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An analysis of the impact of aircraft lifecycles on aviation emissions mitigation policies

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  • Dray, Lynnette

Abstract

Many options for mitigating aviation's environmental impact rely on introduction of new aircraft technology, retrofits or early retirement of older aircraft. Using a global fleet database, we analyse aircraft lifecycles and their interaction with fuel price, demand, policy and economic cycles. Simple relationships, including aircraft retirement curves, are estimated to allow insight into the effectiveness and timescales of emissions reductions from these measures. We find variations in retirement age and retrofits have historically had little effect on global emissions. The design and purchasing stages offer a more promising target, subject to long timescales and demand growth rates.

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  • Dray, Lynnette, 2013. "An analysis of the impact of aircraft lifecycles on aviation emissions mitigation policies," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 62-69.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jaitra:v:28:y:2013:i:c:p:62-69
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jairtraman.2012.12.012
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Bows, Alice & Anderson, Kevin L., 2007. "Policy clash: Can projected aviation growth be reconciled with the UK Government's 60% carbon-reduction target?," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 14(2), pages 103-110, March.
    2. Alan Greenspan & Darrel Cohen, 1999. "Motor Vehicle Stocks, Scrappage, And Sales," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 81(3), pages 369-383, August.
    3. Steffens, Paul R, 2001. "An Aggregate Sales Model for Consumer Durables Incorporating a Time-Varying Mean Replacement Age," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 20(1), pages 63-77, January.
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    2. Das, Deepjyoti & Sharma, Somesh Kumar & Parti, Raman & Singh, Jagroop, 2016. "Analyzing the effect of aviation infrastructure over aviation fuel consumption reduction," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 89-100.
    3. Kito, Minami, 2021. "Impact of aircraft lifetime change on lifecycle CO2 emissions and costs in Japan," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 188(C).
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    5. Brueckner, Jan K. & Abreu, Chrystyane, 2020. "Does the fuel-conservation effect of higher fuel prices appear at both the aircraft-model and aggregate airline levels?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 197(C).
    6. Lee, Kuen-Chang & Tsai, Wen-Hsien & Yang, Chih-Hao & Lin, Ya-Zhi, 2018. "An MCDM approach for selecting green aviation fleet program management strategies under multi-resource limitations," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 76-85.

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