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Information, irrationality, and the evolution of trust

Author

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  • Manapat, Michael L.
  • Nowak, Martin A.
  • Rand, David G.

Abstract

Trust is a central component of social and economic interactions among humans. While rational self-interest dictates that “investors” should not be trusting and “trustees” should not be trustworthy in one-shot anonymous interactions, behavioral experiments with the “trust game” have found that people are both. Here we show how an evolutionary framework can explain this seemingly irrational, altruistic behavior. When individuals’ strategies evolve in a context in which (1) investors sometimes have knowledge about trustees before transactions occur and (2) trustees compete with each other for access to investors, natural selection can favor both trust and trustworthiness, even in the subset of interactions in which individuals interact anonymously. We investigate the effects of investors having “fuzzy minds” and making irrationally large demands, finding that both improve outcomes for investors but are not evolutionarily stable. Furthermore, we often find oscillations in trust and trustworthiness instead of convergence to a socially optimal stable equilibrium, with increasing trustworthiness preceeding trust in these cycles. Finally, we show how “partner choice,” or competition among trustees in small group settings, can lead to arbitrarily equitable distributions of the game's proceeds. To complement our theoretical analysis, we performed a novel behavioral experiment with a modified version of the trust game. Our evolutionary framework provides an ultimate mechanism—not just a proximate psychological explanation—for the emergence of trusting behavior and can explain why trust and trustworthiness are sometimes stable and other times unstable.

Suggested Citation

  • Manapat, Michael L. & Nowak, Martin A. & Rand, David G., 2013. "Information, irrationality, and the evolution of trust," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 90(S), pages 57-75.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:jeborg:v:90:y:2013:i:s:p:s57-s75
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2012.10.018
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    3. Shi, Yong-Dong & Zhong, Li-Xin & Xu, Wen-Juan, 2013. "Effects of group sensitivity on cooperation in N-person snowdrift game with dynamic grouping," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 132-138.
    4. Bo Chen & Bin Zhang & Hua-qing Wu, 2015. "Misreporting behaviour in iterated prisoner's dilemma game with combined trust strategy," International Journal of Systems Science, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(1), pages 31-43, January.
    5. Paul Rauwolf & Joanna J. Bryson, 2018. "Expectations of Fairness and Trust Co-Evolve in Environments of Partial Information," Dynamic Games and Applications, Springer, vol. 8(4), pages 891-917, December.
    6. Jürgen Bott & Udo Milkau, 2018. "Risk Culture and the Role Model of the Honorable Merchant," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-11, July.
    7. Jefferson Satoshi Kato & Adriana Sbicca, 2022. "Bounded Rationality, Group Formation and the Emergence of Trust: An Agent-Based Economic Model," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 60(2), pages 571-599, August.
    8. Keser, Claudia & Späth, Maximilian, 2021. "The value of bad ratings: An experiment on the impact of distortions in reputation systems," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    9. Feng, Meiling & Li, Xuezhu & Zhao, Dawei & Xia, Chengyi, 2023. "Evolutionary dynamics with the second-order reputation in the networked N-player trust game," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 175(P2).
    10. Xueping Wang & Xin Yuan & Xinqin Gao, 2022. "Game Strategy Selection of Multiple Participants in Cloud Manufacturing Alliance," SAGE Open, , vol. 12(2), pages 21582440221, May.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Trust; Evolutionary game theory; Cooperation; Reputation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C70 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Game Theory and Bargaining Theory - - - General
    • C72 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Game Theory and Bargaining Theory - - - Noncooperative Games
    • C73 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Game Theory and Bargaining Theory - - - Stochastic and Dynamic Games; Evolutionary Games

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