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Remaining useful life prediction based on health index similarity

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  • Liu, Yingchao
  • Hu, Xiaofeng
  • Zhang, Wenjuan

Abstract

Condition-based maintenance and the prediction of the remaining useful life (RUL) of cutting tools are of crucial importance to reduce unexpected downtime and ensure quality. Our paper proposes an original RUL prediction model based on health index (HI) similarity, where both distance similarity and spatial direction similarity are considered. Data mining is carried out to the large and messy original monitoring data to construct the HIs of the cutting tools, which are then used to predict the RUL. The novelty of our method is that it can make full use of limited historical datasets to achieve more accurate prediction results. The model is applied to the data obtained from a turbine factory's slotting cutter machining process and is compared to one of the most popular prognostic method - least squares support vector regression. Our proposed approach is also applied to two further case studies –a GaAs-based semiconductor laser and simulated data. The comparative results show the effectiveness and practicability of our proposed method, even when the data fluctuate a lot and show distinctive trends.

Suggested Citation

  • Liu, Yingchao & Hu, Xiaofeng & Zhang, Wenjuan, 2019. "Remaining useful life prediction based on health index similarity," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 185(C), pages 502-510.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:185:y:2019:i:c:p:502-510
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2019.02.002
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    Cited by:

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    4. Wang, Yuan & Lei, Yaguo & Li, Naipeng & Yan, Tao & Si, Xiaosheng, 2023. "Deep multisource parallel bilinear-fusion network for remaining useful life prediction of machinery," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    5. Jia, Xiang & Guo, Bo, 2022. "Reliability analysis for complex system with multi-source data integration and multi-level data transmission," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
    6. Wang, Yilin & Li, Yuanxiang & Zhang, Yuxuan & Lei, Jia & Yu, Yifei & Zhang, Tongtong & Yang, Yongshen & Zhao, Honghua, 2024. "Incorporating prior knowledge into self-supervised representation learning for long PHM signal," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
    7. Weili Cai & Wenjuan Zhang & Xiaofeng Hu & Yingchao Liu, 2020. "A hybrid information model based on long short-term memory network for tool condition monitoring," Journal of Intelligent Manufacturing, Springer, vol. 31(6), pages 1497-1510, August.
    8. Jain, Amit Kumar & Lad, Bhupesh Kumar, 2020. "Prognosticating RULs while exploiting the future characteristics of operating profiles," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 202(C).
    9. Xuqian Yan & Carlo Locci & Florian Hiss & Astrid Nieße, 2024. "State-of-Health Estimation for Industrial H 2 Electrolyzers with Transfer Linear Regression," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(6), pages 1-19, March.
    10. Gu, Hang-Hang & Wang, Run-Zi & Tang, Min-Jin & Zhang, Xian-Cheng & Tu, Shan-Tung, 2024. "Data-physics-model based fatigue reliability assessment methodology for high-temperature components and its application in steam turbine rotor," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
    11. Nikhil M. Thoppil & V. Vasu & C. S. P. Rao, 2021. "Health indicator construction and remaining useful life estimation for mechanical systems using vibration signal prognostics," International Journal of System Assurance Engineering and Management, Springer;The Society for Reliability, Engineering Quality and Operations Management (SREQOM),India, and Division of Operation and Maintenance, Lulea University of Technology, Sweden, vol. 12(5), pages 1001-1010, October.
    12. Wen, Pengfei & Zhao, Shuai & Chen, Shaowei & Li, Yong, 2021. "A generalized remaining useful life prediction method for complex systems based on composite health indicator," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
    13. Zio, Enrico, 2022. "Prognostics and Health Management (PHM): Where are we and where do we (need to) go in theory and practice," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 218(PA).
    14. Li, Naipeng & Gebraeel, Nagi & Lei, Yaguo & Fang, Xiaolei & Cai, Xiao & Yan, Tao, 2021. "Remaining useful life prediction based on a multi-sensor data fusion model," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 208(C).
    15. Lyu, Guangzheng & Zhang, Heng & Miao, Qiang, 2023. "Parallel State Fusion LSTM-based Early-cycle Stage Lithium-ion Battery RUL Prediction Under Lebesgue Sampling Framework," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
    16. Sara Antomarioni & Marjorie Maria Bellinello & Maurizio Bevilacqua & Filippo Emanuele Ciarapica & Renan Favarão da Silva & Gilberto Francisco Martha de Souza, 2020. "A Data-Driven Approach to Extend Failure Analysis: A Framework Development and a Case Study on a Hydroelectric Power Plant," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(23), pages 1-16, December.
    17. Jia, Xiang & Cheng, Zhijun & Guo, Bo, 2022. "Reliability analysis for system by transmitting, pooling and integrating multi-source data," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 224(C).
    18. Yu, Wennian & Kim, II Yong & Mechefske, Chris, 2020. "An improved similarity-based prognostic algorithm for RUL estimation using an RNN autoencoder scheme," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 199(C).

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