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Financial prediction with constrained tail risk

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  • Trindade, A. Alexandre
  • Uryasev, Stan
  • Shapiro, Alexander
  • Zrazhevsky, Grigory

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  • Trindade, A. Alexandre & Uryasev, Stan & Shapiro, Alexander & Zrazhevsky, Grigory, 2007. "Financial prediction with constrained tail risk," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(11), pages 3524-3538, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jbfina:v:31:y:2007:i:11:p:3524-3538
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Christoffersen, Peter F. & Diebold, Francis X., 1997. "Optimal Prediction Under Asymmetric Loss," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 13(6), pages 808-817, December.
    2. Koenker,Roger, 2005. "Quantile Regression," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521845731.
    3. Basak, Suleyman & Shapiro, Alexander, 2001. "Value-at-Risk-Based Risk Management: Optimal Policies and Asset Prices," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 14(2), pages 371-405.
    4. Acerbi, Carlo & Tasche, Dirk, 2002. "On the coherence of expected shortfall," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 26(7), pages 1487-1503, July.
    5. R. Rockafellar & Stan Uryasev & Michael Zabarankin, 2006. "Generalized deviations in risk analysis," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 10(1), pages 51-74, January.
    6. Trindade, A. Alexandre & Zhu, Yun, 2007. "Approximating the distributions of estimators of financial risk under an asymmetric Laplace law," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 51(7), pages 3433-3447, April.
    7. Koenker, Roger W & Bassett, Gilbert, Jr, 1978. "Regression Quantiles," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 46(1), pages 33-50, January.
    8. Philippe Artzner & Freddy Delbaen & Jean‐Marc Eber & David Heath, 1999. "Coherent Measures of Risk," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 9(3), pages 203-228, July.
    9. Rockafellar, R. Tyrrell & Uryasev, Stan & Zabarankin, Michael, 2006. "Master funds in portfolio analysis with general deviation measures," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(2), pages 743-778, February.
    10. Rockafellar, R. Tyrrell & Uryasev, Stanislav, 2002. "Conditional value-at-risk for general loss distributions," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 26(7), pages 1443-1471, July.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. So Yeon Chun & Alexander Shapiro & Stan Uryasev, 2012. "Conditional Value-at-Risk and Average Value-at-Risk: Estimation and Asymptotics," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 60(4), pages 739-756, August.
    2. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Shahzad, Mohammad Rahim & Karim, Sitara & Assaf, Rima, 2023. "Tail risk transmission in technology-driven markets," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    3. Alexandre Carbonneau & Fr'ed'eric Godin, 2020. "Equal Risk Pricing of Derivatives with Deep Hedging," Papers 2002.08492, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2020.
    4. R. Tyrrell Rockafellar & Stan Uryasev & Michael Zabarankin, 2008. "Risk Tuning with Generalized Linear Regression," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 33(3), pages 712-729, August.
    5. Marla, Lavanya & Rikun, Alexander & Stauffer, Gautier & Pratsini, Eleni, 2020. "Robust modeling and planning: Insights from three industrial applications," Operations Research Perspectives, Elsevier, vol. 7(C).
    6. Roger W. Barnard & Kent Pearce & A. Alexandre Trindade, 2018. "When is tail mean estimation more efficient than tail median? Answers and implications for quantitative risk management," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 262(1), pages 47-65, March.
    7. L. Jeff Hong & Zhaolin Hu & Liwei Zhang, 2014. "Conditional Value-at-Risk Approximation to Value-at-Risk Constrained Programs: A Remedy via Monte Carlo," INFORMS Journal on Computing, INFORMS, vol. 26(2), pages 385-400, May.
    8. Yi Wu & Xuejun Wang & Aiting Shen, 2021. "Strong convergence properties for weighted sums of m-asymptotic negatively associated random variables and statistical applications," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 62(5), pages 2169-2194, October.
    9. Li Yongming & Li Naiyi & Luo Zhongde & Xing Guodong, 2024. "Asymptotic Behaviors of the VaR and CVaR Estimates for Widely Orthant Dependent Sequences," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 26(3), pages 1-22, September.
    10. L. Jeff Hong & Guangwu Liu, 2009. "Simulating Sensitivities of Conditional Value at Risk," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 55(2), pages 281-293, February.
    11. Xi Chen & Kyoung-Kuk Kim, 2016. "Efficient VaR and CVaR Measurement via Stochastic Kriging," INFORMS Journal on Computing, INFORMS, vol. 28(4), pages 629-644, November.
    12. Jinyu Zhou & Jigao Yan & Dongya Cheng, 2024. "Strong consistency of tail value-at-risk estimator and corresponding general results under widely orthant dependent samples," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 65(6), pages 3357-3394, August.
    13. Rockafellar, R.T. & Royset, J.O. & Miranda, S.I., 2014. "Superquantile regression with applications to buffered reliability, uncertainty quantification, and conditional value-at-risk," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 234(1), pages 140-154.
    14. David E. Allen & Robert Powell, 2009. "Transitional credit modelling and its relationship to market value at risk: an Australian sectoral perspective," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 49(3), pages 425-444, September.
    15. Zhongde Luo, 2020. "Nonparametric kernel estimation of CVaR under $$\alpha $$α-mixing sequences," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 61(2), pages 615-643, April.
    16. Massimiliano Kaucic & Roberto Daris, 2015. "Multi-Objective Stochastic Optimization Programs for a Non-Life Insurance Company under Solvency Constraints," Risks, MDPI, vol. 3(3), pages 1-30, September.

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