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The impact of authorities’ media and rumor dissemination on the evolution of emergency

Author

Listed:
  • Zhao, Laijun
  • Wang, Qin
  • Cheng, Jingjing
  • Zhang, Ding
  • Ma, Ting
  • Chen, Yucheng
  • Wang, Jiajia

Abstract

Rumor dissemination will induce emergencies. Authorities’ information is an essential factor for avoiding rumor dissemination when emergencies occur. The credibility of authorities’ media and audience rating of authorities’ information greatly influence the evolution of emergencies which are induced by rumor dissemination. To explore the interplay mechanism among authorities’ media, rumor dissemination and the evolution of emergency, we propose a new interplay model and perform stability analysis by the Routh stability criterion. We find a stability condition under which the deterioration of emergency can be effectively prevented. Recommendations for policy makers and consulting advice for related commissions are explored in the case study of the iodized sail shortage panic in China. Results show that applying media with high audience rating but low credibility will cause widespread panic and inspire a slew of ancillary rumors. Authorities should choose proper media to release the truth to public according to the seriousness of the situation and the rumor spreading rate. Pertinent countermeasures and appropriate tactics are also brought out for decision makers to alleviate intense feelings of panic.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhao, Laijun & Wang, Qin & Cheng, Jingjing & Zhang, Ding & Ma, Ting & Chen, Yucheng & Wang, Jiajia, 2012. "The impact of authorities’ media and rumor dissemination on the evolution of emergency," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(15), pages 3978-3987.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:391:y:2012:i:15:p:3978-3987
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2012.02.004
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Wang, Chuanbiao & Liu, Ruiying & Wang, Yan, 2023. "The spread dynamics model of the interaction between rumors and derivative rumors in emergencies under the control strategy," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 175(P2).
    2. Li, Dandan & Ma, Jing, 2017. "How the government’s punishment and individual’s sensitivity affect the rumor spreading in online social networks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 469(C), pages 284-292.
    3. Zhang, Yuhuai & Zhu, Jianjun, 2018. "Stability analysis of I2S2R rumor spreading model in complex networks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 503(C), pages 862-881.
    4. Zhang, Yi & Xu, Jiuping & Nekovee, Maziar & Li, Zongmin, 2022. "The impact of official rumor-refutation information on the dynamics of rumor spread," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 607(C).
    5. Han, Shuo & Zhuang, Fuzhen & He, Qing & Shi, Zhongzhi & Ao, Xiang, 2014. "Energy model for rumor propagation on social networks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 394(C), pages 99-109.
    6. Zhao, Laijun & Cui, Hongxin & Qiu, Xiaoyan & Wang, Xiaoli & Wang, Jiajia, 2013. "SIR rumor spreading model in the new media age," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(4), pages 995-1003.
    7. Chen, Guanghua, 2019. "ILSCR rumor spreading model to discuss the control of rumor spreading in emergency," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 522(C), pages 88-97.
    8. Lan, Yuexin & Lian, Zhixuan & Zeng, Runxi & Zhu, Di & Xia, Yixue & Liu, Mo & Zhang, Peng, 2020. "A statistical model of the impact of online rumors on the information quantity of online public opinion," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 541(C).
    9. Su, Qiang & Huang, Jiajia & Zhao, Xiande, 2015. "An information propagation model considering incomplete reading behavior in microblog," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 419(C), pages 55-63.
    10. Liu, Nairong & An, Haizhong & Gao, Xiangyun & Li, Huajiao & Hao, Xiaoqing, 2016. "Breaking news dissemination in the media via propagation behavior based on complex network theory," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 453(C), pages 44-54.
    11. Amirhosein Bodaghi & Sama Goliaei, 2018. "A Novel Model For Rumor Spreading On Social Networks With Considering The Influence Of Dissenting Opinions," Advances in Complex Systems (ACS), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 21(06n07), pages 1-24, September.
    12. Huo, Liang'an & Ma, Chenyang, 2017. "Dynamical analysis of rumor spreading model with impulse vaccination and time delay," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 471(C), pages 653-665.
    13. Laijun Zhao & Jiajia Wang & Rongbing Huang, 2015. "Immunization against the Spread of Rumors in Homogenous Networks," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 10(5), pages 1-17, May.

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