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A safety dynamic evaluation method for missile mission based on multi-layered safety control structure model

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  • Chen, Jiayu.
  • Yao, Boqing
  • Lu, Qinhua
  • Wang, Xuhang
  • Yu, Pingchao
  • Ge, Hongjuan

Abstract

The multi-mission environment and complex working conditions of long-term storage put forward strict requirements on the effective risk suppression and accurate safety evaluation of missile equipment. This paper proposes a safety dynamic evaluation method based on a multi-layered safety control structure model to realize accurate safety evaluation for missile missions. Firstly, according to the missile mission profile characteristics, a multi-view architecture is constructed to achieve the accurate description of mission process as well as their relationships and interactions. Secondly, a multi-layered safety control structure model is proposed to determine the accident causal factors and accident chain of the targeted mission. Meanwhile, oriented to the long-term storage complex and volatile environment, a human performance and risk evaluation system is built to realize the effective evaluation of human factor error rate under the man-machine-environment coupling condition. Then, a safety dynamic feedback evaluation method integrating STAMP and CREAM is proposed to obtain the accident rates of the missile mission. Finally, a case study of the missile test mission is carried out, and 6 typical accident scenarios are studied. The results show that the overall accident rate accuracy is improved by 70.08%, which verifies the effectiveness and superiority of the proposed method.

Suggested Citation

  • Chen, Jiayu. & Yao, Boqing & Lu, Qinhua & Wang, Xuhang & Yu, Pingchao & Ge, Hongjuan, 2024. "A safety dynamic evaluation method for missile mission based on multi-layered safety control structure model," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:241:y:2024:i:c:s0951832023005926
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2023.109678
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