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Forecasting Flashover Parameters of Polymeric Insulators under Contaminated Conditions Using the Machine Learning Technique

Author

Listed:
  • Arshad

    (Institute for Energy and Environment, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow G1 1XQ, UK)

  • Jawad Ahmad

    (School of Computing, Edinburgh Napier University, Edinburgh EH11 4DY, UK)

  • Ahsen Tahir

    (Department of Electrical Engineering, University of Engineering and Technology, Lahore 54890, Pakistan)

  • Brian G. Stewart

    (Institute for Energy and Environment, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow G1 1XQ, UK)

  • Azam Nekahi

    (School of Computing Engineering and Built Environment, Glasgow Caledonian University, Glasgow G4 0BA, UK.)

Abstract

There is a vital need to understand the flashover process of polymeric insulators for safe and reliable power system operation. This paper provides a rigorous investigation of forecasting the flashover parameters of High Temperature Vulcanized (HTV) silicone rubber based on environmental and polluted conditions using machine learning. The modified solid layer method based on the IEC 60507 standard was utilised to prepare samples in the laboratory. The effect of various factors including Equivalent Salt Deposit Density (ESDD), Non-soluble Salt Deposit Density (NSDD), relative humidity and ambient temperature, were investigated on arc inception voltage, flashover voltage and surface resistance. The experimental results were utilised to engineer a machine learning based intelligent system for predicting the aforementioned flashover parameters. A number of machine learning algorithms such as Artificial Neural Network (ANN), Polynomial Support Vector Machine (PSVM), Gaussian SVM (GSVM), Decision Tree (DT) and Least-Squares Boosting Ensemble (LSBE) were explored in forecasting of the flashover parameters. The prediction accuracy of the model was validated with a number of error cost functions, such as Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), Normalized RMSE (NRMSE), Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) and R. For improved prediction accuracy, bootstrapping was used to increase the sample space. The proposed PSVM technique demonstrated the best performance accuracy compared to other machine learning models. The presented machine learning model provides promising results and demonstrates highly accurate prediction of the arc inception voltage, flashover voltage and surface resistance of silicone rubber insulators in various contaminated and humid conditions.

Suggested Citation

  • Arshad & Jawad Ahmad & Ahsen Tahir & Brian G. Stewart & Azam Nekahi, 2020. "Forecasting Flashover Parameters of Polymeric Insulators under Contaminated Conditions Using the Machine Learning Technique," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(15), pages 1-16, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:13:y:2020:i:15:p:3889-:d:391881
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Muhammad Majid Hussain & Muhammad Akmal Chaudhary & Abdul Razaq, 2019. "Mechanism of Saline Deposition and Surface Flashover on High-Voltage Insulators near Shoreline: Mathematical Models and Experimental Validations," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(19), pages 1-20, September.
    2. Arshad & Muhammad Ali Mughal & Azam Nekahi & Mansoor Khan & Farhana Umer, 2018. "Influence of Single and Multiple Dry Bands on Critical Flashover Voltage of Silicone Rubber Outdoor Insulators: Simulation and Experimental Study," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-17, May.
    3. Arshad & Azam Nekahi & Scott G. McMeekin & Masoud Farzaneh, 2016. "Flashover Characteristics of Silicone Rubber Sheets under Various Environmental Conditions," Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(9), pages 1-19, August.
    4. Muhammad Majid Hussain & Shahab Farokhi & Scott G. McMeekin & Masoud Farzaneh, 2017. "Risk Assessment of Failure of Outdoor High Voltage Polluted Insulators under Combined Stresses Near Shoreline," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-13, October.
    5. Yong Liu & Bowen Xia & Boxue Du & Masoud Farzaneh, 2016. "Influence of Fine Metal Particles on Surface Discharge Characteristics of Outdoor Insulators," Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-13, January.
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    Cited by:

    1. Zhijin Zhang & Hang Zhang & Song Yue & Hao Wang, 2023. "Contamination Deposit and Model of Insulator," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(6), pages 1-3, March.
    2. Luqman Maraaba & Khaled Al-Soufi & Twaha Ssennoga & Azhar M. Memon & Muhammed Y. Worku & Luai M. Alhems, 2022. "Contamination Level Monitoring Techniques for High-Voltage Insulators: A Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(20), pages 1-32, October.

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