IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/reensy/v190y2019ic1.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Calculation of second order statistics of uncertain linear systems applying reduced order models

Author

Listed:
  • González, I.V.
  • Valdebenito, M.A.
  • Correa, J.I.
  • Jensen, H.A.

Abstract

This contribution investigates the application of reduced order models for approximating the response of a class of uncertain linear systems. The basis associated with the reduced model is generated based on the results of a single analysis of the system plus a sensitivity analysis. The aforementioned strategy is applied in combination with control variates, thus allowing to estimate the second order statistics of the system’s response. In this way, accurate estimates of these statistics can be generated with reduced numerical efforts, as a large number of samples of the system’s response is evaluated with the reduced order model while only a small number of samples of the full model is required. Numerical examples comprising stochastic finite element models suggest that the proposed approach can produce estimates of the second order statistics with reduced variability.

Suggested Citation

  • González, I.V. & Valdebenito, M.A. & Correa, J.I. & Jensen, H.A., 2019. "Calculation of second order statistics of uncertain linear systems applying reduced order models," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 190(C), pages 1-1.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:190:y:2019:i:c:1
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2019.106514
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0951832019301115
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ress.2019.106514?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Philippe Pébay & Timothy B. Terriberry & Hemanth Kolla & Janine Bennett, 2016. "Numerically stable, scalable formulas for parallel and online computation of higher-order multivariate central moments with arbitrary weights," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 31(4), pages 1305-1325, December.
    2. Valdebenito, M.A. & Jensen, H.A. & Hernández, H.B. & Mehrez, L., 2018. "Sensitivity estimation of failure probability applying line sampling," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 99-111.
    3. Michael B. Giles, 2008. "Multilevel Monte Carlo Path Simulation," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 56(3), pages 607-617, June.
    4. Raghu Pasupathy & Bruce Schmeiser & Michael Taaffe & Jin Wang, 2012. "Control-variate estimation using estimated control means," IISE Transactions, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(5), pages 381-385.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Imry Rosenbaum & Jeremy Staum, 2017. "Multilevel Monte Carlo Metamodeling," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 65(4), pages 1062-1077, August.
    2. Yi Chen & Jing Dong & Hao Ni, 2021. "ɛ-Strong Simulation of Fractional Brownian Motion and Related Stochastic Differential Equations," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 46(2), pages 559-594, May.
    3. Jian Wang & Xiang Gao & Zhili Sun, 2021. "A Multilevel Simulation Method for Time-Variant Reliability Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-16, March.
    4. Ahmed Kebaier & J'er^ome Lelong, 2015. "Coupling Importance Sampling and Multilevel Monte Carlo using Sample Average Approximation," Papers 1510.03590, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2017.
    5. Stéphane Crépey & Noufel Frikha & Azar Louzi & Gilles Pagès, 2023. "Asymptotic Error Analysis of Multilevel Stochastic Approximations for the Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) hal-04304985, HAL.
    6. Wei Fang & Zhenru Wang & Michael B. Giles & Chris H. Jackson & Nicky J. Welton & Christophe Andrieu & Howard Thom, 2022. "Multilevel and Quasi Monte Carlo Methods for the Calculation of the Expected Value of Partial Perfect Information," Medical Decision Making, , vol. 42(2), pages 168-181, February.
    7. Hideyuki Tanaka & Toshihiro Yamada, 2012. "Strong Convergence for Euler-Maruyama and Milstein Schemes with Asymptotic Method," Papers 1210.0670, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2013.
    8. F Bourgey & S de Marco & Emmanuel Gobet & Alexandre Zhou, 2020. "Multilevel Monte-Carlo methods and lower-upper bounds in Initial Margin computations," Post-Print hal-02430430, HAL.
    9. Lokman A. Abbas-Turki & Stéphane Crépey & Babacar Diallo, 2018. "Xva Principles, Nested Monte Carlo Strategies, And Gpu Optimizations," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 21(06), pages 1-40, September.
    10. Hoel Håkon & von Schwerin Erik & Szepessy Anders & Tempone Raúl, 2014. "Implementation and analysis of an adaptive multilevel Monte Carlo algorithm," Monte Carlo Methods and Applications, De Gruyter, vol. 20(1), pages 1-41, March.
    11. F Bourgey & S de Marco & Emmanuel Gobet & Alexandre Zhou, 2020. "Multilevel Monte-Carlo methods and lower-upper bounds in Initial Margin computations," Working Papers hal-02430430, HAL.
    12. Kontosakos, Vasileios E. & Mendonca, Keegan & Pantelous, Athanasios A. & Zuev, Konstantin M., 2021. "Pricing discretely-monitored double barrier options with small probabilities of execution," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 290(1), pages 313-330.
    13. Chang-han Rhee & Peter W. Glynn, 2012. "A new approach to unbiased estimation for SDE's," Papers 1207.2452, arXiv.org.
    14. Jorge Ignacio Gonz'alez C'azares & Aleksandar Mijatovi'c & Ger'onimo Uribe Bravo, 2018. "Geometrically Convergent Simulation of the Extrema of L\'{e}vy Processes," Papers 1810.11039, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2021.
    15. Volk-Makarewicz, Warren & Borovkova, Svetlana & Heidergott, Bernd, 2022. "Assessing the impact of jumps in an option pricing model: A gradient estimation approach," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 298(2), pages 740-751.
    16. K. Bujok & B. M. Hambly & C. Reisinger, 2015. "Multilevel Simulation of Functionals of Bernoulli Random Variables with Application to Basket Credit Derivatives," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 17(3), pages 579-604, September.
    17. Weinan E & Martin Hutzenthaler & Arnulf Jentzen & Thomas Kruse, 2021. "Multilevel Picard iterations for solving smooth semilinear parabolic heat equations," Partial Differential Equations and Applications, Springer, vol. 2(6), pages 1-31, December.
    18. Michael B. Giles & Abdul-Lateef Haji-Ali & Jonathan Spence, 2023. "Efficient Risk Estimation for the Credit Valuation Adjustment," Papers 2301.05886, arXiv.org, revised May 2024.
    19. Genin, Adrien & Tankov, Peter, 2020. "Optimal importance sampling for Lévy processes," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 130(1), pages 20-46.
    20. Daphné Giorgi & Vincent Lemaire & Gilles Pagès, 2020. "Weak Error for Nested Multilevel Monte Carlo," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 22(3), pages 1325-1348, September.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:190:y:2019:i:c:1. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/reliability-engineering-and-system-safety .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.