IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/trapol/v81y2019icp106-116.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Willingness to take contractual risk in port public-private partnerships under economic volatility: The role of institutional environment in emerging economies

Author

Listed:
  • Xiao, Zengqi
  • Lam, Jasmine Siu Lee

Abstract

Port infrastructure investment environment is becoming increasingly volatile. Opportunities and challenges coexist and make port investment in view of economic volatility an interesting and important topic to study. A popular form of port investment is public-private partnership (PPP). It refers to a contractual arrangement between public agencies and private companies for works and services traditionally provided by the government. This paper aims to empirically investigate impacts of major economic recessions on private investors’ willingness to take port infrastructure PPP contractual risk in emerging economies given a fixed set of institutional environments. Multi-group structural equation modelling is employed and data mainly from the World Bank Private Participation in Infrastructure (PPI) database is tested in the model. Findings show that there is less impact of institutional factors after the 2008 financial crisis. Governmental intervention with quality institutional environment is an effective strategy in attracting private investors in ports.

Suggested Citation

  • Xiao, Zengqi & Lam, Jasmine Siu Lee, 2019. "Willingness to take contractual risk in port public-private partnerships under economic volatility: The role of institutional environment in emerging economies," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 106-116.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:trapol:v:81:y:2019:i:c:p:106-116
    DOI: 10.1016/j.tranpol.2019.06.001
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0967070X18308047
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.tranpol.2019.06.001?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Andrei Shleifer, 1998. "State versus Private Ownership," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 12(4), pages 133-150, Fall.
    2. Stein, Ernesto & Daude, Christian, 2007. "Longitude matters: Time zones and the location of foreign direct investment," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(1), pages 96-112, March.
    3. Gordon, Cameron & Mulley, Corinne & Stevens, Nick & Daniels, Rhonda, 2013. "Public–private contracting and incentives for public transport: Can anything be learned from the Sydney Metro experience?," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 73-84.
    4. Tongzon, Jose L., 1995. "Determinants of port performance and efficiency," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 29(3), pages 245-252, May.
    5. Rafael La Porta & Florencio Lopez‐De‐Silanes & Andrei Shleifer, 2002. "Government Ownership of Banks," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 57(1), pages 265-301, February.
    6. Beuselinck, Christof & Cao, Lihong & Deloof, Marc & Xia, Xinping, 2017. "The value of government ownership during the global financial crisis," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 481-493.
    7. L. ALAN WINTERS & NEIL McCULLOCH & ANDREW McKAY, 2015. "Trade Liberalization and Poverty: The Evidence So Far," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Non-Tariff Barriers, Regionalism and Poverty Essays in Applied International Trade Analysis, chapter 14, pages 271-314, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    8. Lee, Tae-Woo, 1990. "Korean shipping policy , : The role of government," Marine Policy, Elsevier, vol. 14(5), pages 421-437, September.
    9. Wei Liu & Wenjuan Li & Xu Xu, 2015. "The Prospect Analysis of the PPP Financing Model Application in Ports of China," Springer Books, in: Zhenji Zhang & Zuojun Max Shen & Juliang Zhang & Runtong Zhang (ed.), Liss 2014, edition 127, pages 1183-1189, Springer.
    10. Gregory Jackson & Richard Deeg, 2008. "Comparing capitalisms: understanding institutional diversity and its implications for international business," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 39(4), pages 540-561, June.
    11. Athanasios A Pallis & Theo E Notteboom & Peter W De Langen, 2008. "Concession Agreements and Market Entry in the Container Terminal Industry," Maritime Economics & Logistics, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association of Maritime Economists (IAME), vol. 10(3), pages 209-228, September.
    12. Robert Osei -- Kyei & Albert P.C. Chan, 2016. "Developing Transport Infrastructure in Sub-Saharan Africa through Public--Private Partnerships: Policy Practice and Implications," Transport Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(2), pages 170-186, March.
    13. Francesco Parola & Jasmine Siu Lee Lam, 2018. "An empirical investigation of logistics infrastructure projects in emerging economies," Maritime Economics & Logistics, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association of Maritime Economists (IAME), vol. 20(1), pages 48-71, March.
    14. KC Fung & Alicia Garcia-Herrero & Francis Ng, 2009. "Foreign Direct Investment in Cross-Border Infrastructure Projects 1," Working Papers 0917, BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department.
    15. Hokey Min & Chan-Young Jun, 2014. "Public–private partnerships for the development of port hinterlands and their ramifications for global supply chain management," Maritime Economics & Logistics, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association of Maritime Economists (IAME), vol. 16(3), pages 250-275, September.
    16. Williams, Andrew, 2015. "A global index of information transparency and accountability," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(3), pages 804-824.
