IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/transa/v133y2020icp12-26.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The impact of institutional conditions on willingness to take contractual risk in port public-private partnerships of developing countries

Author

Listed:
  • Xiao, Zengqi
  • Lam, Jasmine Siu Lee

Abstract

Public–private partnerships (PPPs) are gaining popularity in port development projects especially in developing countries. A key question emerges that why private companies are willing to take more risk in some port PPP projects but not in others. This paper empirically investigates willingness to take port PPP contractual risk from institutional perspectives. Specifically, the paper examines impacts of business friendliness, political effectiveness, and freedom from governmental intervention on private investors’ willingness to take port PPP contractual risk. The analysis covers a total of 398 port PPP projects in developing countries from 1995 to 2016 based on the World Bank Private Participation in Infrastructure database. Findings reveal that the effect of political effectiveness on willingness to take contractual risk mediates through two variables (1) business friendliness and (2) freedom from governmental intervention, where the former mediation contributes positively, and the latter has a negative impact. The research is the first attempt in the literature that examines differences in the willingness to take PPP contractual risk among private investors. Policy and managerial implications for various stakeholders are discussed.

Suggested Citation

  • Xiao, Zengqi & Lam, Jasmine Siu Lee, 2020. "The impact of institutional conditions on willingness to take contractual risk in port public-private partnerships of developing countries," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 133(C), pages 12-26.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:transa:v:133:y:2020:i:c:p:12-26
    DOI: 10.1016/j.tra.2019.12.023
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0965856418310681
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.tra.2019.12.023?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Simeon Djankov & Rafael La Porta & Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes & Andrei Shleifer, 2002. "The Regulation of Entry," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 117(1), pages 1-37.
    2. Mohammed Fadhil Dulaimi & Mohamed Alhashemi & Florence Yean Yng Ling & Mohan Kumaraswamy, 2010. "The execution of public-private partnership projects in the UAE," Construction Management and Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(4), pages 393-402.
    3. Deng, Ping & Lu, Shiqing & Xiao, Hanbin, 2013. "Evaluation of the relevance measure between ports and regional economy using structural equation modeling," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 123-133.
    4. Jasmine Siu Lee Lam & Kevin Patrick Brendan Cullinane & Paul Tae-Woo Lee, 2018. "The 21st-century Maritime Silk Road: challenges and opportunities for transport management and practice," Transport Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(4), pages 413-415, July.
    5. Athanasios A Pallis & Theo E Notteboom & Peter W De Langen, 2008. "Concession Agreements and Market Entry in the Container Terminal Industry," Maritime Economics & Logistics, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association of Maritime Economists (IAME), vol. 10(3), pages 209-228, September.
    6. Robert Osei -- Kyei & Albert P.C. Chan, 2016. "Developing Transport Infrastructure in Sub-Saharan Africa through Public--Private Partnerships: Policy Practice and Implications," Transport Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(2), pages 170-186, March.
    7. Chou, Jui-Sheng & Ping Tserng, H. & Lin, Chieh & Yeh, Chun-Pin, 2012. "Critical factors and risk allocation for PPP policy: Comparison between HSR and general infrastructure projects," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 22(C), pages 36-48.
    8. Francesco Parola & Jasmine Siu Lee Lam, 2018. "An empirical investigation of logistics infrastructure projects in emerging economies," Maritime Economics & Logistics, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association of Maritime Economists (IAME), vol. 20(1), pages 48-71, March.
    9. Bart W Wiegmans & Barry Ubbels & Piet Rietveld & Peter Nijkamp, 2002. "Investments in Container Terminals: Public Private Partnerships in Europe," Maritime Economics & Logistics, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association of Maritime Economists (IAME), vol. 4(1), pages 1-20, March.
    10. Hokey Min & Chan-Young Jun, 2014. "Public–private partnerships for the development of port hinterlands and their ramifications for global supply chain management," Maritime Economics & Logistics, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association of Maritime Economists (IAME), vol. 16(3), pages 250-275, September.
    11. Wiegmans, Bart W. & Ubbels, B. & Rietveld, P., 2002. "Investments in container terminals: public private partnerships," Serie Research Memoranda 0003, VU University Amsterdam, Faculty of Economics, Business Administration and Econometrics.
    12. Xiao-Hua Jin & Hemanta Doloi, 2008. "Interpreting risk allocation mechanism in public-private partnership projects: an empirical study in a transaction cost economics perspective," Construction Management and Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(7), pages 707-721.
