IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/renene/v156y2020icp57-67.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Implicit regression-based correlations to predict the back temperature of PV modules in the arid region of south Algeria

Author

Listed:
  • Bailek, Nadjem
  • Bouchouicha, Kada
  • Hassan, Muhammed A.
  • Slimani, Abdeldjalil
  • Jamil, Basharat

Abstract

The determination of the PV module temperature is a key parameter for the assessment of the actual performance of the PV systems. The application of available models for PV module temperature estimation in literature can be verified, but the application of these correlations for different climate conditions does not lead to unequivocal results. The main objective of this study is to suggest new empirical models for estimating the back surface module temperature under outdoor hot dry climatic conditions of Adrar province (Algerian Sahara) and to compare the developed models to different existing models in the literature. The models are developed based on meteorological and irradiance data collected from two different plants with different module technologies. The best site-specific approach uses a simple formula to derive the PV-back module temperature from the meteorological variables such as ambient temperature, and irradiance. The relative root mean square error and the Pearson’s correlation coefficient of the best developed model are 10.662% and 0.955, respectively. In addition, MAPE and RMSE values are considerably small for the studied stations. A general model for predicting the PV-back temperature was also recommended for simple PV modules or open rack systems in rural locations with no measurement equipment nearby. The results are quite useful for studying PV system performance and estimating its energy output.

