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Has COVID-19 induced labor market mismatch? Evidence from the US and the UK

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  • Pizzinelli, Carlo
  • Shibata, Ippei

Abstract

This paper studies whether labor market mismatch played an important role for employment dynamics during the COVID-19 pandemic. We apply the framework of Şahin et al. (2014) to the US and the UK to measure misallocation between job seekers and vacancies across sectors until the fourth quarter of 2021. We find that mismatch rose sharply at the onset of the pandemic but returned to previous levels within a few quarters. This implies that, as of late 2021, COVID-19 has not set in motion a large wave of structural reallocation involving significant frictions in the matching process between workers and firms. Consequently, the total loss in employment caused by the rise in mismatch has been even smaller and less persistent during the COVID-19 pandemic than during the Global Financial Crisis. The results are robust to considering alternative definitions of job searchers and to using a measure of “effective” job seekers in each sector.

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  • Pizzinelli, Carlo & Shibata, Ippei, 2023. "Has COVID-19 induced labor market mismatch? Evidence from the US and the UK," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:labeco:v:81:y:2023:i:c:s0927537123000040
    DOI: 10.1016/j.labeco.2023.102329
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    Cited by:

    1. Felder, Rahel & Sheldon, George, 2023. "Ein System zur laufenden Messung der Knappheitsverhältnisse auf beruflichen Arbeitsmärkten in der Schweiz," Working papers 2023/10, Faculty of Business and Economics - University of Basel.
    2. Konstantins Benkovskis & Olegs Tkacevs & Karlis Vilerts, 2024. "Understanding How Job Retention Schemes Reshape the Within-Occupation Skill Profile of Employees within Firms," Working Papers 2024/02, Latvijas Banka.
    3. Saudi‐Yulieth Enciso‐Alfaro & Salma Marhroub & Pedro‐José Martínez‐Córdoba & Isabel‐María García‐Sánchez, 2024. "The effect of COVID‐19 on employment: A bibliometric review of a she‐cession," Corporate Social Responsibility and Environmental Management, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 31(4), pages 3444-3467, July.
    4. Basso, Gaetano & Depalo, Domenico & Lattanzio, Salvatore, 2023. "Worker flows and reallocation during the recovery," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    5. Mathieu P.A. Steijn, 2024. "The persistence and nature of the labor reallocation shock during the COVID-19 crisis," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 24-047/V, Tinbergen Institute.
    6. Serdar Birinci & Yusuf Mercan & Kurt See, 2024. "Mismatch Unemployment During COVID-19 and the Post-Pandemic Labor Shortages," Working Papers 2024-025, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, revised 19 Sep 2024.
    7. Yudai Higashi & Masaru Sasaki, 2024. "Did COVID-19 Deteriorate Mismatch in the Japanese Labor Market?," Discussion Paper Series DP2024-29, Research Institute for Economics & Business Administration, Kobe University.
    8. Higashi, Yudai & Sasaki, Masaru, 2023. "Did COVID-19 Deteriorate Mismatch in the Japanese Labor Market?," IZA Discussion Papers 15917, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • J08 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - General - - - Labor Economics Policies
    • J22 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Time Allocation and Labor Supply
    • J23 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Demand
    • J24 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity
    • J63 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Turnover; Vacancies; Layoffs

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