IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/renene/v99y2016icp369-378.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Estimating future balancing power requirements in wind–PV power system

Author

Listed:
  • Vasilj, J.
  • Sarajcev, P.
  • Jakus, D.

Abstract

This paper presents a general model—based on the Monte Carlo simulation—for the estimation of power system uncertainties and associated reserve and balancing power requirements. The proposed model comprises wind, PV and load uncertainty, together with wind and PV production simulation. In the first stage of the model, wind speed and solar irradiation are simulated, based on the plant disposition and relevant data. The second stage of the model consists of wind speed, PV power and load forecast error simulation, based on the associated statistical parameters. Finally, both wind and PV forecast error are combined with the load forecast error, resulting in the net uncertainty. This net uncertainty, aggregated on a yearly level, presents a dominant component in balancing power requirements. Proposed model presents an efficient solution in planning phase when the actual data on wind and PV production is unavailable.

Suggested Citation

  • Vasilj, J. & Sarajcev, P. & Jakus, D., 2016. "Estimating future balancing power requirements in wind–PV power system," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 369-378.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:99:y:2016:i:c:p:369-378
    DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2016.06.063
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0960148116305948
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.renene.2016.06.063?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Fernandes, Camila & Frías, Pablo & Reneses, Javier, 2016. "Participation of intermittent renewable generators in balancing mechanisms: A closer look into the Spanish market design," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 305-316.
    2. Ueckerdt, Falko & Brecha, Robert & Luderer, Gunnar, 2015. "Analyzing major challenges of wind and solar variability in power systems," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 1-10.
    3. Sinden, Graham, 2007. "Characteristics of the UK wind resource: Long-term patterns and relationship to electricity demand," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 35(1), pages 112-127, January.
    4. Dowds, Jonathan & Hines, Paul & Ryan, Todd & Buchanan, William & Kirby, Elizabeth & Apt, Jay & Jaramillo, Paulina, 2015. "A review of large-scale wind integration studies," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 768-794.
    5. Bett, Philip E. & Thornton, Hazel E., 2016. "The climatological relationships between wind and solar energy supply in Britain," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(P1), pages 96-110.
    6. Abdullah, M.A. & Agalgaonkar, A.P. & Muttaqi, K.M., 2013. "Probabilistic load flow incorporating correlation between time-varying electricity demand and renewable power generation," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 532-543.
    7. Batlles, F.J. & Rubio, M.A. & Tovar, J. & Olmo, F.J. & Alados-Arboledas, L., 2000. "Empirical modeling of hourly direct irradiance by means of hourly global irradiance," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 25(7), pages 675-688.
    8. Bilgili, Mehmet & Ozbek, Arif & Sahin, Besir & Kahraman, Ali, 2015. "An overview of renewable electric power capacity and progress in new technologies in the world," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 323-334.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Liu, Benxi & Liu, Tengyuan & Liao, Shengli & Lu, Jia & Cheng, Chuntian, 2023. "Short-term coordinated hybrid hydro-wind-solar optimal scheduling model considering multistage section restrictions," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
    2. Jing Huang & John Boland, 2018. "Performance Analysis for One-Step-Ahead Forecasting of Hybrid Solar and Wind Energy on Short Time Scales," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-12, May.
    3. Niklas Andersen & Ola Eriksson & Karl Hillman & Marita Wallhagen, 2016. "Wind Turbines’ End-of-Life: Quantification and Characterisation of Future Waste Materials on a National Level," Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(12), pages 1-24, November.
    4. Nordström, Henrik & Söder, Lennart & Eriksson, Robert, 2024. "Continuous power imbalance assessment from multi-area economic dispatch models," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
    5. Sreekumar, Sreenu & Yamujala, Sumanth & Sharma, Kailash Chand & Bhakar, Rohit & Simon, Sishaj P. & Rana, Ankur Singh, 2022. "Flexible Ramp Products: A solution to enhance power system flexibility," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 162(C).
    6. Josip Vasilj & Damir Jakus & Petar Sarajcev, 2020. "Virtual Storage-Based Model for Estimation of Economic Benefits of Electric Vehicles in Renewable Portfolios," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-19, May.
    7. Punda, Luka & Capuder, Tomislav & Pandžić, Hrvoje & Delimar, Marko, 2017. "Integration of renewable energy sources in southeast Europe: A review of incentive mechanisms and feasibility of investments," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 77-88.
    8. Frank, Christopher & Fiedler, Stephanie & Crewell, Susanne, 2021. "Balancing potential of natural variability and extremes in photovoltaic and wind energy production for European countries," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 163(C), pages 674-684.
