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Exchange rate hysteresis in the UK imports from the South Asian Countries

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  • Aziz, Nusrate
  • Ahmad, Ahmad Hassan

Abstract

We investigate and find evidence for the hysteresis hypothesis in UK imports from South Asian countries, using a monthly sample of data that covers 1999 to 2012. This paper finds evidence of the asymmetric effect of exchange rate volatility that ‘large’ depreciations significantly reduce UK imports from Bangladesh; however, ‘large’ appreciations do not increase the imports significantly. We also find a partial support for the hysteresis hypothesis in UK imports from India, Pakistan, and Sri Lanka. We find that hysteresis can be both country- and commodity-dependent, which is largely consistent with previous empirical studies. Theoretical literature suggests that hysteresis occurs due to the presence of sunk costs, however, we find that hysteresis occurs even beyond the sunk costs.

Suggested Citation

  • Aziz, Nusrate & Ahmad, Ahmad Hassan, 2018. "Exchange rate hysteresis in the UK imports from the South Asian Countries," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 159-178.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reveco:v:58:y:2018:i:c:p:159-178
    DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2018.03.007
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    Cited by:

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    2. Laura M. Werner, 2020. "Hysteresis losses in the Preisach framework," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(3), pages 1249-1278, March.
    3. Iulia Iuga, 2020. "The Influence of The Exchange Rate on Imports – Romanian Case Study," Ovidius University Annals, Economic Sciences Series, Ovidius University of Constantza, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 0(1), pages 975-982, August.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Hysteresis hypothesis; Sunk costs; Exchange rates; Recursive estimate;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements

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