IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/transb/v30y1996i4p309-324.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Estimation of an origin-destination matrix with random link choice proportions: A statistical approach

Author

Listed:
  • Lo, H. P.
  • Zhang, N.
  • Lam, W. H. K.

Abstract

The use of statistical modeling in the estimation of Origin-Destination (OD) matrix from traffic counts is reviewed. In particular, statistical models that consider explicitly the presence of measurement and sampling errors in the observed link flows are discussed. This paper proposes treating the link choice proportions as random variables. Accordingly, new statistical models are formulated and the corresponding Maximum Likelihood Estimator and Bayesian Estimator of the OD matrix are developed. The accuracies of these estimators are compared with those obtained by previous methods.

Suggested Citation

  • Lo, H. P. & Zhang, N. & Lam, W. H. K., 1996. "Estimation of an origin-destination matrix with random link choice proportions: A statistical approach," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 30(4), pages 309-324, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:transb:v:30:y:1996:i:4:p:309-324
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/0191-2615(95)00036-4
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Maher, M. J., 1983. "Inferences on trip matrices from observations on link volumes: A Bayesian statistical approach," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 17(6), pages 435-447, December.
    2. Cascetta, Ennio, 1984. "Estimation of trip matrices from traffic counts and survey data: A generalized least squares estimator," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 18(4-5), pages 289-299.
    3. Cascetta, Ennio & Nguyen, Sang, 1988. "A unified framework for estimating or updating origin/destination matrices from traffic counts," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 22(6), pages 437-455, December.
    4. Bell, Michael G. H., 1991. "The estimation of origin-destination matrices by constrained generalised least squares," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 25(1), pages 13-22, February.
    5. Sue McNeil & Chris Hendrickson, 1985. "A Regression Formulation of the Matrix Estimation Problem," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 19(3), pages 278-292, August.
    6. Yang, Hai & Sasaki, Tsuna & Iida, Yasunori & Asakura, Yasuo, 1992. "Estimation of origin-destination matrices from link traffic counts on congested networks," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 26(6), pages 417-434, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Anselmo Ramalho Pitombeira-Neto & Carlos Felipe Grangeiro Loureiro & Luis Eduardo Carvalho, 2020. "A Dynamic Hierarchical Bayesian Model for the Estimation of day-to-day Origin-destination Flows in Transportation Networks," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 20(2), pages 499-527, June.
    2. Hazelton, Martin L., 2000. "Estimation of origin-destination matrices from link flows on uncongested networks," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 34(7), pages 549-566, September.
    3. Lo, H. P. & Zhang, N. & Lam, W. H. K., 1999. "Decomposition algorithm for statistical estimation of OD matrix with random link choice proportions from traffic counts," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 33(5), pages 369-385, June.
    4. Lo, Hing-Po & Chan, Chi-Pak, 2003. "Simultaneous estimation of an origin-destination matrix and link choice proportions using traffic counts," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 37(9), pages 771-788, November.
    5. Castillo, Enrique & Menéndez, José María & Jiménez, Pilar, 2008. "Trip matrix and path flow reconstruction and estimation based on plate scanning and link observations," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 42(5), pages 455-481, June.
    6. Guo, Jianhua & Liu, Yu & Li, Xiugang & Huang, Wei & Cao, Jinde & Wei, Yun, 2019. "Enhanced least square based dynamic OD matrix estimation using Radio Frequency Identification data," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 27-40.
    7. Tao Li, 2017. "A Demand Estimator Based on a Nested Logit Model," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 51(3), pages 918-930, August.
    8. Nie, Yu & Zhang, H.M. & Recker, W.W., 2005. "Inferring origin-destination trip matrices with a decoupled GLS path flow estimator," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 39(6), pages 497-518, July.