    13. J. H. M. Tah & V. Carr, 2000. "A proposal for construction project risk assessment using fuzzy logic," Construction Management and Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(4), pages 491-500.
    14. Rafael La Porta & Florencio Lopez‐De‐Silanes & Andrei Shleifer, 2002. "Government Ownership of Banks," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 57(1), pages 265-301, February.
    15. Zhang, Yanlong, 2015. "The formation of public-private partnerships in China: an institutional perspective," Journal of Public Policy, Cambridge University Press, vol. 35(2), pages 329-354, August.
    16. Bing Li & A. Akintoye & P. J. Edwards & C. Hardcastle, 2005. "Critical success factors for PPP/PFI projects in the UK construction industry," Construction Management and Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(5), pages 459-471.
    17. Zhang, Wei & Lam, Jasmine Siu Lee, 2017. "An empirical analysis of maritime cluster evolution from the port development perspective – Cases of London and Hong Kong," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 219-232.
    18. KC Fung & Alicia Garcia-Herrero & Francis Ng, 2009. "Foreign Direct Investment in Cross-Border Infrastructure Projects 1," Working Papers 0917, BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department.
    19. Jennifer M. Brinkerhoff & Derick W. Brinkerhoff & Anna Wetterberg, 2011. "Public–private partnership in labor standards governance: Better factories Cambodia," Public Administration & Development, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 31(1), pages 64-73, February.
    20. S. Ping Ho & Liang Liu, 2002. "An option pricing-based model for evaluating the financial viability of privatized infrastructure projects," Construction Management and Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(2), pages 143-156.
    21. Panayides, Photis M. & Parola, Francesco & Lam, Jasmine Siu Lee, 2015. "The effect of institutional factors on public–private partnership success in ports," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 110-127.
    22. Kostovetsky, Leonard, 2015. "Political capital and moral hazard," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 116(1), pages 144-159.
    23. Chen, Shimin & Sun, Zheng & Tang, Song & Wu, Donghui, 2011. "Government intervention and investment efficiency: Evidence from China," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 17(2), pages 259-271, April.
    24. Axel Dreher, 2006. "Does globalization affect growth? Evidence from a new index of globalization," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(10), pages 1091-1110.
    25. Locatelli, Giorgio & Invernizzi, Diletta Colette & Brookes, Naomi J., 2017. "Project characteristics and performance in Europe: An empirical analysis for large transport infrastructure projects," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 108-122.
    26. Mr. Etienne B Yehoue & Miss Mona Hammami & Jean-François Ruhashyankiko, 2006. "Determinants of Public-Private Partnerships in Infrastructure," IMF Working Papers 2006/099, International Monetary Fund.
    27. Stein, Ernesto & Daude, Christian, 2007. "Longitude matters: Time zones and the location of foreign direct investment," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(1), pages 96-112, March.
    28. Wei Liu & Wenjuan Li & Xu Xu, 2015. "The Prospect Analysis of the PPP Financing Model Application in Ports of China," Springer Books, in: Zhenji Zhang & Zuojun Max Shen & Juliang Zhang & Runtong Zhang (ed.), Liss 2014, edition 127, pages 1183-1189, Springer.
    29. Gregory Jackson & Richard Deeg, 2008. "Comparing capitalisms: understanding institutional diversity and its implications for international business," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 39(4), pages 540-561, June.
    30. Williams, Andrew, 2015. "A global index of information transparency and accountability," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(3), pages 804-824.
    31. Christophe Theys & Theo E. Notteboom & Athanasios A. Pallis & Peter W. De Langen, 2010. "The Economics Behind the Awarding of Terminals in Seaports: Towards a Research Agenda," Chapters, in: Kevin Cullinane (ed.), International Handbook of Maritime Business, chapter 12, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    32. Parola, Francesco & Notteboom, Theo & Satta, Giovanni & Rodrigue, Jean-Paul, 2013. "Analysis of factors underlying foreign entry strategies of terminal operators in container ports," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 72-84.
    33. Sheila Farrell & Thierry Vanelslander, 2015. "Comparison of Public-Private Partnerships in Airports and Seaports in Low- and Middle-Income Countries," Transport Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(3), pages 329-351, May.
