IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/phsmap/v596y2022ics0378437122001728.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Cellular automaton model with the multi-anticipative effect to reproduce the empirical findings of Kerner’s three-phase traffic theory

Author

Listed:
  • Zhou, Shirui
  • Ling, Shuai
  • Zhu, Chenqiang
  • Tian, Junfang

Abstract

As the important spatiotemporal state of traffic flow discovered by Kerner’s three-phase traffic theory, the synchronized traffic flow describes a new traffic phase in congested traffic. However, until now most models within the standard traffic theories cannot reproduce it. The average space gap model (ASGM) is a simple cellular automaton model aimed to reproduce various empirical findings discovered by Kerner’s three-phase traffic theory by incorporating the influence of the multi-anticipative effect on vehicle’s deceleration. However, this paper shows that the simulated synchronized flow by ASGM is not consistent with the reality. To this end, the Multi-Anticipative Model (MAM) based on ASGM is proposed, which describes the influence of the multi-anticipative effect on both the accelerations and the decelerations. Simulations indicate that the empirical consistent synchronized flow and related congested patterns can be well reproduced by MAM. Moreover, MAM can reproduce the speed drop in the car following vehicle platoons reported by the empirical observations. Generally, MAM indicates that the multi-anticipative effect can shed light on the understanding and capturing the complex characteristics of traffic flow especially reported by Kerner’s three-phase traffic theory.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhou, Shirui & Ling, Shuai & Zhu, Chenqiang & Tian, Junfang, 2022. "Cellular automaton model with the multi-anticipative effect to reproduce the empirical findings of Kerner’s three-phase traffic theory," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 596(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:596:y:2022:i:c:s0378437122001728
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2022.127162
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378437122001728
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only. Journal offers the option of making the article available online on Science direct for a fee of $3,000
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.physa.2022.127162?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Lyu, Zelin & Hu, Xiaojian & Zhang, Fang & Liu, Tenghui & Cui, Zhiwei, 2022. "Heterogeneous traffic flow characteristics on the highway with a climbing lane under different truck percentages: The framework of Kerner’s three-phase traffic theory," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 587(C).
    2. Hu, Xiaojian & Hao, Xiatong & Wang, Han & Su, Ziyi & Zhang, Fang, 2020. "Research on on-street temporary parking effects based on cellular automaton model under the framework of Kerner’s three-phase traffic theory," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 545(C).
    3. Treiber, Martin & Kesting, Arne & Helbing, Dirk, 2006. "Delays, inaccuracies and anticipation in microscopic traffic models," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 360(1), pages 71-88.
    4. Kerner, Boris S., 2016. "Failure of classical traffic flow theories: Stochastic highway capacity and automatic driving," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 450(C), pages 700-747.
    5. Qi, Le & Zheng, Zhongyi & Gang, Longhui, 2017. "A cellular automaton model for ship traffic flow in waterways," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 471(C), pages 705-717.
    6. Zeng, Jun-Wei & Qian, Yong-Sheng & Yu, Sen-Bin & Wei, Xu-Ting, 2019. "Research on critical characteristics of highway traffic flow based on three phase traffic theory," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 530(C).
    7. Hu, Xiaojian & Liu, Tenghui & Hao, Xiatong & Su, Ziyi & Yang, Zhikui, 2021. "Research on the influence of bus bay on traffic flow in adjacent lane: Simulations in the framework of Kerner’s three-phase traffic theory," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 563(C).
    8. Bin Lu & Shaoquan Ni & Scott S. Washburn, 2015. "A Support Vector Regression Approach for Investigating Multianticipative Driving Behavior," Mathematical Problems in Engineering, Hindawi, vol. 2015, pages 1-10, September.
    9. Kerner, Boris S., 2013. "Criticism of generally accepted fundamentals and methodologies of traffic and transportation theory: A brief review," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(21), pages 5261-5282.
    10. Zeng, Junwei & Qian, Yongsheng & Lv, Ziwen & Yin, Fan & Zhu, Leipeng & Zhang, Yongzhi & Xu, Dejie, 2021. "Expressway traffic flow under the combined bottleneck of accident and on-ramp in framework of Kerner’s three-phase traffic theory," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 574(C).
    11. Kerner, Boris S. & Klenov, Sergey L. & Hermanns, Gerhard & Schreckenberg, Michael, 2013. "Effect of driver over-acceleration on traffic breakdown in three-phase cellular automaton traffic flow models," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(18), pages 4083-4105.
    12. Leslie C. Edie, 1961. "Car-Following and Steady-State Theory for Noncongested Traffic," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 9(1), pages 66-76, February.
    13. Kerner, Boris S., 2004. "Three-phase traffic theory and highway capacity," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 333(C), pages 379-440.
    14. Hu, Xiaojian & Zhang, Fang & Lu, Jian & Liu, Mingyang & Ma, Yongfeng & Wan, Qian, 2019. "Research on influence of sun glare in urban tunnels based on cellular automaton model in the framework of Kerner’s three-phase traffic theory," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 527(C).
    15. Treiber, Martin & Kesting, Arne & Helbing, Dirk, 2010. "Three-phase traffic theory and two-phase models with a fundamental diagram in the light of empirical stylized facts," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 44(8-9), pages 983-1000, September.
    16. Tian, Jun-fang & Yuan, Zhen-zhou & Treiber, Martin & Jia, Bin & Zhang, Wen-yi, 2012. "Cellular automaton model within the fundamental-diagram approach reproducing some findings of the three-phase theory," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(11), pages 3129-3139.
