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On fitting mode specific constants in the presence of new options in RP/SP models

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  • Cherchi, Elisabetta
  • Ortúzar, Juan de Dios

Abstract

We treat the problem of fitting alternative specific constants (ASC) in models estimated with a mixture of revealed preference (RP) and stated preference (SP) data to forecast the market shares of new alternatives. This important problem can have non-trivial solutions, particularly when some of the SP alternatives are completely revamped versions of existing ones (i.e., an advanced passenger train replacing a normal railway service). As there is no explicit treatment of this problem in the literature we examined it in depth and illustrated it empirically using data especially collected to analyse mode choice in a corridor to the West of Cagliari. We propose a hopefully useful guide to this art (as no practical recipes seem to serve all purposes). Careful specification of the systematic component of utility functions in RP and SP, including the ASC, serves to illuminate the true nature of the underlying error structure in the different data sets, yielding superior forecasting models.

Suggested Citation

  • Cherchi, Elisabetta & Ortúzar, Juan de Dios, 2006. "On fitting mode specific constants in the presence of new options in RP/SP models," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 1-18, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:transa:v:40:y:2006:i:1:p:1-18
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Caussade, Sebastián & Ortúzar, Juan de Dios & Rizzi, Luis I. & Hensher, David A., 2005. "Assessing the influence of design dimensions on stated choice experiment estimates," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 39(7), pages 621-640, August.
    2. Jara-Díaz, Sergio R. & Farah, Marcelo, 1987. "Transport demand and users' benefits with fixed income: The goods/leisure trade off revisited," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 21(2), pages 165-170, April.
    3. Louviere,Jordan J. & Hensher,David A. & Swait,Joffre D., 2000. "Stated Choice Methods," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521788304, September.
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    Cited by:

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    9. Anders F. Jensen & Thomas K. Rasmussen & Carlo G. Prato, 2020. "A Route Choice Model for Capturing Driver Preferences When Driving Electric and Conventional Vehicles," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-18, February.
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    13. Ahern, Aoife A. & Tapley, Nigel, 2008. "The use of stated preference techniques to model modal choices on interurban trips in Ireland," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 42(1), pages 15-27, January.
    14. Sadhukhan, Shubhajit & Banerjee, Uttam K. & Maitra, Bhargab, 2016. "Commuters’ willingness-to-pay for improvement of transfer facilities in and around metro stations – A case study in Kolkata," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 43-58.
    15. Domarchi, Cristian & Cherchi, Elisabetta, 2024. "Role of car segment and fuel type in the choice of alternative fuel vehicles: A cross-nested logit model for the English market," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 357(C).
    16. Mori, Kentaro & Miwa, Tomio & Abe, Ryosuke & Morikawa, Takayuki, 2022. "Equilibrium analysis of trip demand for autonomous taxi services in Nagoya, Japan," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 166(C), pages 476-498.
    17. Rashedi, Zohreh & Mahmoud, Mohamed & Hasnine, Sami & Habib, Khandker Nurul, 2017. "On the factors affecting the choice of regional transit for commuting in Greater Toronto and Hamilton Area: Application of an advanced RP-SP choice model," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 1-13.
    18. Zaidan, Esmat & Abulibdeh, Ammar, 2018. "Modeling ground access mode choice behavior for Hamad International Airport in the 2022 FIFA World Cup city, Doha, Qatar," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 32-45.
    19. Rahmani, Djamel & Loureiro, Maria L. & Escobar, Cristina & Gil, Jose Maria, 2024. "Choice experiments with facial expression analysis: How do emotions affect wine choices?," Journal of choice modelling, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    20. Espino, Raquel & de Dios Ortúzar, Juan & Román, Concepción, 2007. "Understanding suburban travel demand: Flexible modelling with revealed and stated choice data," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 41(10), pages 899-912, December.
    21. Bliemer, Michiel C.J. & Rose, John M., 2011. "Experimental design influences on stated choice outputs: An empirical study in air travel choice," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 45(1), pages 63-79, January.
    22. Björklund, Gunilla & Isacsson, Gunnar, 2013. "Forecasting the impact of infrastructure on Swedish commuters’ cycling behaviour," Working papers in Transport Economics 2013:36, CTS - Centre for Transport Studies Stockholm (KTH and VTI).
    23. Sfeir, Georges & Abou-Zeid, Maya & Kaysi, Isam, 2020. "Multivariate count data models for adoption of new transport modes in an organization-based context," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 59-75.

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