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Methodology for generating daily clearness index index values Kt starting from the monthly average daily value K̄t. Determining the daily sequence using stochastic models

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  • Santos, J.M.
  • Pinazo, J.M.
  • Cañada, J.

Abstract

The facility to generate weather data from limited inputs and independently of specific locations would allow simulations of energetic systems to be run at locations for which detailed weather records do not exist. This article presents a methodology to calculate synthetic daily solar radiation values and describes how sequences of daily global radiation can be generated using as input the monthly average radiation. A stochastic model, ARIMA(1,1,1) is presented, as well.

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  • Santos, J.M. & Pinazo, J.M. & Cañada, J., 2003. "Methodology for generating daily clearness index index values Kt starting from the monthly average daily value K̄t. Determining the daily sequence using stochastic models," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 28(10), pages 1523-1544.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:28:y:2003:i:10:p:1523-1544
    DOI: 10.1016/S0960-1481(02)00217-3
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    1. Zeroual, A. & Ankrim, M. & Wilkinson, A.J., 1995. "Stochastic modelling of daily global solar radiation measured in Marrakesh, Morocco," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 6(7), pages 787-793.
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    1. Mellit, A. & Kalogirou, S.A. & Shaari, S. & Salhi, H. & Hadj Arab, A., 2008. "Methodology for predicting sequences of mean monthly clearness index and daily solar radiation data in remote areas: Application for sizing a stand-alone PV system," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 33(7), pages 1570-1590.
    2. Utrillas, M.P. & Marín, M.J. & Esteve, A.R. & Salazar, G. & Suárez, H. & Gandía, S. & Martínez-Lozano, J.A., 2018. "Relationship between erythemal UV and broadband solar irradiation at high altitude in Northwestern Argentina," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 136-147.
    3. Chu, Yinghao & Li, Mengying & Pedro, Hugo T.C. & Coimbra, Carlos F.M., 2015. "Real-time prediction intervals for intra-hour DNI forecasts," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 234-244.
    4. Corral, Nicolás & Anrique, Nicolás & Fernandes, Dalila & Parrado, Cristóbal & Cáceres, Gustavo, 2012. "Power, placement and LEC evaluation to install CSP plants in northern Chile," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 16(9), pages 6678-6685.
    5. Nogueira, Carlos Eduardo Camargo & Vidotto, Magno Luiz & Niedzialkoski, Rosana Krauss & de Souza, Samuel Nelson Melegari & Chaves, Luiz Inácio & Edwiges, Thiago & Santos, Darlisson Bentes dos & Wernck, 2014. "Sizing and simulation of a photovoltaic-wind energy system using batteries, applied for a small rural property located in the south of Brazil," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 151-157.
    6. Varo, M. & Pedrós, G. & Martínez-Jiménez, P. & Aguilera, M.J., 2006. "Global solar irradiance in Cordoba: Clearness index distributions conditioned to the optical air mass," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 31(9), pages 1321-1332.
    7. Roy, Sanjoy, 2015. "Statistical estimates of short duration power generated by a photovoltaic unit in environment of scattered cloud cover," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 14-23.
    8. Chen, S.X. & Gooi, H.B. & Wang, M.Q., 2013. "Solar radiation forecast based on fuzzy logic and neural networks," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 195-201.
    9. Wang, Jianzhou & Jiang, He & Wu, Yujie & Dong, Yao, 2015. "Forecasting solar radiation using an optimized hybrid model by Cuckoo Search algorithm," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 627-644.
    10. Qingtao Li & Jianxue Wang & Yao Zhang & Yue Fan & Guojun Bao & Xuebin Wang, 2020. "Multi-Period Generation Expansion Planning for Sustainable Power Systems to Maximize the Utilization of Renewable Energy Sources," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-18, February.
    11. del Sol, Felipe & Sauma, Enzo, 2013. "Economic impacts of installing solar power plants in northern Chile," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 19(C), pages 489-498.
    12. Roumpakias, Elias & Zogou, Olympia & Stamatelos, Anastassios, 2015. "Correlation of actual efficiency of photovoltaic panels with air mass," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 70-77.

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