    17. Christophe Theys & Theo E. Notteboom & Athanasios A. Pallis & Peter W. De Langen, 2010. "The Economics Behind the Awarding of Terminals in Seaports: Towards a Research Agenda," Chapters, in: Kevin Cullinane (ed.), International Handbook of Maritime Business, chapter 12, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    18. Parola, Francesco & Notteboom, Theo & Satta, Giovanni & Rodrigue, Jean-Paul, 2013. "Analysis of factors underlying foreign entry strategies of terminal operators in container ports," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 72-84.
    19. Xiao-Hua Jin & Hemanta Doloi, 2008. "Interpreting risk allocation mechanism in public-private partnership projects: an empirical study in a transaction cost economics perspective," Construction Management and Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(7), pages 707-721.
    20. J. H. M. Tah & V. Carr, 2000. "A proposal for construction project risk assessment using fuzzy logic," Construction Management and Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(4), pages 491-500.
    21. Cabrera, María & Suárez-Alemán, Ancor & Trujillo, Lourdes, 2015. "Public-private partnerships in Spanish Ports: Current status and future prospects," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 1-11.
    22. Zhang, Yanlong, 2015. "The formation of public-private partnerships in China: an institutional perspective," Journal of Public Policy, Cambridge University Press, vol. 35(2), pages 329-354, August.
    23. Slangen, Arjen H.L. & van Tulder, Rob J.M., 2009. "Cultural distance, political risk, or governance quality? Towards a more accurate conceptualization and measurement of external uncertainty in foreign entry mode research," International Business Review, Elsevier, vol. 18(3), pages 276-291, June.
    24. Robert Cudeck & Kelli Klebe & Susan Henly, 1993. "A simple Gauss-Newton procedure for covariance structure analysis with high-level computer languages," Psychometrika, Springer;The Psychometric Society, vol. 58(2), pages 211-232, June.
    25. B. Peters & Jon Pierre & Tiina Randma-Liiv, 2011. "Global Financial Crisis, Public Administration and Governance: Do New Problems Require New Solutions?," Public Organization Review, Springer, vol. 11(1), pages 13-27, March.
    26. Kahn, Henry S. & Tatham, Lilith M. & Pamuk, Elsie R. & Heath, Clark W., 1998. "Are geographic regions with high income inequality associated with risk of abdominal weight gain?," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 47(1), pages 1-6, July.
    27. Albert Satorra & Peter Bentler, 2001. "A scaled difference chi-square test statistic for moment structure analysis," Psychometrika, Springer;The Psychometric Society, vol. 66(4), pages 507-514, December.
    28. Boubakri, Narjess & El Ghoul, Sadok & Guedhami, Omrane & Megginson, William L., 2018. "The market value of government ownership," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 44-65.
    29. Axel Dreher, 2006. "Does globalization affect growth? Evidence from a new index of globalization," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(10), pages 1091-1110.
    30. Lee, Young & Gordon, Roger H., 2005. "Tax structure and economic growth," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(5-6), pages 1027-1043, June.
    31. Peter Temin, 2010. "The Great Recession and the Great Depression," NBER Working Papers 15645, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    32. Hensher, David A. & Ho, Chinh & Knowles, Louise, 2016. "Efficient contracting and incentive agreements between regulators and bus operators: The influence of risk preferences of contracting agents on contract choice," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 22-40.
    33. S. Ping Ho & Liang Liu, 2002. "An option pricing-based model for evaluating the financial viability of privatized infrastructure projects," Construction Management and Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(2), pages 143-156.
    34. Panayides, Photis M. & Parola, Francesco & Lam, Jasmine Siu Lee, 2015. "The effect of institutional factors on public–private partnership success in ports," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 110-127.
    35. Kostovetsky, Leonard, 2015. "Political capital and moral hazard," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 116(1), pages 144-159.
    36. Paul Tae-Woo Lee & Jasmine Siu Lee Lam, 2017. "A review of port devolution and governance models with compound eyes approach," Transport Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(4), pages 507-520, July.
    37. Paul Tae-Woo Lee & Matthew Flynn, 2011. "Charting a New Paradigm of Container Hub Port Development Policy: The Asian Doctrine," Transport Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(6), pages 791-806.
    38. Jeffry M. Netter & William L. Megginson, 2001. "From State to Market: A Survey of Empirical Studies on Privatization," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 39(2), pages 321-389, June.
    39. Henisz, Witold J, 2000. "The Institutional Environment for Multinational Investment," The Journal of Law, Economics, and Organization, Oxford University Press, vol. 16(2), pages 334-364, October.
    40. Mr. Etienne B Yehoue & Miss Mona Hammami & Jean-François Ruhashyankiko, 2006. "Determinants of Public-Private Partnerships in Infrastructure," IMF Working Papers 2006/099, International Monetary Fund.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Xiao, Zengqi & Lam, Jasmine Siu Lee, 2022. "Effects of project-specific government involvement actions on the attractiveness of port public-private partnerships among private investors," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 59-69.
