IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/renene/v193y2022icp617-633.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Optimization of the possible pathways for gradual energy system decarbonization

Author

Listed:
  • Herc, Luka
  • Pfeifer, Antun
  • Duić, Neven

Abstract

The European Union and other signatories to the Paris Climate Accord have agreed to limit global warming to 2° Celsius above pre-industrial levels. Previously published studies have examined the optimal energy system structure required to satisfy carbon neutrality end goals. This research focuses on addressing the intermediate steps towards decarbonization. The steps are quantified as the percentage share of renewable energy sources. The objective of the optimization is to reach a predetermined level of renewable energy and emissions, minimize curtailment of renewable energy sources, minimize system cost, and limit the use of natural resources such as biomass in the energy sector. Considered technologies in the optimization process are energy-generating capacities, demand response technologies, and energy storage. The results of such a method reflect the use of considered technologies and are displayed as a function of renewable energy share and carbon dioxide emissions level, which also represent the decarbonization timeline from 2020 to 2050. The method is carried out with the use of energy planning software EnergyPLAN and highly modified Python-based optimization software EPLANopt. The results presented in the research display the necessity for continuous implementation of variable generating capacities as well as demand response technologies, mainly vehicle to grid.

Suggested Citation

  • Herc, Luka & Pfeifer, Antun & Duić, Neven, 2022. "Optimization of the possible pathways for gradual energy system decarbonization," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 193(C), pages 617-633.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:193:y:2022:i:c:p:617-633
    DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2022.05.005
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0960148122006395
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.renene.2022.05.005?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Matteo Giacomo Prina & Giampaolo Manzolini & David Moser & Roberto Vaccaro & Wolfram Sparber, 2020. "Multi-Objective Optimization Model EPLANopt for Energy Transition Analysis and Comparison with Climate-Change Scenarios," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-22, June.
    2. Denholm, Paul & Nunemaker, Jacob & Gagnon, Pieter & Cole, Wesley, 2020. "The potential for battery energy storage to provide peaking capacity in the United States," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 151(C), pages 1269-1277.
    3. Lovrak, Ana & Pukšec, Tomislav & Duić, Neven, 2020. "A Geographical Information System (GIS) based approach for assessing the spatial distribution and seasonal variation of biogas production potential from agricultural residues and municipal biowaste," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 267(C).
    4. Ioannis Avagianos & Dimitrios Rakopoulos & Sotirios Karellas & Emmanouil Kakaras, 2020. "Review of Process Modeling of Solid-Fuel Thermal Power Plants for Flexible and Off-Design Operation," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(24), pages 1-41, December.
    5. Nastasi, Benedetto & Mazzoni, Stefano & Groppi, Daniele & Romagnoli, Alessandro & Astiaso Garcia, Davide, 2021. "Solar power-to-gas application to an island energy system," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 1005-1016.
    6. Jaworek, A. & Sobczyk, A.T. & Marchewicz, A. & Krupa, A. & Czech, T., 2021. "Particulate matter emission control from small residential boilers after biomass combustion. A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    7. Gils, Hans Christian, 2014. "Assessment of the theoretical demand response potential in Europe," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 1-18.
    8. Prina, Matteo Giacomo & Cozzini, Marco & Garegnani, Giulia & Manzolini, Giampaolo & Moser, David & Filippi Oberegger, Ulrich & Pernetti, Roberta & Vaccaro, Roberto & Sparber, Wolfram, 2018. "Multi-objective optimization algorithm coupled to EnergyPLAN software: The EPLANopt model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 149(C), pages 213-221.
    9. Nadolny, Anna & Cheng, Cheng & Lu, Bin & Blakers, Andrew & Stocks, Matthew, 2022. "Fully electrified land transport in 100% renewable electricity networks dominated by variable generation," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 182(C), pages 562-577.
    10. Mortensen, Anders Winther & Mathiesen, Brian Vad & Hansen, Anders Bavnhøj & Pedersen, Sigurd Lauge & Grandal, Rune Duban & Wenzel, Henrik, 2020. "The role of electrification and hydrogen in breaking the biomass bottleneck of the renewable energy system – A study on the Danish energy system," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 275(C).