    9. Jouttijärvi, Sami & Lobaccaro, Gabriele & Kamppinen, Aleksi & Miettunen, Kati, 2022. "Benefits of bifacial solar cells combined with low voltage power grids at high latitudes," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Alexis Tantet & Marc Stéfanon & Philippe Drobinski & Jordi Badosa & Silvia Concettini & Anna Cretì & Claudia D’Ambrosio & Dimitri Thomopulos & Peter Tankov, 2019. "e 4 clim 1.0: The Energy for a Climate Integrated Model: Description and Application to Italy," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(22), pages 1-37, November.
    2. Ian M. Trotter & Torjus F. Bolkesj{o} & Eirik O. J{aa}stad & Jon Gustav Kirkerud, 2021. "Increased Electrification of Heating and Weather Risk in the Nordic Power System," Papers 2112.02893, arXiv.org.
    3. Engeland, Kolbjørn & Borga, Marco & Creutin, Jean-Dominique & François, Baptiste & Ramos, Maria-Helena & Vidal, Jean-Philippe, 2017. "Space-time variability of climate variables and intermittent renewable electricity production – A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 600-617.
    4. Lobato, E. & Doenges, K. & Egido, I. & Sigrist, L., 2020. "Limits to wind aggregation: Empirical assessment in the Spanish electricity system," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 147(P1), pages 1321-1330.
    5. Baptiste François & Benoit Hingray & Marco Borga & Davide Zoccatelli & Casey Brown & Jean-Dominique Creutin, 2018. "Impact of Climate Change on Combined Solar and Run-of-River Power in Northern Italy," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-22, January.
    6. Ruggles, Tyler H. & Caldeira, Ken, 2022. "Wind and solar generation may reduce the inter-annual variability of peak residual load in certain electricity systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 305(C).
    7. Bracken, Cameron & Voisin, Nathalie & Burleyson, Casey D. & Campbell, Allison M. & Hou, Z. Jason & Broman, Daniel, 2024. "Standardized benchmark of historical compound wind and solar energy droughts across the Continental United States," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 220(C).
    8. Hugo Algarvio & Fernando Lopes & António Couto & Ana Estanqueiro, 2019. "Participation of wind power producers in day‐ahead and balancing markets: An overview and a simulation‐based study," Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Energy and Environment, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 8(5), September.
    9. Sun, Wei & Harrison, Gareth P., 2019. "Wind-solar complementarity and effective use of distribution network capacity," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 247(C), pages 89-101.
    10. Prusty, B Rajanarayan & Jena, Debashisha, 2017. "A critical review on probabilistic load flow studies in uncertainty constrained power systems with photovoltaic generation and a new approach," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 1286-1302.
    11. Alexis Tantet & Philippe Drobinski, 2021. "A Minimal System Cost Minimization Model for Variable Renewable Energy Integration: Application to France and Comparison to Mean-Variance Analysis," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(16), pages 1-38, August.
    12. Rubin, Ofir D. & Babcock, Bruce A., 2013. "The impact of expansion of wind power capacity and pricing methods on the efficiency of deregulated electricity markets," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 676-688.
    13. Min, C.G. & Park, J.K. & Hur, D. & Kim, M.K., 2016. "A risk evaluation method for ramping capability shortage in power systems," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 1316-1324.
    14. Cannon, D.J. & Brayshaw, D.J. & Methven, J. & Coker, P.J. & Lenaghan, D., 2015. "Using reanalysis data to quantify extreme wind power generation statistics: A 33 year case study in Great Britain," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 767-778.
    15. Busiswe Skosana & Mukwanga W. Siti & Nsilulu T. Mbungu & Sonu Kumar & Willy Mulumba, 2023. "An Evaluation of Potential Strategies in Renewable Energy Systems and Their Importance for South Africa—A Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(22), pages 1-27, November.
    16. Mariusz Niekurzak & Jerzy Mikulik, 2021. "Modeling of Energy Consumption and Reduction of Pollutant Emissions in a Walking Beam Furnace Using the Expert Method—Case Study," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(23), pages 1-22, December.
    17. Elliston, Ben & Riesz, Jenny & MacGill, Iain, 2016. "What cost for more renewables? The incremental cost of renewable generation – An Australian National Electricity Market case study," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 127-139.
    18. Ritter, Matthias & Shen, Zhiwei & López Cabrera, Brenda & Odening, Martin & Deckert, Lars, 2015. "Designing an index for assessing wind energy potential," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 416-424.
    19. Boccard, Nicolas, 2010. "Economic properties of wind power: A European assessment," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(7), pages 3232-3244, July.
    20. Angelica, Gianfreda & Lucia, Parisio & Matteo, Pelagatti, 2017. "The RES-induced Switching Effect Across Fossil Fuels: An Analysis of the Italian Day-Ahead and Balancing Prices and Their Connected Costs," Working Papers 360, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised 03 Feb 2017.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:99:y:2016:i:c:p:369-378. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/renewable-energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.