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Private bank deposits and macro/fiscal risk in the euro-area

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  • G. Arghyrou, Michael
  • Gadea, Maria-Dolores
  • Kontonikas, Alexandros

Abstract

We use a panel of ten euro area member states to examine the link between macro/fiscal risk and private bank deposits relative to Germany. Our main findings are summarised as follows: First, the relationship between relative deposits and macro/fiscal risk factors is not stable over time. Second, the significant time variation characterizing this relationship is driven by aggregate EMU-wide macro/fiscal risk conditions. Third, relative deposits in periphery EMU countries are generally more responsive to macro/fiscal risk. Fourth, the ECB’s unconventional monetary policy moderated the effect of the global financial and European debt crises on the relationship between relative deposits and macro/fiscal risk. Our empirical findings can inform the ongoing policy debate regarding the completion of the European Banking Union.

Suggested Citation

  • G. Arghyrou, Michael & Gadea, Maria-Dolores & Kontonikas, Alexandros, 2024. "Private bank deposits and macro/fiscal risk in the euro-area," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jimfin:v:140:y:2024:i:c:s0261560623001936
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2023.102992
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Private bank deposits; Macro/fiscal risk; Euro area; TVP panel;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F30 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - General
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • F45 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Macroeconomic Issues of Monetary Unions
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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