    2. Xuemeng Guo & Bingyao Chen & Yuting Feng, 2022. "Public-Private Partnership Transportation Investment and Low-Carbon Economic Development: An Empirical Study Based on Spatial Spillover and Project Characteristics in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-22, August.
    3. Hafiz Syed Mohsin Abbas & Xiaodong Xu & Chunxia Sun & Samreen Gillani & Muhammad Ahsan Ali Raza, 2023. "Role of Chinese government and Public–Private Partnership in combating COVID-19 in China," Journal of Management & Governance, Springer;Accademia Italiana di Economia Aziendale (AIDEA), vol. 27(3), pages 727-748, September.
    4. Feng, Hongxiang & Grifoll, Manel & Yang, Zhongzhen & Zheng, Pengjun, 2021. "Latest challenges to ports in public-private partnership: Case of Dandong Port (China)'s bankruptcy," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 293-305.
    5. Jia, Xiaohui & Cui, Yongmei, 2021. "Examining interrelationships of barriers in the evolution of maritime port smartification from a systematic perspective," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 49-58.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Xiao, Zengqi & Lam, Jasmine Siu Lee, 2020. "The impact of institutional conditions on willingness to take contractual risk in port public-private partnerships of developing countries," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 133(C), pages 12-26.
    2. Jeffrey Kouton & Wilfried Sanogo & Nandi Djomgoue, 2023. "Risk allocation in energy infrastructure PPPs projects in selected African countries: does institutional quality, PPPs experience and income level make a difference?," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(1), pages 537-580, February.
    3. Xiao, Zengqi & Lam, Jasmine Siu Lee, 2022. "Effects of project-specific government involvement actions on the attractiveness of port public-private partnerships among private investors," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 59-69.
    4. Holland, Kateryna, 2019. "Government investment in publicly traded firms," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 319-342.
    5. Xinyu Yu & Ping Wang, 2020. "Government control and the value of cash: evidence from listed firms in China," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 55(4), pages 1341-1369, November.
    6. Achsanta, Aldy Fariz & Lepetit, Laetitia & Tarazi, Amine, 2022. "Government ownership of banks: Implications for minority shareholders," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    7. Boubakri, Narjess & Chen, Ruiyuan (Ryan) & El Ghoul, Sadok & Guedhami, Omrane & Nash, Robert, 2020. "State ownership and stock liquidity: Evidence from privatization," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    8. Feng, Hongxiang & Grifoll, Manel & Yang, Zhongzhen & Zheng, Pengjun, 2021. "Latest challenges to ports in public-private partnership: Case of Dandong Port (China)'s bankruptcy," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 293-305.
    9. Sun, Lingxia, 2023. "Ultimate government control and stock price crash risk: Evidence from China," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    10. Ruiyuan Chen & Sadok El Ghoul & Omrane Guedhami & Chuck C. Y. Kwok & Robert Nash, 2021. "International evidence on state ownership and trade credit: Opportunities and motivations," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 52(6), pages 1121-1158, August.
    11. Ullah, Barkat, 2021. "Does innovation explain the performance gap between privatized and private firms?," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    12. Theo Notteboom & Jean-Paul Rodrigue, 2023. "Maritime container terminal infrastructure, network corporatization, and global terminal operators: Implications for international business policy," Journal of International Business Policy, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 6(1), pages 67-83, March.
    13. Theo Notteboom & Jasmine Siu Lee Lam, 2018. "The Greening of Terminal Concessions in Seaports," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-17, September.
    14. Cornett, Marcia Millon & Guo, Lin & Khaksari, Shahriar & Tehranian, Hassan, 2010. "The impact of state ownership on performance differences in privately-owned versus state-owned banks: An international comparison," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 19(1), pages 74-94, January.
    15. Johansson, Anders C. & Luo, Danglun & Rickne, Johanna & Zheng, Wei, 2016. "Government Intervention in the Capital Allocation Process: Firm Employment as an IPO Selection Rule in China," Stockholm School of Economics Asia Working Paper Series 2016-40, Stockholm School of Economics, Stockholm China Economic Research Institute.
    16. Alberto Chong & Florencio de, 2003. "The Truth about Privatization in Latin America," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm436, Yale School of Management.
    17. Megginson, William L., 2005. "The economics of bank privatization," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(8-9), pages 1931-1980, August.
    18. Djankov, Simeon & Glaeser, Edward & La Porta, Rafael & Lopez-de-Silanes, Florencio & Shleifer, Andrei, 2003. "The new comparative economics," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 595-619, December.
    19. Jamal Ouenniche & Aristotelis Boukouras & Mohammad Rajabi, 2016. "An Ordinal Game Theory Approach to the Analysis and Selection of Partners in Public–Private Partnership Projects," Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, Springer, vol. 169(1), pages 314-343, April.
    20. Boubakri, Narjess & Guedhami, Omrane & Kwok, Chuck C.Y. & Wang, He (Helen), 2019. "Is privatization a socially responsible reform?," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 129-151.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:trapol:v:81:y:2019:i:c:p:106-116. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/30473/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.