    11. Aunedi, Marko & Pantaleo, Antonio Marco & Kuriyan, Kamal & Strbac, Goran & Shah, Nilay, 2020. "Modelling of national and local interactions between heat and electricity networks in low-carbon energy systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 276(C).
    12. Kouchachvili, Lia & Entchev, Evgueniy, 2018. "Power to gas and H2/NG blend in SMART energy networks concept," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 456-464.
    13. Groppi, Daniele & Pfeifer, Antun & Garcia, Davide Astiaso & Krajačić, Goran & Duić, Neven, 2021. "A review on energy storage and demand side management solutions in smart energy islands," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
    14. Novosel, T. & Perković, L. & Ban, M. & Keko, H. & Pukšec, T. & Krajačić, G. & Duić, N., 2015. "Agent based modelling and energy planning – Utilization of MATSim for transport energy demand modelling," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 92(P3), pages 466-475.
    15. Pfeifer, Antun & Krajačić, Goran & Ljubas, Davor & Duić, Neven, 2019. "Increasing the integration of solar photovoltaics in energy mix on the road to low emissions energy system – Economic and environmental implications," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 143(C), pages 1310-1317.
    16. Meha, Drilon & Pfeifer, Antun & Duić, Neven & Lund, Henrik, 2020. "Increasing the integration of variable renewable energy in coal-based energy system using power to heat technologies: The case of Kosovo," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 212(C).
    17. Batas Bjelić, Ilija & Rajaković, Nikola & Krajačić, Goran & Duić, Neven, 2016. "Two methods for decreasing the flexibility gap in national energy systems," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 115(P3), pages 1701-1709.
    18. Østergaard, Poul Alberg & Jantzen, Jan & Marczinkowski, Hannah Mareike & Kristensen, Michael, 2019. "Business and socioeconomic assessment of introducing heat pumps with heat storage in small-scale district heating systems," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 904-914.
    19. Gils, Hans Christian & Gardian, Hedda & Schmugge, Jens, 2021. "Interaction of hydrogen infrastructures with other sector coupling options towards a zero-emission energy system in Germany," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 140-156.
    20. Doepfert, Markus & Castro, Rui, 2021. "Techno-economic optimization of a 100% renewable energy system in 2050 for countries with high shares of hydropower: The case of Portugal," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 165(P1), pages 491-503.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Østergaard, P.A. & Lund, H. & Thellufsen, J.Z. & Sorknæs, P. & Mathiesen, B.V., 2022. "Review and validation of EnergyPLAN," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
    2. Jing Fan & Yanbo Yang & Tiancai Ma & Dong Zhu & Xinru Xu, 2023. "Investigation on a Shutdown Control Strategy with Residual Oxygen Rapid Elimination for Proton Exchange Membrane Fuel Cell System," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(3), pages 1-13, January.
    3. Chang, Miguel & Lund, Henrik & Thellufsen, Jakob Zinck & Østergaard, Poul Alberg, 2023. "Perspectives on purpose-driven coupling of energy system models," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 265(C).
    4. Diego Viesi & Gregorio Borelli & Silvia Ricciuti & Giovanni Pernigotto & Md Shahriar Mahbub, 2024. "Modeling the Optimal Transition of an Urban Neighborhood towards an Energy Community and a Positive Energy District," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(16), pages 1-30, August.
    5. Zuo, Yinhui & Sun, Yigao & Zhang, Luquan & Zhang, Chao & Wang, Yingchun & Jiang, Guangzheng & Wang, Xiaoguang & Zhang, Tao & Cui, Longqing, 2024. "Geothermal resource evaluation in the Sichuan Basin and suggestions for the development and utilization of abandoned oil and gas wells," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
    6. Kılkış, Şiir, 2023. "Integrated urban scenarios of emissions, land use efficiency and benchmarking for climate neutrality and sustainability," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 285(C).
    7. Petrucci, Andrea & Ayevide, Follivi Kloutse & Buonomano, Annamaria & Athienitis, Andreas, 2023. "Development of energy aggregators for virtual communities: The energy efficiency-flexibility nexus for demand response," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Herc, Luka & Pfeifer, Antun & Duić, Neven & Wang, Fei, 2022. "Economic viability of flexibility options for smart energy systems with high penetration of renewable energy," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 252(C).
    2. Østergaard, P.A. & Lund, H. & Thellufsen, J.Z. & Sorknæs, P. & Mathiesen, B.V., 2022. "Review and validation of EnergyPLAN," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