Suggested Citation

  • Bailek, Nadjem & Bouchouicha, Kada & Hassan, Muhammed A. & Slimani, Abdeldjalil & Jamil, Basharat, 2020. "Implicit regression-based correlations to predict the back temperature of PV modules in the arid region of south Algeria," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 156(C), pages 57-67.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:156:y:2020:i:c:p:57-67
    DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2020.04.073
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0960148120306054
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.renene.2020.04.073?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bouchouicha, Kada & Hassan, Muhammed A. & Bailek, Nadjem & Aoun, Nouar, 2019. "Estimating the global solar irradiation and optimizing the error estimates under Algerian desert climate," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 844-858.
    2. Jamil, Basharat & Akhtar, Naiem, 2017. "Estimation of diffuse solar radiation in humid-subtropical climatic region of India: Comparison of diffuse fraction and diffusion coefficient models," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 149-164.
    3. Almorox, Javier & Arnaldo, J.A. & Bailek, Nadjem & Martí, Pau, 2020. "Adjustment of the Angstrom-Prescott equation from Campbell-Stokes and Kipp-Zonen sunshine measures at different timescales in Spain," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 154(C), pages 337-350.
    4. Waithiru Charles Lawrence Kamuyu & Jong Rok Lim & Chang Sub Won & Hyung Keun Ahn, 2018. "Prediction Model of Photovoltaic Module Temperature for Power Performance of Floating PVs," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-13, February.
    5. Obiwulu, Anthony Umunnakwe & Chendo, Michael A.C. & Erusiafe, Nald & Nwokolo, Samuel Chukwujindu, 2020. "Implicit meteorological parameter-based empirical models for estimating back temperature solar modules under varying tilt-angles in Lagos, Nigeria," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 442-457.
    6. Sahouane, Nordine & Dabou, Rachid & Ziane, Abderrezzaq & Neçaibia, Ammar & Bouraiou, Ahmed & Rouabhia, Abdelkrim & Mohammed, Blal, 2019. "Energy and economic efficiency performance assessment of a 28 kWp photovoltaic grid-connected system under desertic weather conditions in Algerian Sahara," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 143(C), pages 1318-1330.
    7. Hassan, Muhammed A. & Khalil, A. & Kaseb, S. & Kassem, M.A., 2017. "Exploring the potential of tree-based ensemble methods in solar radiation modeling," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 203(C), pages 897-916.
    8. Hassan, Muhammed A. & Khalil, A. & Kaseb, S. & Kassem, M.A., 2017. "Potential of four different machine-learning algorithms in modeling daily global solar radiation," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 52-62.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Hassan, Muhammed A. & Abubakr, Mohamed & Khalil, Adel, 2021. "A profile-free non-parametric approach towards generation of synthetic hourly global solar irradiation data from daily totals," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 167(C), pages 613-628.
    2. Keddouda, Abdelhak & Ihaddadene, Razika & Boukhari, Ali & Atia, Abdelmalek & Arıcı, Müslüm & Lebbihiat, Nacer & Ihaddadene, Nabila, 2024. "Photovoltaic module temperature prediction using various machine learning algorithms: Performance evaluation," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 363(C).
    3. Cañadillas-Ramallo, David & Moutaoikil, Asmae & Shephard, Les E. & Guerrero-Lemus, Ricardo, 2022. "The influence of extreme dust events in the current and future 100% renewable power scenarios in Tenerife," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 184(C), pages 948-959.
    4. Abubakr, Mohamed & Amein, Hamza & Akoush, Bassem M. & El-Bakry, M. Medhat & Hassan, Muhammed A., 2020. "An intuitive framework for optimizing energetic and exergetic performances of parabolic trough solar collectors operating with nanofluids," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 157(C), pages 130-149.
    5. Amein, Hamza & Akoush, Bassem M. & El-Bakry, M. Medhat & Abubakr, Mohamed & Hassan, Muhammed A., 2022. "Enhancing the energy utilization in parabolic trough concentrators with cracked heat collection elements using a cost-effective rotation mechanism," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 181(C), pages 250-266.
    6. Hassan, Muhammed A. & Bailek, Nadjem & Bouchouicha, Kada & Nwokolo, Samuel Chukwujindu, 2021. "Ultra-short-term exogenous forecasting of photovoltaic power production using genetically optimized non-linear auto-regressive recurrent neural networks," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 191-209.
    7. Hassan, Muhammed A. & Al-Ghussain, Loiy & Khalil, Adel & Kaseb, Sayed A., 2022. "Self-calibrated hybrid weather forecasters for solar thermal and photovoltaic power plants," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 1120-1140.
    8. Dong, Xiao-Jian & Shen, Jia-Ni & He, Guo-Xin & Ma, Zi-Feng & He, Yi-Jun, 2021. "A general radial basis function neural network assisted hybrid modeling method for photovoltaic cell operating temperature prediction," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
    9. El-Bakry, M. Medhat & Kassem, Mahmoud A. & Hassan, Muhammed A., 2021. "Passive performance enhancement of parabolic trough solar concentrators using internal radiation heat shields," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 165(P1), pages 52-66.
    10. Hassan, Muhammed A. & Akoush, Bassem M. & Abubakr, Mohamed & Campana, Pietro Elia & Khalil, Adel, 2021. "High-resolution estimates of diffuse fraction based on dynamic definitions of sky conditions," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 641-659.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Hassan, Muhammed A. & Bailek, Nadjem & Bouchouicha, Kada & Nwokolo, Samuel Chukwujindu, 2021. "Ultra-short-term exogenous forecasting of photovoltaic power production using genetically optimized non-linear auto-regressive recurrent neural networks," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 191-209.
