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Technological Forecasting---An Overview

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  • Joseph P. Martino

    (University of Dayton)

Abstract

Within the past decade, the set of techniques used by technological forecasters has expanded considerably. While the old standbys such as trend extrapolation are still in wide use, some new techniques are also beginning to see wide use. In addition, there are some new techniques which have considerable promise, but which have not yet seen wide use. Finally, there are some techniques which have not yet fulfilled their original promise. Examples of each of these categories are discussed in the paper.

Suggested Citation

  • Joseph P. Martino, 1980. "Technological Forecasting---An Overview," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 26(1), pages 28-33, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:inm:ormnsc:v:26:y:1980:i:1:p:28-33
    DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.26.1.28
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    Cited by:

    1. Bennett, Roger & Vijaygopal, Rohini, 2024. "Exploring mobility and transportation technology futures for people with ambulatory disabilities: A science fiction prototype," Technovation, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    2. Potstada, Michael & Parandian, Alireza & Robinson, Douglas K.R. & Zybura, Jan, 2016. "An alignment approach for an industry in the making: DIGINOVA and the case of digital fabrication," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 102(C), pages 182-192.
    3. Potstada, Michael & Zybura, Jan, 2014. "The role of context in science fiction prototyping: The digital industrial revolution," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 101-114.
    4. Xi, Xi & Ren, Feifei & Yu, Lean & Yang, Jing, 2023. "Detecting the technology's evolutionary pathway using HiDS-trait-driven tech mining strategy," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 195(C).
    5. Armenia, Stefano & Franco, Eduardo & Iandolo, Francesca & Maielli, Giuliano & Vito, Pietro, 2024. "Zooming in and out the landscape: Artificial intelligence and system dynamics in business and management," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 200(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    forecasting; forecasting: applications;

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