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Development of data-driven technology roadmap considering dependency: An ARM-based technology roadmapping

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  • Geum, Youngjung
  • Lee, HyeonJeong
  • Lee, Youngjo
  • Park, Yongtae

Abstract

The active incorporation of business data has become a vital process in the recent business environment. Despite the potential utility of massive database, technology roadmap, a well-known strategic planning method, still remains a subjective and qualitative method conducted by some experts. Even if some studies have tried, previous research lacks a dependency measure that can be used between layers, which is a critical part of technology roadmaps. This paper therefore suggests an association rule mining (ARM)-based technology roadmap to identify the relationship between different layers. The use of ARM fits the purpose, in terms of capturing the dependency information. Two types of roadmap are developed: a keyword portfolio map and a keyword relational map. In the keyword portfolio map, four types of keyword pairs are identified according to their support and confidence. In the keyword relational map, a 2-dimensional map is developed using support as an intra-layer affinity relationship and confidence as an inter-layer dependency relationship.

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  • Geum, Youngjung & Lee, HyeonJeong & Lee, Youngjo & Park, Yongtae, 2015. "Development of data-driven technology roadmap considering dependency: An ARM-based technology roadmapping," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 264-279.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:tefoso:v:91:y:2015:i:c:p:264-279
    DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2014.03.003
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    1. Clifford Lynch, 2008. "How do your data grow?," Nature, Nature, vol. 455(7209), pages 28-29, September.
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    Cited by:

    1. Yujin Jeong & Hyejin Jang & Byungun Yoon, 2021. "Developing a risk-adaptive technology roadmap using a Bayesian network and topic modeling under deep uncertainty," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 126(5), pages 3697-3722, May.
    2. Cheng, M.N. & Wong, Jane W.K. & Cheung, C.F. & Leung, K.H., 2016. "A scenario-based roadmapping method for strategic planning and forecasting: A case study in a testing, inspection and certification company," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 44-62.
    3. Noh, Heeyong & Kim, Kyuwoong & Song, Young-Keun & Lee, Sungjoo, 2021. "Opportunity-driven technology roadmapping: The case of 5G mobile services," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
    4. Zhang, Yi & Robinson, Douglas K.R. & Porter, Alan L. & Zhu, Donghua & Zhang, Guangquan & Lu, Jie, 2016. "Technology roadmapping for competitive technical intelligence," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 175-186.
    5. Linares, Ian Marques Porto & De Paulo, Alex Fabianne & Porto, Geciane Silveira, 2019. "Patent-based network analysis to understand technological innovation pathways and trends," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    6. Kim, Junhan & Geum, Youngjung, 2021. "How to develop data-driven technology roadmaps:The integration of topic modeling and link prediction," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 171(C).
    7. Yu, Xiang & Zhang, Ben, 2019. "Obtaining advantages from technology revolution: A patent roadmap for competition analysis and strategy planning," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 273-283.
    8. Daim, Tugrul U. & Yoon, Byung-Sung & Lindenberg, John & Grizzi, Robert & Estep, Judith & Oliver, Terry, 2018. "Strategic roadmapping of robotics technologies for the power industry: A multicriteria technology assessment," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 49-66.
    9. Hansen, Christoph & Daim, Tugrul & Ernst, Horst & Herstatt, Cornelius, 2016. "The future of rail automation: A scenario-based technology roadmap for the rail automation market," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 196-212.
    10. Saba Sareminia & Alireza Hasanzadeh & Shaaban Elahi & Gholamali Montazer, 2019. "Developing Technology Roadmapping Combinational Framework by Meta Synthesis Technique," International Journal of Innovation and Technology Management (IJITM), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 16(02), pages 1-36, April.
    11. Amankwah-Amoah, Joseph, 2016. "Emerging economies, emerging challenges: Mobilising and capturing value from big data," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 167-174.
    12. Hassani, Hossein & Beneki, Christina & Silva, Emmanuel Sirimal & Vandeput, Nicolas & Madsen, Dag Øivind, 2021. "The science of statistics versus data science: What is the future?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
    13. de Alcantara, Douglas Pedro & Martens, Mauro Luiz, 2019. "Technology Roadmapping (TRM): a systematic review of the literature focusing on models," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 127-138.
    14. Yin, Xicheng & Wang, Hongwei & Wang, Wei & Zhu, Kevin, 2020. "Task recommendation in crowdsourcing systems: A bibliometric analysis," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    15. Park, Hyunkyu & Phaal, Rob & Ho, Jae-Yun & O'Sullivan, Eoin, 2020. "Twenty years of technology and strategic roadmapping research: A school of thought perspective," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    16. Kayabay, Kerem & Gökalp, Mert Onuralp & Gökalp, Ebru & Erhan Eren, P. & Koçyiğit, Altan, 2022. "Data science roadmapping: An architectural framework for facilitating transformation towards a data-driven organization," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
    17. Amankwah-Amoah, Joseph, 2016. "Emerging economies, emerging challenges: Mobilising and capturing value from big data," MPRA Paper 85625, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    18. Zhang, Hao & Daim, Tugrul & Zhang, Yunqiu (Peggy), 2021. "Integrating patent analysis into technology roadmapping: A latent dirichlet allocation based technology assessment and roadmapping in the field of Blockchain," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).

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