    2. Hassan, Muhammed A. & Abubakr, Mohamed & Khalil, Adel, 2021. "A profile-free non-parametric approach towards generation of synthetic hourly global solar irradiation data from daily totals," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 167(C), pages 613-628.
    3. Hassan, Muhammed A. & Al-Ghussain, Loiy & Ahmad, Adnan Darwish & Abubaker, Ahmad M. & Khalil, Adel, 2022. "Aggregated independent forecasters of half-hourly global horizontal irradiance," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 181(C), pages 365-383.
    4. Muhammed A. Hassan & Hindawi Salem & Nadjem Bailek & Ozgur Kisi, 2023. "Random Forest Ensemble-Based Predictions of On-Road Vehicular Emissions and Fuel Consumption in Developing Urban Areas," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(2), pages 1-22, January.
    5. Obiwulu, Anthony Umunnakwe & Erusiafe, Nald & Olopade, Muteeu Abayomi & Nwokolo, Samuel Chukwujindu, 2020. "Modeling and optimization of back temperature models of mono-crystalline silicon modules with special focus on the effect of meteorological and geographical parameters on PV performance," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 154(C), pages 404-431.
    6. Marzouq, Manal & El Fadili, Hakim & Zenkouar, Khalid & Lakhliai, Zakia & Amouzg, Mohammed, 2020. "Short term solar irradiance forecasting via a novel evolutionary multi-model framework and performance assessment for sites with no solar irradiance data," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 157(C), pages 214-231.
    7. Feng, Yu & Hao, Weiping & Li, Haoru & Cui, Ningbo & Gong, Daozhi & Gao, Lili, 2020. "Machine learning models to quantify and map daily global solar radiation and photovoltaic power," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 118(C).
    8. Chen, Ji-Long & He, Lei & Chen, Qiao & Lv, Ming-Quan & Zhu, Hong-Lin & Wen, Zhao-Fei & Wu, Sheng-Jun, 2019. "Study of monthly mean daily diffuse and direct beam radiation estimation with MODIS atmospheric product," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 221-232.
    9. Sahouane, Nordine & Ziane, Abderrezzaq & Dabou, Rachid & Neçaibia, Ammar & Rouabhia, Abdelkrim & Lachtar, Salah & Blal, Mohammed & Slimani, Abdeldjalil & Boudjamaa, Tidjar, 2023. "Technical and economic study of the sand and dust accumulation impact on the energy performance of photovoltaic system in Algerian Sahara," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 205(C), pages 142-155.
    10. Kaood, Amr & Abubakr, Mohamed & Al-Oran, Otabeh & Hassan, Muhammed A., 2021. "Performance analysis and particle swarm optimization of molten salt-based nanofluids in parabolic trough concentrators," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 177(C), pages 1045-1062.
    11. Bouchouicha, Kada & Hassan, Muhammed A. & Bailek, Nadjem & Aoun, Nouar, 2019. "Estimating the global solar irradiation and optimizing the error estimates under Algerian desert climate," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 844-858.
    12. Hassan, Muhammed A. & Akoush, Bassem M. & Abubakr, Mohamed & Campana, Pietro Elia & Khalil, Adel, 2021. "High-resolution estimates of diffuse fraction based on dynamic definitions of sky conditions," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 641-659.
    13. Bikhtiyar Ameen & Heiko Balzter & Claire Jarvis & James Wheeler, 2019. "Modelling Hourly Global Horizontal Irradiance from Satellite-Derived Datasets and Climate Variables as New Inputs with Artificial Neural Networks," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-28, January.
    14. Makade, Rahul G. & Chakrabarti, Siddharth & Jamil, Basharat & Sakhale, C.N., 2020. "Estimation of global solar radiation for the tropical wet climatic region of India: A theory of experimentation approach," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 146(C), pages 2044-2059.
    15. Daniel Matulić & Željko Andabaka & Sanja Radman & Goran Fruk & Josip Leto & Jakša Rošin & Mirta Rastija & Ivana Varga & Tea Tomljanović & Hrvoje Čeprnja & Marko Karoglan, 2023. "Agrivoltaics and Aquavoltaics: Potential of Solar Energy Use in Agriculture and Freshwater Aquaculture in Croatia," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-26, July.
    16. Rahaman, Md Atiqur & Chambers, Terrence L. & Fekih, Afef & Wiecheteck, Giovana & Carranza, Gabriel & Possetti, Gustavo Rafael Collere, 2023. "Floating photovoltaic module temperature estimation: Modeling and comparison," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 208(C), pages 162-180.
    17. Hongchao Zhang & Tengteng Zhu, 2022. "Stacking Model for Photovoltaic-Power-Generation Prediction," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-16, May.
    18. Ji, Qianfeng & Li, Kefeng & Wang, Yuanming & Feng, Jingjie & Li, Ran & Liang, Ruifeng, 2022. "Effect of floating photovoltaic system on water temperature of deep reservoir and assessment of its potential benefits, a case on Xiangjiaba Reservoir with hydropower station," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 195(C), pages 946-956.
    19. Olubayo M. Babatunde & Josiah L. Munda & Yskandar Hamam, 2020. "Exploring the Potentials of Artificial Neural Network Trained with Differential Evolution for Estimating Global Solar Radiation," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-18, May.
    20. Almorox, Javier & Voyant, Cyril & Bailek, Nadjem & Kuriqi, Alban & Arnaldo, J.A., 2021. "Total solar irradiance's effect on the performance of empirical models for estimating global solar radiation: An empirical-based review," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:156:y:2020:i:c:p:57-67. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/renewable-energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.