IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/tefoso/v84y2014icp101-114.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The role of context in science fiction prototyping: The digital industrial revolution

Author

Listed:
  • Potstada, Michael
  • Zybura, Jan

Abstract

Fabcreating, a highly sophisticated form of 3D printing, has become ubiquitous by 2033. We outline how digital fabrication might evolve in a science fiction prototype (SFP) and provide a 2033 use case in which consumers produce their own highly customized consumer electronics at home. It shows how consumers virtually select, customize and print mobile phones and highlights how digital fabrication impacts society at large. Our technology outlook is backed by expert interviews. Our story vignette forms a showcase to address the role of technology, creativity and context in SFP. We address the anatomy of SFP and argue that context is important in order to promote opportunity recognition and to envisage game changing technologies and their societal impact. We develop a SFP typology based on a technology prototype and context prototype perspective.

Suggested Citation

  • Potstada, Michael & Zybura, Jan, 2014. "The role of context in science fiction prototyping: The digital industrial revolution," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 101-114.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:tefoso:v:84:y:2014:i:c:p:101-114
    DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2013.08.026
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0040162513002114
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.techfore.2013.08.026?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Elena Cefis & Orietta Marsili, 2005. "A matter of life and death: innovation and firm survival," Industrial and Corporate Change, Oxford University Press and the Associazione ICC, vol. 14(6), pages 1167-1192, December.
    2. Joseph P. Martino, 1980. "Technological Forecasting---An Overview," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 26(1), pages 28-33, January.
    3. Tseng, Fang-Mei & Lin, Ya-Ti & Yang, Shen-Chi, 2012. "Combining conjoint analysis, scenario analysis, the Delphi method, and the innovation diffusion model to analyze the development of innovative products in Taiwan's TV market," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 79(8), pages 1462-1473.
    4. Bob Kijkuit & Jan Van Den Ende, 2007. "The Organizational Life of an Idea: Integrating Social Network, Creativity and Decision‐Making Perspectives," Journal of Management Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(6), pages 863-882, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Bennett, Roger & Vijaygopal, Rohini, 2024. "Exploring mobility and transportation technology futures for people with ambulatory disabilities: A science fiction prototype," Technovation, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    2. Birtchnell, Thomas & Böhme, Tillmann & Gorkin, Robert, 2017. "3D printing and the third mission: The university in the materialization of intellectual capital," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 240-249.
    3. Naghshineh, Bardia & Carvalho, Helena, 2022. "The implications of additive manufacturing technology adoption for supply chain resilience: A systematic search and review," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 247(C).
    4. Wolf, Patricia & Klotz, Ute & Harbo Frederiksen, Marianne, 2024. "Consumer flash fiction: A methodology to support the early sensing of far-future innovation opportunities," Technovation, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    5. Dhir, Amandeep & Talwar, Shalini & Islam, Nazrul & Alghafes, Rasha & Badghish, Saeed, 2023. "Different strokes for different folks: Comparative analysis of 3D printing in large, medium and small firms," Technovation, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    6. Culot, Giovanna & Orzes, Guido & Sartor, Marco & Nassimbeni, Guido, 2020. "The future of manufacturing: A Delphi-based scenario analysis on Industry 4.0," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    7. Marco Savastano & Carlo Amendola & Francesco Bellini & Fabrizio D’Ascenzo, 2019. "Contextual Impacts on Industrial Processes Brought by the Digital Transformation of Manufacturing: A Systematic Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-38, February.
    8. Potstada, Michael & Parandian, Alireza & Robinson, Douglas K.R. & Zybura, Jan, 2016. "An alignment approach for an industry in the making: DIGINOVA and the case of digital fabrication," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 102(C), pages 182-192.
    9. Sætra, Henrik Skaug, 2024. "Science fiction, sustainability, and scenario use: Comprehensive scenarios for improved strategy development and innovation," Technovation, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    10. Zoccarato, Francesca & Lettieri, Emanuele & Radaelli, Giovanni & Ghezzi, Antonio & Toletti, Giovanni, 2024. "Taking Science Fiction seriously: Unveiling its relationship with employee’s Innovative Work Behavior," Technovation, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    11. Sajna Ibrahim & Michael Obal, 2019. "Investigating The Impact Of Radical Technology Adoption Into The New Product Development Process," International Journal of Innovation Management (ijim), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 24(04), pages 1-25, June.
    12. Marić, Josip & Opazo-Basáez, Marco & Vlačić, Božidar & Dabić, Marina, 2023. "Innovation management of three-dimensional printing (3DP) technology: Disclosing insights from existing literature and determining future research streams," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
    13. Frédéric Thiesse & Marco Wirth & Hans-Georg Kemper & Michelle Moisa & Dominik Morar & Heiner Lasi & Frank Piller & Peter Buxmann & Letizia Mortara & Simon Ford & Tim Minshall, 2015. "Economic Implications of Additive Manufacturing and the Contribution of MIS," Business & Information Systems Engineering: The International Journal of WIRTSCHAFTSINFORMATIK, Springer;Gesellschaft für Informatik e.V. (GI), vol. 57(2), pages 139-148, April.
