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The robustness value of public transport development plans

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  • Cats, O.

Abstract

Investments in transport are increasingly motivated by the need to improve its robustness — the capacity to absorb disturbances with a minimal impact on system performance. Nonetheless, there is lack of knowledge on how to assess and quantify the robustness value of new investments. This study investigates the robustness of alternative public transport networks by assessing the consequences of link failures on network performance. A full-scan disruption impact analysis is performed and its implications on passenger's group composition and travel time losses are analysed for a public transport development plan in Stockholm, Sweden. The results suggest that as a result of the development plan, the robustness of the case study network will improve in terms of average performance deterioration as well as worst case scenario for all performance indicators. Neglecting abnormal operations in project appraisal can potentially lead to the underestimation of its benefits. Moreover, the critical links in each network are identified and impact disparity is investigated. The analysis method presented in this study can support the consideration of development plan impacts on network robustness in the strategic planning process.

Suggested Citation

  • Cats, O., 2016. "The robustness value of public transport development plans," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 236-246.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jotrge:v:51:y:2016:i:c:p:236-246
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2016.01.011
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Jing Liu & Huapu Lu & He Ma & Wenzhi Liu, 2017. "Network Vulnerability Analysis of Rail Transit Plans in Beijng-Tianjin-Hebei Region Considering Connectivity Reliability," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(8), pages 1-17, August.
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    3. Iliopoulou, Christina & Makridis, Michail A., 2023. "Critical multi-link disruption identification for public transport networks: A multi-objective optimization framework," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 626(C).
    4. Lu, Qing-Chang, 2018. "Modeling network resilience of rail transit under operational incidents," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 227-237.
    5. Jesper Bláfoss Ingvardson & Jonas Kornerup Jensen & Otto Anker Nielsen, 2017. "Analysing improvements to on-street public transport systems: a mesoscopic model approach," Public Transport, Springer, vol. 9(1), pages 385-409, July.
    6. Noguchi, Hiroki & Fuse, Masaaki, 2020. "Rethinking critical node problem for railway networks from the perspective of turn-back operation," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 558(C).
    7. Cats, Oded & Koppenol, Gert-Jaap & Warnier, Martijn, 2017. "Robustness assessment of link capacity reduction for complex networks: Application for public transport systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 167(C), pages 544-553.
    8. Kashin Sugishita & Yasuo Asakura, 2021. "Vulnerability studies in the fields of transportation and complex networks: a citation network analysis," Public Transport, Springer, vol. 13(1), pages 1-34, March.
    9. Hong, Liu & Zhong, Xin & Ouyang, Min & Tian, Hui & He, Xiaozheng, 2019. "Vulnerability analysis of public transit systems from the perspective of urban residential communities," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 189(C), pages 143-156.
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    12. Zhiru Wang & Wubin Ma & Albert Chan, 2020. "Exploring the Relationships between the Topological Characteristics of Subway Networks and Service Disruption Impact," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(10), pages 1-18, May.
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    14. Liping Ge & Stefan Voß & Lin Xie, 2022. "Robustness and disturbances in public transport," Public Transport, Springer, vol. 14(1), pages 191-261, March.
    15. Cats, Oded, 2017. "Topological evolution of a metropolitan rail transport network: The case of Stockholm," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 172-183.
    16. Shuaiming Chen & Ximing Ji & Haipeng Shao, 2024. "Revealing the Community Structure of Urban Bus Networks: a Multi-view Graph Learning Approach," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 24(3), pages 589-619, September.
    17. Ingvardson, Jesper Bláfoss & Nielsen, Otto Anker, 2018. "How urban density, network topology and socio-economy influence public transport ridership: Empirical evidence from 48 European metropolitan areas," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 50-63.
    18. Zhu, Jingjing & Xu, Xiangdong & Wang, Zijian, 2023. "Economic evaluation of redundancy design for transportation networks under disruptions: Framework and case study," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 142(C), pages 70-83.
    19. Luo, Ding & Cats, Oded & van Lint, Hans & Currie, Graham, 2019. "Integrating network science and public transport accessibility analysis for comparative assessment," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    20. Yadan Yan & Bohui Su & Zhiju Chen, 2024. "Generalized-Norm-Based Robustness Evaluation Model of Bus Network under Snowy Weather," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(12), pages 1-20, June.
    21. Hu, Xinlei & Huang, Jie & Shi, Feng, 2022. "A robustness assessment with passenger flow data of high-speed rail network in China," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 165(P1).
    22. Cats, Oded & Krishnakumari, Panchamy, 2020. "Metropolitan rail network robustness," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 549(C).
    23. Chan, Ho-Yin & Chen, Anthony & Li, Guoyuan & Xu, Xiangdong & Lam, William, 2021. "Evaluating the value of new metro lines using route diversity measures: The case of Hong Kong's Mass Transit Railway system," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    24. Wang, Bi & Su, Qin & Chin, Kwai Sang, 2021. "Vulnerability assessment of China–Europe Railway Express multimodal transport network under cascading failures," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 584(C).
    25. Wang, Ziqi & Pei, Yulong & Zhang, Jianhua & Dong, Chuntong & Liu, Jing & Zhou, Dongyue, 2024. "Vulnerability analysis of public transit systems from the perspective of the traffic situation," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 634(C).

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