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Policy clash: Can projected aviation growth be reconciled with the UK Government's 60% carbon-reduction target?

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  • Bows, Alice
  • Anderson, Kevin L.

Abstract

In 2004, the UK's aviation industry emitted an estimated 9.8Â MtC; a figure that, without direct intervention, is projected to rise to 16-21Â MtC by 2030 according to the UK Government. As the UK's 60% carbon-reduction target approaches, so aviation is likely to become a dominant carbon-emitting sector. This paper calculates the proportion of carbon emissions resulting from the Government's projected aviation growth in relation to a contracting carbon budget. It concludes that the Government must urgently address today's very high levels of growth in emissions within the industry, and ensure future growth can be reconciled with the Government's own carbon targets.

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  • Bows, Alice & Anderson, Kevin L., 2007. "Policy clash: Can projected aviation growth be reconciled with the UK Government's 60% carbon-reduction target?," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 14(2), pages 103-110, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:trapol:v:14:y:2007:i:2:p:103-110
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    Cited by:

    1. Hickman, Robin & Ashiru, Olu & Banister, David, 2011. "Transitions to low carbon transport futures: strategic conversations from London and Delhi," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 19(6), pages 1553-1562.
    2. Liu, Xiao & Zhou, Dequn & Zhou, Peng & Wang, Qunwei, 2017. "What drives CO2 emissions from China’s civil aviation? An exploration using a new generalized PDA method," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 30-45.
    3. Wood, F.R. & Bows, A. & Anderson, K., 2010. "Apportioning aviation CO2 emissions to regional administrations for monitoring and target setting," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 17(4), pages 206-215, August.
    4. Anger, Annela & Köhler, Jonathan, 2010. "Including aviation emissions in the EU ETS: Much ado about nothing? A review," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 17(1), pages 38-46, January.
    5. Mayor, Karen & Tol, Richard S.J., 2007. "The impact of the UK aviation tax on carbon dioxide emissions and visitor numbers," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 14(6), pages 507-513, November.
    6. Moriarty, Patrick & Honnery, Damon, 2008. "Mitigating greenhouse: Limited time, limited options," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 36(4), pages 1251-1256, April.
    7. Mander, Sarah. L. & Bows, Alice & Anderson, Kevin. L. & Shackley, Simon & Agnolucci, Paolo & Ekins, Paul, 2008. "The Tyndall decarbonisation scenarios--Part I: Development of a backcasting methodology with stakeholder participation," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 36(10), pages 3754-3763, October.
    8. Karen Mayor & Richard S.J. Tol, 2007. "The Impact Of The Eu-Us Open Skies Agreement On International Travel And Carbon Dioxide Emissions," Working Papers FNU-134, Research unit Sustainability and Global Change, Hamburg University, revised Apr 2007.
    9. Galindo, Luis Miguel & Beltrán, Allan & Caballero, Karina, 2018. "Potential consequences of a CO2 aviation tax in Mexico on the demand for tourism," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 90247, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    10. Dray, Lynnette, 2013. "An analysis of the impact of aircraft lifecycles on aviation emissions mitigation policies," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 62-69.
    11. Gilbert, Paul & Bows, Alice, 2012. "Exploring the scope for complementary sub-global policy to mitigate CO2 from shipping," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 613-622.
    12. Xirui Li & Junqi Tang & Weidong Li & Qingmin Si & Xinyao Guo & Linqing Niu, 2023. "A Bibliometric Analysis and Visualization of Aviation Carbon Emissions Studies," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(5), pages 1-20, March.
    13. Caset, Freke & Boussauw, Kobe & Storme, Tom, 2018. "Meet & fly: Sustainable transport academics and the elephant in the room," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 64-67.
    14. Gössling, Stefan & Cohen, Scott Allen & Hares, Andrew, 2016. "Inside the black box: EU policy officers' perspectives on transport and climate change mitigation," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 83-93.
    15. Zhu, Lichao, 2023. "Comparative evaluation of CO2 emissions from transportation in countries around the world," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    16. Qiu, Rui & Hou, Shuhua & Meng, Zhiyi, 2021. "Low carbon air transport development trends and policy implications based on a scientometrics-based data analysis system," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 1-10.
    17. Anderson, Kevin L. & Mander, Sarah L. & Bows, Alice & Shackley, Simon & Agnolucci, Paolo & Ekins, Paul, 2008. "The Tyndall decarbonisation scenarios--Part II: Scenarios for a 60% CO2 reduction in the UK," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 36(10), pages 3764-3773, October.
    18. Liu, Xiao & Hang, Ye & Wang, Qunwei & Zhou, Dequn, 2020. "Flying into the future: A scenario-based analysis of carbon emissions from China's civil aviation," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    19. Anderson, Kevin & Bows, Alice & Mander, Sarah, 2008. "From long-term targets to cumulative emission pathways: Reframing UK climate policy," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 36(10), pages 3714-3722, October.
    20. Hui‐Cheng Yu & Bor‐Yuan Tsai, 2018. "Environmental policy and sustainable development: An empirical study on carbon reduction among Chinese enterprises," Corporate Social Responsibility and Environmental Management, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 25(5), pages 1019-1026, September.
    21. Hickman, Robin & Banister, David, 2007. "Looking over the horizon: Transport and reduced CO2 emissions in the UK by 2030," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 14(5), pages 377-387, September.

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