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The string prediction models as invariants of time series in the forex market

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  • Pincak, R.

Abstract

In this paper we apply a new approach of string theory to the real financial market. The models are constructed with an idea of prediction models based on the string invariants (PMBSI). The performance of PMBSI is compared to support vector machines (SVM) and artificial neural networks (ANN) on an artificial and a financial time series. A brief overview of the results and analysis is given. The first model is based on the correlation function as invariant and the second one is an application based on the deviations from the closed string/pattern form (PMBCS). We found the difference between these two approaches. The first model cannot predict the behavior of the forex market with good efficiency in comparison with the second one which is, in addition, able to make relevant profit per year. The presented string models could be useful for portfolio creation and financial risk management in the banking sector as well as for a nonlinear statistical approach to data optimization.

Suggested Citation

  • Pincak, R., 2013. "The string prediction models as invariants of time series in the forex market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(24), pages 6414-6426.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:392:y:2013:i:24:p:6414-6426
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2013.07.048
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