    3. Chang, Miguel & Lund, Henrik & Thellufsen, Jakob Zinck & Østergaard, Poul Alberg, 2023. "Perspectives on purpose-driven coupling of energy system models," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 265(C).
    4. Nielsen, Tore Bach & Lund, Henrik & Østergaard, Poul Alberg & Duic, Neven & Mathiesen, Brian Vad, 2021. "Perspectives on energy efficiency and smart energy systems from the 5th SESAAU2019 conference," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    5. Bellocchi, Sara & Manno, Michele & Noussan, Michel & Prina, Matteo Giacomo & Vellini, Michela, 2020. "Electrification of transport and residential heating sectors in support of renewable penetration: Scenarios for the Italian energy system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
    6. Hrnčić, Boris & Pfeifer, Antun & Jurić, Filip & Duić, Neven & Ivanović, Vladan & Vušanović, Igor, 2021. "Different investment dynamics in energy transition towards a 100% renewable energy system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
    7. Østergaard, Poul Alberg & Andersen, Anders N. & Sorknæs, Peter, 2022. "The business-economic energy system modelling tool energyPRO," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 257(C).
    8. Prina, Matteo Giacomo & Groppi, Daniele & Nastasi, Benedetto & Garcia, Davide Astiaso, 2021. "Bottom-up energy system models applied to sustainable islands," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    9. Icaza-Alvarez, Daniel & Jurado, Francisco & Tostado-Véliz, Marcos & Arevalo, Paúl, 2022. "Decarbonization of the Galapagos Islands. Proposal to transform the energy system into 100% renewable by 2050," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 189(C), pages 199-220.
    10. Ifaei, Pouya & Tayerani Charmchi, Amir Saman & Loy-Benitez, Jorge & Yang, Rebecca Jing & Yoo, ChangKyoo, 2022. "A data-driven analytical roadmap to a sustainable 2030 in South Korea based on optimal renewable microgrids," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    11. Finke, Jonas & Bertsch, Valentin, 2022. "Implementing a highly adaptable method for the multi-objective optimisation of energy systems," MPRA Paper 115504, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Laha, Priyanka & Chakraborty, Basab, 2021. "Low carbon electricity system for India in 2030 based on multi-objective multi-criteria assessment," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
    13. Diego Viesi & Gregorio Borelli & Silvia Ricciuti & Giovanni Pernigotto & Md Shahriar Mahbub, 2024. "Modeling the Optimal Transition of an Urban Neighborhood towards an Energy Community and a Positive Energy District," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(16), pages 1-30, August.
    14. Mazzeo, Domenico & Herdem, Münür Sacit & Matera, Nicoletta & Wen, John Z., 2022. "Green hydrogen production: Analysis for different single or combined large-scale photovoltaic and wind renewable systems," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 200(C), pages 360-378.
    15. Meha, Drilon & Pfeifer, Antun & Sahiti, Naser & Rolph Schneider, Daniel & Duić, Neven, 2021. "Sustainable transition pathways with high penetration of variable renewable energy in the coal-based energy systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 304(C).
    16. Parrado-Hernando, Gonzalo & Pfeifer, Antun & Frechoso, Fernando & Miguel González, Luis Javier & Duić, Neven, 2022. "A novel approach to represent the energy system in integrated assessment models," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 258(C).
    17. Sorknæs, Peter & Johannsen, Rasmus M. & Korberg, Andrei D. & Nielsen, Tore B. & Petersen, Uni R. & Mathiesen, Brian V., 2022. "Electrification of the industrial sector in 100% renewable energy scenarios," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 254(PB).
    18. Okonkwo, Eric C. & Wole-Osho, Ifeoluwa & Bamisile, Olusola & Abid, Muhammad & Al-Ansari, Tareq, 2021. "Grid integration of renewable energy in Qatar: Potentials and limitations," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
    19. Makhloufi, Saida & Khennas, Smail & Bouchaib, Sami & Arab, Amar Hadj, 2022. "Multi-objective cuckoo search algorithm for optimized pathways for 75 % renewable electricity mix by 2050 in Algeria," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 185(C), pages 1410-1424.
    20. Chang, Miguel & Thellufsen, Jakob Zink & Zakeri, Behnam & Pickering, Bryn & Pfenninger, Stefan & Lund, Henrik & Østergaard, Poul Alberg, 2021. "Trends in tools and approaches for modelling the energy transition," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 290(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:193:y:2022:i:c:p:617-633. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/renewable-energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.