    17. Qian, Yong-Sheng & Feng, Xiao & Zeng, Jun-Wei, 2017. "A cellular automata traffic flow model for three-phase theory," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 479(C), pages 509-526.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Tian, Tian & Liu, Gang & Hu, Xiaoxi & Bian, Dingding, 2024. "Traffic behavior analysis of the urban expressway ramp based on continuous cellular automata," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 633(C).
    2. Jing, Dian & Yao, Enjian & Chen, Rongsheng, 2023. "Moving characteristics analysis of mixed traffic flow of CAVs and HVs around accident zones," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 626(C).
    3. Hu, Xiaojian & Qiao, Longqi & Hao, Xiatong & Lin, Chenxi & Liu, Tenghui, 2022. "Research on the impact of entry points on urban arterial roads in the framework of Kerner’s three-phase traffic theory," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 605(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Hu, Xiaojian & Qiao, Longqi & Hao, Xiatong & Lin, Chenxi & Liu, Tenghui, 2022. "Research on the impact of entry points on urban arterial roads in the framework of Kerner’s three-phase traffic theory," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 605(C).
    2. Hu, Xiaojian & Hao, Xiatong & Wang, Han & Su, Ziyi & Zhang, Fang, 2020. "Research on on-street temporary parking effects based on cellular automaton model under the framework of Kerner’s three-phase traffic theory," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 545(C).
    3. Lyu, Zelin & Hu, Xiaojian & Zhang, Fang & Liu, Tenghui & Cui, Zhiwei, 2022. "Heterogeneous traffic flow characteristics on the highway with a climbing lane under different truck percentages: The framework of Kerner’s three-phase traffic theory," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 587(C).
    4. Hu, Xiaojian & Lin, Chenxi & Hao, Xiatong & Lu, RuiYing & Liu, TengHui, 2021. "Influence of tidal lane on traffic breakdown and spatiotemporal congested patterns at moving bottleneck in the framework of Kerner’s three-phase traffic theory," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 584(C).
    5. Lu, Xingyu & Zhu, Huibing & Wang, Jieguang & Zhang, Ming & Zhou, Chunchun & Zhang, Huafeng, 2022. "Modeling impacts of the tunnel section on the mixed traffic flow: A case study of Jiaodong’ao Tunnel in China," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 603(C).
    6. Jing, Dian & Yao, Enjian & Chen, Rongsheng, 2023. "Moving characteristics analysis of mixed traffic flow of CAVs and HVs around accident zones," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 626(C).
    7. Shang, Xue-Cheng & Li, Xin-Gang & Xie, Dong-Fan & Jia, Bin & Jiang, Rui & Liu, Feng, 2022. "A data-driven two-lane traffic flow model based on cellular automata," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 588(C).
    8. Tian, Junfang & Li, Guangyu & Treiber, Martin & Jiang, Rui & Jia, Ning & Ma, Shoufeng, 2016. "Cellular automaton model simulating spatiotemporal patterns, phase transitions and concave growth pattern of oscillations in traffic flow," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 93(PA), pages 560-575.
    9. Cheng, Qixiu & Lin, Yuqian & Zhou, Xuesong (Simon) & Liu, Zhiyuan, 2024. "Analytical formulation for explaining the variations in traffic states: A fundamental diagram modeling perspective with stochastic parameters," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 312(1), pages 182-197.
    10. Wang, Lichao & Yang, Min & Li, Ye & Hou, Yiqi, 2022. "A model of lane-changing intention induced by deceleration frequency in an automatic driving environment," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 604(C).
    11. Tian, Junfang & Treiber, Martin & Ma, Shoufeng & Jia, Bin & Zhang, Wenyi, 2015. "Microscopic driving theory with oscillatory congested states: Model and empirical verification," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 138-157.
    12. Fu, Ding-Jun & Li, Qi-Lang & Jiang, Rui & Wang, Bing-Hong, 2020. "A simple cellular automaton model with dual cruise-control limit in the framework of Kerner’s three-phase traffic theory," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 559(C).
    13. Shang, Xue-Cheng & Li, Xin-Gang & Xie, Dong-Fan & Jia, Bin & Jiang, Rui, 2020. "Two-lane traffic flow model based on regular hexagonal cells with realistic lane changing behavior," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 560(C).
    14. Wang, Xiao & Jiang, Rui & Li, Li & Lin, Yi-Lun & Wang, Fei-Yue, 2019. "Long memory is important: A test study on deep-learning based car-following model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 514(C), pages 786-795.
    15. Treiber, Martin & Kesting, Arne, 2018. "The Intelligent Driver Model with stochasticity – New insights into traffic flow oscillations," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 117(PB), pages 613-623.
    16. Treiber, Martin & Kesting, Arne, 2011. "Evidence of convective instability in congested traffic flow: A systematic empirical and theoretical investigation," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 45(9), pages 1362-1377.
    17. Tian, Tian & Liu, Gang & Hu, Xiaoxi & Bian, Dingding, 2024. "Traffic behavior analysis of the urban expressway ramp based on continuous cellular automata," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 633(C).
    18. Jiang, Rui & Hu, Mao-Bin & Zhang, H.M. & Gao, Zi-You & Jia, Bin & Wu, Qing-Song, 2015. "On some experimental features of car-following behavior and how to model them," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 338-354.
    19. Jiang, Yu & Xue, Qingwen & Wang, Yasha & Cai, Mengting & Zhang, Honghai & Li, Yahui, 2021. "Traffic congestion mechanism in mega-airport surface," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 577(C).
    20. Liu, Keyi & Feng, Tianjun, 2023. "Heterogeneous traffic flow cellular automata model mixed with intelligent controlled vehicles," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 632(P1).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:596:y:2022:i:c:s0378437122001728. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/physica-a-statistical-mechpplications/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.