IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/reensy/v216y2021ics0951832021004750.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Reliability analysis of products based on proportional hazard model with degradation trend and environmental factor

Author

Listed:
  • Zheng, Huiling
  • Kong, Xuefeng
  • Xu, Houbao
  • Yang, Jun

Abstract

Degradation data and lifetime data have been broadly used for assessing product and system reliability. To utilize the two kinds of data simultaneously, the proportional hazard (PH) model with degradation data as a covariate is proposed for reliability analysis. However, most existing works focus on modeling the PH model with degradation state as a covariate, while the degradation trend is ignored, which makes the PH model unable to carry out reliability prediction directly. Confronted with that, a new PH model with the degradation trend and environmental factor as covariates is developed in this paper. The Wiener process is firstly applied to depict the degradation trend, then the degradation trend and temperature are used as covariates to establish the PH model, and a closed-form of the reliability is derived by the Taylor approximation. Based on the degradation data under actual ambient conditions, the real-time updated reliability prediction is provided to guide the health management of products and systems. The simulation study validates that the proposed model outperforms two existing models in terms of Mean Square Error (MSE). Finally, a real-world example of MOSFET is presented to demonstrate the implementation of the proposed method.

Suggested Citation

  • Zheng, Huiling & Kong, Xuefeng & Xu, Houbao & Yang, Jun, 2021. "Reliability analysis of products based on proportional hazard model with degradation trend and environmental factor," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:216:y:2021:i:c:s0951832021004750
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2021.107964
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0951832021004750
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ress.2021.107964?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hu, Jiawen & Chen, Piao, 2020. "Predictive maintenance of systems subject to hard failure based on proportional hazards model," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
    2. Bhattacharjee, Arnab, 2009. "Testing for Proportional Hazards with Unrestricted Univariate Unobserved Heterogeneity," SIRE Discussion Papers 2009-22, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
    3. Cai, Xia & Tian, Yubin & Ning, Wei, 2019. "Change-point analysis of the failure mechanisms based on accelerated life tests," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 515-522.
    4. Wang, Xiaofei & Wang, Bing Xing & Jiang, Pei Hua & Hong, Yili, 2020. "Accurate reliability inference based on Wiener process with random effects for degradation data," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
    5. Liu, Bin & Liang, Zhenglin & Parlikad, Ajith Kumar & Xie, Min & Kuo, Way, 2017. "Condition-based maintenance for systems with aging and cumulative damage based on proportional hazards model," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 168(C), pages 200-209.
    6. Liu, Di & Wang, Shaoping, 2021. "Reliability estimation from lifetime testing data and degradation testing data with measurement error based on evidential variable and Wiener process," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
    7. J. R. Leslie, 1990. "The Inverse Gaussian Distribution: Theory, Methodology, and Applications," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 39(2), pages 259-260, June.
    8. Ye, Zhi-Sheng & Chen, Nan & Shen, Yan, 2015. "A new class of Wiener process models for degradation analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 58-67.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Vrignat, Pascal & Kratz, Frédéric & Avila, Manuel, 2022. "Sustainable manufacturing, maintenance policies, prognostics and health management: A literature review," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 218(PA).
    2. Pedersen, Tom Ivar & Liu, Xingheng & Vatn, Jørn, 2023. "Maintenance optimization of a system subject to two-stage degradation, hard failure, and imperfect repair," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
    3. Zheng, Huiling & Yang, Jun & Xu, Houbao & Zhao, Yu, 2023. "Reliability acceptance sampling plan for degraded products subject to Wiener process with unit heterogeneity," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    4. Wang, Yueyao & Lee, I-Chen & Hong, Yili & Deng, Xinwei, 2022. "Building degradation index with variable selection for multivariate sensory data," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 227(C).
    5. Luo, Yi & Zhao, Xiujie & Liu, Bin & He, Shuguang, 2024. "Condition-based maintenance policy for systems under dynamic environment," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 246(C).
