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Job and population location choices and economic scale as effects of high speed rail: Simulation analysis of Shinkansen in Kyushu, Japan

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  • Hiramatsu, Tomoru

Abstract

Establishing transportation infrastructure stimulates economic activity. It also effects on economic disparities between regions. Accordingly, researches have been carried out on the economic effects of establishing transportation infrastructure. On one hand, establishing transportation infrastructure could be the important means for correcting disparities. Conversely, establishing transportation has the potential to bring about greater economic inequality between regions. This study created an inter-regional computational general equilibrium model to analyze the effect of establishing high speed rail (HSR) on the regional economy. A simulation analysis is performed by applying the model to the opening of Kyushu HSR. In base scenario with one route operation, economic scale grew in each region and discrepancies widened between prefectures. While we observed a growth for population, jobs, and economic scale in the regions with improved access, a decline in the population in other prefectures was noticed. In the case of jobs and economic scale, growth is observed in every prefecture. However as the degree of such growth was small, disparities widened. By establishing HSR over a wider area, the degree of growth disparity weakened, and growth approached a proportional pattern. The hypothetical scenarios, which consider the non-availability of the transfer of HSR between Kyushu and outside Kyushu are also simulated.

Suggested Citation

  • Hiramatsu, Tomoru, 2018. "Job and population location choices and economic scale as effects of high speed rail: Simulation analysis of Shinkansen in Kyushu, Japan," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 15-26.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:retrec:v:72:y:2018:i:c:p:15-26
    DOI: 10.1016/j.retrec.2018.06.007
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    4. Wu, Bingyu & Levinson, David M., 2024. "A multi-modal analysis of the effect of transport on population and productivity in China," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
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    7. Martín, Belén & Ortega, Emilio & de Isidro, Ágata & Iglesias-Merchan, Carlos, 2021. "Improvements in high-speed rail network environmental evaluation and planning: An assessment of accessibility gains and landscape connectivity costs in Spain," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    8. Liu, Tie-Ying, 2019. "Spatial structure convergence of China's transportation system," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    9. Fan, Xiaomin & Xu, Yingzhi, 2024. "How does the opening of high-speed railway affect the regional pollution gap in China? From the perspective of knowledge spillover," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 203(C).
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    High speed rail; Job and residential locations choice; Production value growth; Regional disparities; Computable general equilibrium;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R12 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity; Interregional Trade (economic geography)
    • R13 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - General Equilibrium and Welfare Economic Analysis of Regional Economies
    • R23 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population
    • R41 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Transportation Economics - - - Transportation: Demand, Supply, and Congestion; Travel Time; Safety and Accidents; Transportation Noise

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