    9. Seungkyu Ryu, 2020. "A Bicycle Origin–Destination Matrix Estimation Based on a Two-Stage Procedure," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(7), pages 1-14, April.
    10. Hazelton, Martin L., 2003. "Some comments on origin-destination matrix estimation," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 37(10), pages 811-822, December.
    11. Xie, Chi & Kockelman, Kara M. & Waller, S. Travis, 2011. "A maximum entropy-least squares estimator for elastic origin–destination trip matrix estimation," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 45(9), pages 1465-1482.
    12. Sun, Ran & Fan, Yueyue, 2024. "Stochastic OD demand estimation using stochastic programming," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 183(C).
    13. Gomes, Gabriel C., 2004. "Optimization and Microsimulation of On-ramp Metering for Congested Freeways," Institute of Transportation Studies, Research Reports, Working Papers, Proceedings qt95k1q411, Institute of Transportation Studies, UC Berkeley.
    14. Blume, Steffen O.P. & Corman, Francesco & Sansavini, Giovanni, 2022. "Bayesian origin-destination estimation in networked transit systems using nodal in- and outflow counts," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 161(C), pages 60-94.
    15. Yang, Yudi & Fan, Yueyue & Royset, Johannes O., 2019. "Estimating probability distributions of travel demand on a congested network," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 122(C), pages 265-286.
    16. ManWo Ng & Hong Lo, 2013. "Regional Air Quality Conformity in Transportation Networks with Stochastic Dependencies: A Theoretical Copula-Based Model," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 13(4), pages 373-397, December.
    17. Doblas, Javier & Benitez, Francisco G., 2005. "An approach to estimating and updating origin-destination matrices based upon traffic counts preserving the prior structure of a survey matrix," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 39(7), pages 565-591, August.
    18. Zhang, Michael & Nie, Yu & Shen, Wei & Lee, Ming S. & Jansuwan, Sarawut & Chootinan, Piya & Pravinvongvuth, Surachet & Chen, Anthony & Recker, Will W., 2008. "Development of A Path Flow Estimator for Inferring Steady-State and Time-Dependent Origin-Destination Trip Matrices," Institute of Transportation Studies, Research Reports, Working Papers, Proceedings qt3nr033sc, Institute of Transportation Studies, UC Berkeley.
    19. Castillo, Enrique & Menéndez, José María & Sánchez-Cambronero, Santos, 2008. "Predicting traffic flow using Bayesian networks," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 42(5), pages 482-509, June.
    20. Hazelton, Martin L., 2001. "Inference for origin-destination matrices: estimation, prediction and reconstruction," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 35(7), pages 667-676, August.
    21. Yang, Yudi & Fan, Yueyue & Wets, Roger J.B., 2018. "Stochastic travel demand estimation: Improving network identifiability using multi-day observation sets," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 192-211.
    22. Fu, Hao & Lam, William H.K. & Shao, Hu & Kattan, Lina & Salari, Mostafa, 2022. "Optimization of multi-type traffic sensor locations for estimation of multi-period origin-destination demands with covariance effects," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    23. Simonelli, Fulvio & Marzano, Vittorio & Papola, Andrea & Vitiello, Iolanda, 2012. "A network sensor location procedure accounting for o–d matrix estimate variability," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 46(10), pages 1624-1638.
    24. Maryam Abareshi & Mehdi Zaferanieh & Bagher Keramati, 2017. "Path Flow Estimator in an Entropy Model Using a Nonlinear L-Shaped Algorithm," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 17(1), pages 293-315, March.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Menon, Aditya Krishna & Cai, Chen & Wang, Weihong & Wen, Tao & Chen, Fang, 2015. "Fine-grained OD estimation with automated zoning and sparsity regularisation," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 150-172.
    2. Hai Yang & Qiang Meng & Michael G. H. Bell, 2001. "Simultaneous Estimation of the Origin-Destination Matrices and Travel-Cost Coefficient for Congested Networks in a Stochastic User Equilibrium," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 35(2), pages 107-123, May.
