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Health index estimation through integration of general knowledge with unsupervised learning

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  • Bajarunas, Kristupas
  • Baptista, Marcia L.
  • Goebel, Kai
  • Chao, Manuel Arias

Abstract

Accurately estimating a Health Index (HI) from condition monitoring data (CM) is essential for reliable and interpretable prognostics and health management (PHM) in complex systems. In most scenarios, complex systems operate under varying operating conditions and can exhibit different fault modes, making unsupervised inference of an HI from CM data a significant challenge. Hybrid models combining prior knowledge about degradation with deep learning models have been proposed to overcome this challenge. However, previously suggested hybrid models for HI estimation usually rely heavily on system-specific information, limiting their transferability to other systems. In this work, we propose an unsupervised hybrid method for HI estimation that integrates general knowledge about degradation into the convolutional autoencoder’s model architecture and learning algorithm, enhancing its applicability across various systems. The effectiveness of the proposed method is demonstrated in two case studies from different domains: turbofan engines and lithium batteries. The results show that the proposed method outperforms other competitive alternatives, including residual-based methods, in terms of HI quality and their utility for Remaining Useful Life (RUL) predictions. The case studies also highlight the comparable performance of our proposed method with a supervised model trained with HI labels.

Suggested Citation

  • Bajarunas, Kristupas & Baptista, Marcia L. & Goebel, Kai & Chao, Manuel Arias, 2024. "Health index estimation through integration of general knowledge with unsupervised learning," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 251(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:251:y:2024:i:c:s0951832024004241
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2024.110352
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Zhou, Danhua & Wang, Bin & Zhu, Chao & Zhou, Fang & Wu, Hong, 2023. "A light-weight feature extractor for lithium-ion battery health prognosis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
    2. Arias Chao, Manuel & Kulkarni, Chetan & Goebel, Kai & Fink, Olga, 2022. "Fusing physics-based and deep learning models for prognostics," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
    3. Liu, Yingchao & Hu, Xiaofeng & Zhang, Wenjuan, 2019. "Remaining useful life prediction based on health index similarity," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 185(C), pages 502-510.
    4. Zhang, Yadong & Zhang, Chao & Wang, Shaoping & Dui, Hongyan & Chen, Rentong, 2024. "Health indicators for remaining useful life prediction of complex systems based on long short-term memory network and improved particle filter," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
    5. Li, Xilin & Teng, Wei & Peng, Dikang & Ma, Tao & Wu, Xin & Liu, Yibing, 2023. "Feature fusion model based health indicator construction and self-constraint state-space estimator for remaining useful life prediction of bearings in wind turbines," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 233(C).
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    8. Manuel Arias Chao & Chetan Kulkarni & Kai Goebel & Olga Fink, 2021. "Aircraft Engine Run-to-Failure Dataset under Real Flight Conditions for Prognostics and Diagnostics," Data, MDPI, vol. 6(1), pages 1-14, January.
    9. Kumar, Anil & Parkash, Chander & Vashishtha, Govind & Tang, Hesheng & Kundu, Pradeep & Xiang, Jiawei, 2022. "State-space modeling and novel entropy-based health indicator for dynamic degradation monitoring of rolling element bearing," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).
    10. Yu, Wennian & Kim, II Yong & Mechefske, Chris, 2020. "An improved similarity-based prognostic algorithm for RUL estimation using an RNN autoencoder scheme," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 199(C).
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