Consumer Policy, Springer, vol. 39(2), pages 159-186, June.
    11. Nejat, Payam & Jomehzadeh, Fatemeh & Taheri, Mohammad Mahdi & Gohari, Mohammad & Abd. Majid, Muhd Zaimi, 2015. "A global review of energy consumption, CO2 emissions and policy in the residential sector (with an overview of the top ten CO2 emitting countries)," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 843-862.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. M. C. Pegalajar & L. G. B. Ruiz, 2022. "Time Series Forecasting for Energy Consumption," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-3, January.
    2. Roman V. Klyuev & Irbek D. Morgoev & Angelika D. Morgoeva & Oksana A. Gavrina & Nikita V. Martyushev & Egor A. Efremenkov & Qi Mengxu, 2022. "Methods of Forecasting Electric Energy Consumption: A Literature Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(23), pages 1-33, November.
    3. Manuel I. Capel, 2022. "Artificial Neuron-Based Model for a Hybrid Real-Time System: Induction Motor Case Study," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(18), pages 1-30, September.
    4. L. Cabezón & L. G. B. Ruiz & D. Criado-Ramón & E. J. Gago & M. C. Pegalajar, 2022. "Photovoltaic Energy Production Forecasting through Machine Learning Methods: A Scottish Solar Farm Case Study," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-14, November.
    5. Luzia, Ruan & Rubio, Lihki & Velasquez, Carlos E., 2023. "Sensitivity analysis for forecasting Brazilian electricity demand using artificial neural networks and hybrid models based on Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 274(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Fan Yang & Qian Mao, 2023. "Auto-Evaluation Model for the Prediction of Building Energy Consumption That Combines Modified Kalman Filtering and Long Short-Term Memory," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-16, November.
    2. Paweł Dymora & Mirosław Mazurek & Bartosz Sudek, 2021. "Comparative Analysis of Selected Open-Source Solutions for Traffic Balancing in Server Infrastructures Providing WWW Service," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(22), pages 1-23, November.
    3. Ru-Guan Wang & Wen-Jen Ho & Kuei-Chun Chiang & Yung-Chieh Hung & Jen-Kuo Tai & Jia-Cheng Tan & Mei-Ling Chuang & Chi-Yun Ke & Yi-Fan Chien & An-Ping Jeng & Chien-Cheng Chou, 2023. "Analyzing Long-Term and High Instantaneous Power Consumption of Buildings from Smart Meter Big Data with Deep Learning and Knowledge Graph Techniques," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(19), pages 1-24, September.
    4. Francisco Martínez-Álvarez & Alicia Troncoso & José C. Riquelme, 2017. "Recent Advances in Energy Time Series Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(6), pages 1-3, June.
    5. L. Cabezón & L. G. B. Ruiz & D. Criado-Ramón & E. J. Gago & M. C. Pegalajar, 2022. "Photovoltaic Energy Production Forecasting through Machine Learning Methods: A Scottish Solar Farm Case Study," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-14, November.
    6. Mustaffa, Nur Kamaliah & Kudus, Sakhiah Abdul, 2022. "Challenges and way forward towards best practices of energy efficient building in Malaysia," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 259(C).
    7. Panagiotis Michailidis & Iakovos Michailidis & Dimitrios Vamvakas & Elias Kosmatopoulos, 2023. "Model-Free HVAC Control in Buildings: A Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(20), pages 1-45, October.
    8. Andrew Chapman & Timothy Fraser & Melanie Dennis, 2019. "Investigating Ties between Energy Policy and Social Equity Research: A Citation Network Analysis," Social Sciences, MDPI, vol. 8(5), pages 1-18, April.
    9. Fischbacher, Urs & Schudy, Simeon & Teyssier, Sabrina, 2021. "Heterogeneous preferences and investments in energy saving measures," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    10. Krzysztof Wiśniewski & Gabriela Rutkowska & Katarzyna Jeleniewicz & Norbert Dąbkowski & Jarosław Wójt & Marek Chalecki & Tomasz Wierzbicki, 2024. "Ecologically Friendly Building Materials: A Case Study of Clay–Ash Composites for the Efficient Management of Fly Ash from the Thermal Conversion of Sewage Sludge," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(9), pages 1-18, April.
    11. Juana Isabel Méndez & Adán Medina & Pedro Ponce & Therese Peffer & Alan Meier & Arturo Molina, 2022. "Evolving Gamified Smart Communities in Mexico to Save Energy in Communities through Intelligent Interfaces," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(15), pages 1-29, July.
    12. Agga, Ali & Abbou, Ahmed & Labbadi, Moussa & El Houm, Yassine, 2021. "Short-term self consumption PV plant power production forecasts based on hybrid CNN-LSTM, ConvLSTM models," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 177(C), pages 101-112.
    13. Anass Berouine & Radouane Ouladsine & Mohamed Bakhouya & Mohamed Essaaidi, 2020. "Towards a Real-Time Predictive Management Approach of Indoor Air Quality in Energy-Efficient Buildings," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-16, June.
    14. Paul Baginski & Christoph Weber, 2017. "A Consumer Decision-making Process? Unfolding Energy Efficiency Decisions of German Owner-occupiers," EWL Working Papers 1708, University of Duisburg-Essen, Chair for Management Science and Energy Economics, revised Aug 2017.
    15. Alexandru Pîrjan & Simona-Vasilica Oprea & George Căruțașu & Dana-Mihaela Petroșanu & Adela Bâra & Cristina Coculescu, 2017. "Devising Hourly Forecasting Solutions Regarding Electricity Consumption in the Case of Commercial Center Type Consumers," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-36, October.
    16. Wadim Strielkowski & Anna Sherstobitova & Patrik Rovny & Tatiana Evteeva, 2021. "Increasing Energy Efficiency and Modernization of Energy Systems in Russia: A Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-19, May.
    17. Vangelis Marinakis & Themistoklis Koutsellis & Alexandros Nikas & Haris Doukas, 2021. "AI and Data Democratisation for Intelligent Energy Management," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-14, July.
    18. Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad & Rasoulinezhad, Ehsan & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Vinh Vo, Xuan, 2021. "How energy transition and power consumption are related in Asian economies with different income levels?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
    19. Collins, Matthew & Dempsey, Seraphim & Curtis, John, 2017. "Financial incentives for residential energy efficiency investments in Ireland: Should the status quo be maintained?," Papers WP562, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
    20. Grzegorz Marcjasz & Tomasz Serafin & Rafał Weron, 2018. "Selection of Calibration Windows for Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-20, September.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:14:y:2021:i:13:p:4038-:d:588390. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.