    14. Marozzo, Veronica & Crupi, Antonio & Abbate, Tindara & Cesaroni, Fabrizio & Corvello, Vincenzo, 2024. "The impact of watching science fiction on the creativity of individuals: The role of STEM background," Technovation, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    15. Naghshineh, Bardia & Ribeiro, André & Jacinto, Celeste & Carvalho, Helena, 2021. "Social impacts of additive manufacturing: A stakeholder-driven framework," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 164(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Bennett, Roger & Vijaygopal, Rohini, 2024. "Exploring mobility and transportation technology futures for people with ambulatory disabilities: A science fiction prototype," Technovation, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    2. Insoo Cho & Peter F. Orazem, 2021. "How endogenous risk preferences and sample selection affect analysis of firm survival," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 56(4), pages 1309-1332, April.
    3. Erik Stam & Roy Thurik & Peter van der Zwan, 2010. "Entrepreneurial exit in real and imagined markets," Industrial and Corporate Change, Oxford University Press and the Associazione ICC, vol. 19(4), pages 1109-1139, August.
    4. Francesco Quatraro & Marco Vivarelli, 2015. "Drivers of Entrepreneurship and Post-entry Performance of Newborn Firms in Developing Countries," The World Bank Research Observer, World Bank, vol. 30(2), pages 277-305.
    5. Ana León-Gómez & José Manuel Santos-Jaén & Daniel Ruiz-Palomo & Mercedes Palacios-Manzano, 2022. "Disentangling the impact of ICT adoption on SMEs performance: the mediating roles of corporate social responsibility and innovation," Oeconomia Copernicana, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 13(3), pages 831-866, September.
    6. Rousselière, Damien & Joly, Iragäel, 2011. "A propos de la capacité à survivre des coopératives : une étude de la relation entre âge et mortalité des organisations coopératives agricoles françaises," Review of Agricultural and Environmental Studies - Revue d'Etudes en Agriculture et Environnement (RAEStud), Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA), vol. 92(3).
    7. Cai, Yuzhuo, 2023. "Towards a new model of EU-China innovation cooperation: Bridging missing links between international university collaboration and international industry collaboration," Technovation, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    8. Stanley Ibeku, 2018. "Organisational Learning, Innovation And Performance Of Technology Start-Ups In Lagos, Nigeria," International Journal of Innovation Management (ijim), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 22(03), pages 1-15, April.
    9. Pål Børing, 2015. "The effects of firms’ R&D and innovation activities on their survival: a competing risks analysis," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 49(3), pages 1045-1069, November.
    10. Joern H. Block & Christian O. Fisch & Mirjam van Praag, 2017. "The Schumpeterian entrepreneur: a review of the empirical evidence on the antecedents, behaviour and consequences of innovative entrepreneurship," Industry and Innovation, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(1), pages 61-95, January.
    11. Wagner, Joachim, 2023. "Exports and firm survival in times of COVID-19: Evidence from eight European countries," KCG Working Papers 29, Kiel Centre for Globalization (KCG).
    12. Damien Rousselière, 2019. "A Flexible Approach to Age Dependence in Organizational Mortality: Comparing the Life Duration for Cooperative and Non-Cooperative Enterprises Using a Bayesian Generalized Additive Discrete Time Survi," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 17(4), pages 829-855, December.
    13. Christos Genakos & Ioannis Kaplanis & Maria Theano Tagaraki & Aggelos Tsakanikas, 2023. "Firm Resilience and Growth during the Economics Crisis: lessons from the Greek depression," GreeSE – Hellenic Observatory Papers on Greece and Southeast Europe 186, Hellenic Observatory, LSE.
    14. Joachim Wagner, 2021. "With a little help from my website. Firm survival and web presence in times of COVID-19 – Evidence from 10 European countries," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 41(3), pages 1898-1906.
    15. Cefis, Elena & Bartoloni, Eleonora & Bonati, Marco, 2020. "Show me how to live: Firms' financial conditions and innovation during the crisis," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 63-81.
    16. Haasnoot, Cornelis W. & de Vaal, Albert, 2022. "Heterogeneous firms and cluster externalities: how asymmetric effects at the firm level affect cluster productivity," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 51(6).
    17. Pittiglio, Rosanna, 2024. "Counterfeiting and firm survival. Evidence from the Italian manufacturing industry," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 48(2).
    18. Christian Le Bas & Nicolas Poussing, 2014. "Are Complex Innovators More Persistent Than Single Innovators? An Empirical Analysis Of Innovation Persistence Drivers," International Journal of Innovation Management (ijim), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 18(01), pages 1-21.
    19. Marco Capasso & Tania Treibich & Bart Verspagen, 2015. "The medium-term effect of R&D on firm growth," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 45(1), pages 39-62, June.
    20. Rizova, Polly S. & Gupta, Samir & Maltz, Elliot N. & Walker, Robert W., 2018. "Overcoming equivocality on projects in the fuzzy front end: Bringing social networks back in," Technovation, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 40-55.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:tefoso:v:84:y:2014:i:c:p:101-114. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/00401625 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.