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Active learning surrogate models for the conception of systems with multiple failure modes

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  • Perrin, G.

Abstract

Due to the performance and certification criteria, complex mechanical systems have to taken into account several constraints, which can be associated with a series of performance functions. Different software are generally used to evaluate such functions, whose computational cost can vary a lot. In conception or reliability analysis, we thus are interested in the identification of the boundaries of the domain where all these constraints are satisfied, at the minimal total computational cost. To this end, the present work proposes an iterative method to maximize the knowledge about these limits while trying to minimize the required number of evaluations of each performance function. This method is based first on Gaussian process surrogate models that are defined on nested sub-spaces, and second, on an original selection criterion that takes into account the computational cost associated with each performance function. After presenting the theoretical basis of this approach, this paper compares its efficiency to alternative methods on an example.

Suggested Citation

  • Perrin, G., 2016. "Active learning surrogate models for the conception of systems with multiple failure modes," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 149(C), pages 130-136.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:149:y:2016:i:c:p:130-136
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2015.12.017
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Bichon, Barron J. & McFarland, John M. & Mahadevan, Sankaran, 2011. "Efficient surrogate models for reliability analysis of systems with multiple failure modes," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 96(10), pages 1386-1395.
    2. Marc C. Kennedy & Anthony O'Hagan, 2001. "Bayesian calibration of computer models," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 63(3), pages 425-464.
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    Cited by:

    1. Jian, Wang & Zhili, Sun & Qiang, Yang & Rui, Li, 2017. "Two accuracy measures of the Kriging model for structural reliability analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 167(C), pages 494-505.
    2. Wang, Jian & Sun, Zhili & Cao, Runan, 2021. "An efficient and robust Kriging-based method for system reliability analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    3. Xu, Zhaoyi & Saleh, Joseph Homer, 2021. "Machine learning for reliability engineering and safety applications: Review of current status and future opportunities," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 211(C).
    4. Menz, Morgane & Gogu, Christian & Dubreuil, Sylvain & Bartoli, Nathalie & Morio, Jérôme, 2020. "Adaptive coupling of reduced basis modeling and Kriging based active learning methods for reliability analyses," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
    5. Yang, Xufeng & Liu, Yongshou & Mi, Caiying & Tang, Chenghu, 2018. "System reliability analysis through active learning Kriging model with truncated candidate region," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 235-241.
    6. Guo, Qing & Liu, Yongshou & Chen, Bingqian & Yao, Qin, 2021. "A variable and mode sensitivity analysis method for structural system using a novel active learning Kriging model," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 206(C).
    7. Wu, Jason & Baker, Jack W., 2020. "Statistical learning techniques for the estimation of lifeline network performance and retrofit selection," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 200(C).
    8. Perrin, G., 2020. "Adaptive calibration of a computer code with time-series output," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
    9. Li, Meng & Sadoughi, Mohammadkazem & Hu, Zhen & Hu, Chao, 2020. "A hybrid Gaussian process model for system reliability analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 197(C).
    10. Xu, Yanwen & Kohtz, Sara & Boakye, Jessica & Gardoni, Paolo & Wang, Pingfeng, 2023. "Physics-informed machine learning for reliability and systems safety applications: State of the art and challenges," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
    11. Wei, Pengfei & Liu, Fuchao & Tang, Chenghu, 2018. "Reliability and reliability-based importance analysis of structural systems using multiple response Gaussian process model," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 175(C), pages 183-195.
    12. Jiang, Chen & Qiu, Haobo & Gao, Liang & Wang, Dapeng & Yang, Zan & Chen, Liming, 2020. "EEK-SYS: System reliability analysis through estimation error-guided adaptive Kriging approximation of multiple limit state surfaces," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).
    13. Gaspar, B. & Teixeira, A.P. & Guedes Soares, C., 2017. "Adaptive surrogate model with active refinement combining Kriging and a trust region method," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 277-291.
    14. Perrin, G., 2021. "Point process-based approaches for the reliability analysis of systems modeled by costly simulators," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 214(C).

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