    34. Kaufmann, Daniel & Kraay, Aart & Mastruzzi, Massimo, 2010. "The worldwide governance indicators : methodology and analytical issues," Policy Research Working Paper Series 5430, The World Bank.
    35. Cabrera, María & Suárez-Alemán, Ancor & Trujillo, Lourdes, 2015. "Public-private partnerships in Spanish Ports: Current status and future prospects," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 1-11.
    36. Slangen, Arjen H.L. & van Tulder, Rob J.M., 2009. "Cultural distance, political risk, or governance quality? Towards a more accurate conceptualization and measurement of external uncertainty in foreign entry mode research," International Business Review, Elsevier, vol. 18(3), pages 276-291, June.
    37. Woo, Su-Han & Pettit, Stephen J. & Kwak, Dong-Wook & Beresford, Anthony K.C., 2011. "Seaport research: A structured literature review on methodological issues since the 1980s," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 45(7), pages 667-685, August.
    38. J Augusto Felício & Vítor Caldeirinha & Andreia Dionísio, 2015. "The effect of port and container terminal characteristics on terminal performance," Maritime Economics & Logistics, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association of Maritime Economists (IAME), vol. 17(4), pages 493-514, December.
    39. Koen Verhoest & Ole Helby Petersen & Walter Scherrer & Raden Murwantara Soecipto, 2015. "How Do Governments Support the Development of Public Private Partnerships? Measuring and Comparing PPP Governmental Support in 20 European Countries," Transport Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(2), pages 118-139, March.
    40. Albert Satorra & Peter Bentler, 2001. "A scaled difference chi-square test statistic for moment structure analysis," Psychometrika, Springer;The Psychometric Society, vol. 66(4), pages 507-514, December.
    41. Hensher, David A. & Ho, Chinh & Knowles, Louise, 2016. "Efficient contracting and incentive agreements between regulators and bus operators: The influence of risk preferences of contracting agents on contract choice," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 22-40.
    42. Peter W. De Langen & Athanasios A. Pallis, 2007. "Entry barriers in seaports," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(5), pages 427-440, October.
    43. Pallis, Athanasios A., 2006. "Chapter 7 Port Governance in Greece," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 17(1), pages 155-169, January.
    44. Henisz, Witold J, 2000. "The Institutional Environment for Multinational Investment," The Journal of Law, Economics, and Organization, Oxford University Press, vol. 16(2), pages 334-364, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Jeffrey Kouton & Wilfried Sanogo & Nandi Djomgoue, 2023. "Risk allocation in energy infrastructure PPPs projects in selected African countries: does institutional quality, PPPs experience and income level make a difference?," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(1), pages 537-580, February.
    2. Fleta-Asín, Jorge & Muñoz, Fernando, 2023. "When bigger is better: Investment volume drivers in infrastructure public-private partnership projects," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    3. Yang, Dong & Li, Lu & Notteboom, Theo, 2022. "Chinese investment in overseas container terminals: The role of investor attributes in achieving a higher port competitiveness," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 112-122.
    4. Wang, Wei (Walker) & Jin, Xi & Tan, Zhijia & Sun, Huijun & Wu, Jianjun, 2022. "Modeling the effects of government subsidy and regulation on BOT transport project contract design within contractible service quality," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 164(C).
    5. Xiao, Zengqi & Lam, Jasmine Siu Lee, 2022. "Effects of project-specific government involvement actions on the attractiveness of port public-private partnerships among private investors," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 59-69.
    6. Wang, Mei-Ru & Li, Zhi-Chun & Fu, Xiaowen & Xiong, Yi, 2024. "Revenue-sharing in the alliance of inland river and sea carriers: Formulation and a case study," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 183(C).
    7. Khatua, Apalak & Ranjan Kumar, Rajeev & Kumar De, Supriya, 2023. "Institutional enablers of electric vehicle market: Evidence from 30 countries," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
    8. Yang, Yang & Liu, Qing & Chang, Chia-Hsun, 2023. "China-Europe freight transportation under the first wave of COVID-19 pandemic and government restriction measures," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    9. Jolanta Tamošaitienė & Hadi Sarvari & Daniel W. M. Chan & Matteo Cristofaro, 2020. "Assessing the Barriers and Risks to Private Sector Participation in Infrastructure Construction Projects in Developing Countries of Middle East," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(1), pages 1-20, December.