    3. Sherali, Hanif D. & Narayanan, Arvind & Sivanandan, R., 2003. "Estimation of origin-destination trip-tables based on a partial set of traffic link volumes," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 37(9), pages 815-836, November.
    4. Doblas, Javier & Benitez, Francisco G., 2005. "An approach to estimating and updating origin-destination matrices based upon traffic counts preserving the prior structure of a survey matrix," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 39(7), pages 565-591, August.
    5. Yang, Yudi & Fan, Yueyue, 2015. "Data dependent input control for origin–destination demand estimation using observability analysis," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 385-403.
    6. Lo, Hing-Po & Chan, Chi-Pak, 2003. "Simultaneous estimation of an origin-destination matrix and link choice proportions using traffic counts," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 37(9), pages 771-788, November.
    7. Tao Li, 2017. "A Demand Estimator Based on a Nested Logit Model," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 51(3), pages 918-930, August.
    8. Gunnar Flötteröd & Michel Bierlaire & Kai Nagel, 2011. "Bayesian Demand Calibration for Dynamic Traffic Simulations," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 45(4), pages 541-561, November.
    9. Bielli, Maurizio & Reverberi, Pierfrancesco, 1996. "New operations research and artificial intelligence approaches to traffic engineering problems," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 92(3), pages 550-572, August.
    10. Bierlaire, M. & Toint, Ph. L., 1995. "Meuse: An origin-destination matrix estimator that exploits structure," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 29(1), pages 47-60, February.
    11. Lo, H. P. & Zhang, N. & Lam, W. H. K., 1999. "Decomposition algorithm for statistical estimation of OD matrix with random link choice proportions from traffic counts," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 33(5), pages 369-385, June.
    12. Juha-Matti Kuusinen & Janne Sorsa & Marja-Liisa Siikonen, 2015. "The Elevator Trip Origin-Destination Matrix Estimation Problem," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 49(3), pages 559-576, August.
    13. Castillo, Enrique & Menéndez, José María & Jiménez, Pilar, 2008. "Trip matrix and path flow reconstruction and estimation based on plate scanning and link observations," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 42(5), pages 455-481, June.
    14. Fu, Hao & Lam, William H.K. & Shao, Hu & Ma, Wei & Chen, Bi Yu & Ho, H.W., 2022. "Optimization of multi-type sensor locations for simultaneous estimation of origin-destination demands and link travel times with covariance effects," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 166(C), pages 19-47.
    15. Bera, Sharminda & Rao, K. V. Krishna, 2011. "Estimation of origin-destination matrix from traffic counts: the state of the art," European Transport \ Trasporti Europei, ISTIEE, Institute for the Study of Transport within the European Economic Integration, issue 49, pages 2-23.
    16. Xie, Chi & Kockelman, Kara M. & Waller, S. Travis, 2011. "A maximum entropy-least squares estimator for elastic origin–destination trip matrix estimation," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 45(9), pages 1465-1482.
    17. Dimitris Bertsimas & Julia Yan, 2018. "From Physical Properties of Transportation Flows to Demand Estimation: An Optimization Approach," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 52(4), pages 1002-1011, August.
    18. S. Travis Waller & Sai Chand & Aleksa Zlojutro & Divya Nair & Chence Niu & Jason Wang & Xiang Zhang & Vinayak V. Dixit, 2021. "Rapidex: A Novel Tool to Estimate Origin–Destination Trips Using Pervasive Traffic Data," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(20), pages 1-27, October.
    19. Enrique Castillo & Pilar Jiménez & José Menéndez & María Nogal, 2013. "A Bayesian method for estimating traffic flows based on plate scanning," Transportation, Springer, vol. 40(1), pages 173-201, January.
    20. Yang, Yudi & Fan, Yueyue & Royset, Johannes O., 2019. "Estimating probability distributions of travel demand on a congested network," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 122(C), pages 265-286.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:transb:v:30:y:1996:i:4:p:309-324. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/548/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.