    6. Song, Wanqing & Duan, Shouwu & Zio, Enrico & Kudreyko, Aleksey, 2022. "Multifractional and long-range dependent characteristics for remaining useful life prediction of cracking gas compressor," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
    7. Ding, Wanmeng & Li, Jimeng & Mao, Weilin & Meng, Zong & Shen, Zhongjie, 2023. "Rolling bearing remaining useful life prediction based on dilated causal convolutional DenseNet and an exponential model," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Cheng, Yao & Liao, Haitao & Huang, Zhiyi, 2021. "Optimal degradation-based hybrid double-stage acceptance sampling plan for a heterogeneous product," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 210(C).
    2. Zhou, Shirong & Tang, Yincai & Xu, Ancha, 2021. "A generalized Wiener process with dependent degradation rate and volatility and time-varying mean-to-variance ratio," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    3. Peihua Jiang, 2022. "Statistical Inference of Wiener Constant-Stress Accelerated Degradation Model with Random Effects," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(16), pages 1-18, August.
    4. Li, Xiao-Yang & Chen, Da-Yu & Wu, Ji-Peng & Kang, Rui, 2022. "3-Dimensional general ADT modeling and analysis: Considering epistemic uncertainties in unit, time and stress dimension," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
    5. Zheng, Rui & Zhou, Yifan, 2021. "Comparison of three preventive maintenance warranty policies for products deteriorating with age and a time-varying covariate," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 213(C).
    6. Lu, Biao & Chen, Zhen & Zhao, Xufeng, 2021. "Data-driven dynamic predictive maintenance for a manufacturing system with quality deterioration and online sensors," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 212(C).
    7. Asgari, Ali & Si, Wujun & Yuan, Liang & Krishnan, Krishna & Wei, Wei, 2024. "Multivariable degradation modeling and life prediction using multivariate fractional Brownian motion," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 248(C).
    8. Liu, Di & Wang, Shaoping & Zhang, Chao, 2022. "Reliability estimation from two types of accelerated testing data based on an artificial neural network supported Wiener process," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 417(C).
    9. Xu, Gaowei & Azhari, Fae, 2022. "Data-driven optimization of repair schemes and inspection intervals for highway bridges," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 228(C).
    10. Zheng, Rui & Najafi, Seyedvahid & Zhang, Yingzhi, 2022. "A recursive method for the health assessment of systems using the proportional hazards model," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).
    11. Wang, Zhijie & Zhai, Qingqing & Chen, Piao, 2021. "Degradation modeling considering unit-to-unit heterogeneity-A general model and comparative study," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    12. Zheng, Rui & Wang, Jingjing & Zhang, Yingzhi, 2023. "A hybrid repair-replacement policy in the proportional hazards model," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 304(3), pages 1011-1021.
    13. Hu, Jiawen & Chen, Piao, 2020. "Predictive maintenance of systems subject to hard failure based on proportional hazards model," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
    14. Pedersen, Tom Ivar & Liu, Xingheng & Vatn, Jørn, 2023. "Maintenance optimization of a system subject to two-stage degradation, hard failure, and imperfect repair," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
    15. Hu, Jiawen & Shen, Jingyuan & Shen, Lijuan, 2020. "Opportunistic maintenance for two-component series systems subject to dependent degradation and shock," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 201(C).
    16. Mei Li & Wei Ning & Yubin Tian, 2024. "Change Point Test for Length-Biased Lognormal Distribution under Random Right Censoring," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(11), pages 1-20, June.
    17. Zhang, Jian-Xun & Hu, Chang-Hua & He, Xiao & Si, Xiao-Sheng & Liu, Yang & Zhou, Dong-Hua, 2017. "Lifetime prognostics for deteriorating systems with time-varying random jumps," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 167(C), pages 338-350.
    18. Xudan Chen & Guoxun Ji & Xinli Sun & Zhen Li, 2019. "Inverse Gaussian–based model with measurement errors for degradation analysis," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 233(6), pages 1086-1098, December.
    19. Zhang, Jian-Xun & Si, Xiao-Sheng & Du, Dang-Bo & Hu, Chang-Hua & Hu, Chen, 2020. "A novel iterative approach of lifetime estimation for standby systems with deteriorating spare parts," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 201(C).
    20. Liu, Di & Wang, Shaoping, 2021. "An artificial neural network supported stochastic process for degradation modeling and prediction," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 214(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:216:y:2021:i:c:s0951832021004750. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/reliability-engineering-and-system-safety .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.