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Localized Convolutional Neural Networks for Geospatial Wind Forecasting

Author

Listed:
  • Arnas Uselis

    (Faculty of Informatics, Kaunas University of Technology, LT-51368 Kaunas, Lithuania)

  • Mantas Lukoševičius

    (Faculty of Informatics, Kaunas University of Technology, LT-51368 Kaunas, Lithuania)

  • Lukas Stasytis

    (Faculty of Informatics, Kaunas University of Technology, LT-51368 Kaunas, Lithuania)

Abstract

Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) possess many positive qualities when it comes to spatial raster data. Translation invariance enables CNNs to detect features regardless of their position in the scene. However, in some domains, like geospatial, not all locations are exactly equal. In this work, we propose localized convolutional neural networks that enable convolutional architectures to learn local features in addition to the global ones. We investigate their instantiations in the form of learnable inputs, local weights, and a more general form. They can be added to any convolutional layers, easily end-to-end trained, introduce minimal additional complexity, and let CNNs retain most of their benefits to the extent that they are needed. In this work we address spatio-temporal prediction: test the effectiveness of our methods on a synthetic benchmark dataset and tackle three real-world wind prediction datasets. For one of them, we propose a method to spatially order the unordered data. We compare the recent state-of-the-art spatio-temporal prediction models on the same data. Models that use convolutional layers can be and are extended with our localizations. In all these cases our extensions improve the results, and thus often the state-of-the-art. We share all the code at a public repository.

Suggested Citation

  • Arnas Uselis & Mantas Lukoševičius & Lukas Stasytis, 2020. "Localized Convolutional Neural Networks for Geospatial Wind Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(13), pages 1-21, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:13:y:2020:i:13:p:3440-:d:379956
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Draxl, Caroline & Clifton, Andrew & Hodge, Bri-Mathias & McCaa, Jim, 2015. "The Wind Integration National Dataset (WIND) Toolkit," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 151(C), pages 355-366.
    2. Ackermann, Thomas & Söder, Lennart, 2000. "Wind energy technology and current status: a review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 4(4), pages 315-374, December.
    3. Yu, Ruiguo & Liu, Zhiqiang & Li, Xuewei & Lu, Wenhuan & Ma, Degang & Yu, Mei & Wang, Jianrong & Li, Bin, 2019. "Scene learning: Deep convolutional networks for wind power prediction by embedding turbines into grid space," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(C), pages 249-257.
    4. Qiaomu Zhu & Jinfu Chen & Lin Zhu & Xianzhong Duan & Yilu Liu, 2018. "Wind Speed Prediction with Spatio–Temporal Correlation: A Deep Learning Approach," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-18, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Ming Wei & Xue-yi You, 2022. "Monthly rainfall forecasting by a hybrid neural network of discrete wavelet transformation and deep learning," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 36(11), pages 4003-4018, September.
    2. Zahra Jahangiri & Mackenzie Judson & Kwang Moo Yi & Madeleine McPherson, 2023. "A Deep Learning Approach for Exploring the Design Space for the Decarbonization of the Canadian Electricity System," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(3), pages 1-21, January.
    3. Manaf Ahmed & Véronique Maume‐Deschamps & Pierre Ribereau, 2022. "Recognizing a spatial extreme dependence structure: A deep learning approach," Environmetrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(4), June.

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