    10. Liu, Qing & Yang, Yang & Ng, Adolf K.Y. & Jiang, Changmin, 2023. "An analysis on the resilience of the European port network," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 175(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Xiao, Zengqi & Lam, Jasmine Siu Lee, 2019. "Willingness to take contractual risk in port public-private partnerships under economic volatility: The role of institutional environment in emerging economies," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 106-116.
    2. Jeffrey Kouton & Wilfried Sanogo & Nandi Djomgoue, 2023. "Risk allocation in energy infrastructure PPPs projects in selected African countries: does institutional quality, PPPs experience and income level make a difference?," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(1), pages 537-580, February.
    3. Feng, Hongxiang & Grifoll, Manel & Yang, Zhongzhen & Zheng, Pengjun, 2021. "Latest challenges to ports in public-private partnership: Case of Dandong Port (China)'s bankruptcy," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 293-305.
    4. Parola, Francesco & Notteboom, Theo & Satta, Giovanni & Rodrigue, Jean-Paul, 2013. "Analysis of factors underlying foreign entry strategies of terminal operators in container ports," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 72-84.
    5. Panayides, Photis M. & Parola, Francesco & Lam, Jasmine Siu Lee, 2015. "The effect of institutional factors on public–private partnership success in ports," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 110-127.
    6. Xiao, Zengqi & Lam, Jasmine Siu Lee, 2022. "Effects of project-specific government involvement actions on the attractiveness of port public-private partnerships among private investors," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 59-69.
    7. Yang, Dong & Li, Lu & Notteboom, Theo, 2022. "Chinese investment in overseas container terminals: The role of investor attributes in achieving a higher port competitiveness," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 112-122.
    8. Fleta-Asín, Jorge & Muñoz, Fernando, 2020. "How does risk transference to private partner impact on public-private partnerships’ success? Empirical evidence from developing economies," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    9. Francesco Parola & Jasmine Siu Lee Lam, 2018. "An empirical investigation of logistics infrastructure projects in emerging economies," Maritime Economics & Logistics, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association of Maritime Economists (IAME), vol. 20(1), pages 48-71, March.
    10. Shiying Shi & Heap-Yih Chong & Lihong Liu & Xiaosu Ye, 2016. "Examining the Interrelationship among Critical Success Factors of Public Private Partnership Infrastructure Projects," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(12), pages 1-20, December.
    11. Pallis, Athanasios A. & de Langen, Peter W., 2010. "Seaports and the structural implications of the economic crisis," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 27(1), pages 10-18.
    12. Theo Notteboom & Jean-Paul Rodrigue, 2023. "Maritime container terminal infrastructure, network corporatization, and global terminal operators: Implications for international business policy," Journal of International Business Policy, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 6(1), pages 67-83, March.
    13. Theo Notteboom & Jasmine Siu Lee Lam, 2018. "The Greening of Terminal Concessions in Seaports," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-17, September.
    14. Athanasios A. Pallis & Francesco Parola & Giovanni Satta & Theo E. Notteboom, 2018. "Private entry in cruise terminal operations in the Mediterranean Sea," Maritime Economics & Logistics, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association of Maritime Economists (IAME), vol. 20(1), pages 1-28, March.
    15. Parola, Francesco & Pallis, Athanasios A. & Risitano, Marcello & Ferretti, Marco, 2018. "Marketing strategies of Port Authorities: A multi-dimensional theorisation," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 199-212.
    16. Theo Notteboom & Jean-Paul Rodrigue, 2012. "The corporate geography of global container terminal operators," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(3), pages 249-279, May.
    17. Abraham Park & Chen Yu Chang, 2013. "Impacts of Construction Events on the Project Equity Value of the Channel Tunnel Project," ERES eres2013_97, European Real Estate Society (ERES).
    18. Seo, Young-Joon & Park, Jin Suk, 2016. "The estimation of minimum efficient scale of the port industry," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 168-175.
    19. Francesco Parola & Giovanni Satta & Theo Notteboom & Luca Persico, 2021. "Revisiting traffic forecasting by port authorities in the context of port planning and development," Maritime Economics & Logistics, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association of Maritime Economists (IAME), vol. 23(3), pages 444-494, September.
    20. Ang, James B. & Fredriksson, Per G., 2018. "Culture, legal heritage and the regulation of labor," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(2), pages 616-633.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:transa:v:133:y:2020:i:c:p:12-26. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/547/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.