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On the relationship between exchange rates and equity returns: A new approach

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  • Georgios, Katechos

Abstract

This paper employs a new approach in order to investigate the underlying relationship between stock markets and exchange rates. Current approaches suggest that the relative equity market performance of two countries is linked to their exchange rate. In contrast, this study proposes an alternative approach where one global variable â global equity market returns â is believed to have an effect on exchange rates, with the relative interest rate level of a currency determining the sign of the relationship. Our empirical findings suggest that exchange rates and global stock market returns are strongly linked. The value of currencies with higher interest rates is positively related with global equity returns, whereas the value of currencies with lower interest rates is negatively related with global equity returns.

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  • Georgios, Katechos, 2011. "On the relationship between exchange rates and equity returns: A new approach," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 21(4), pages 550-559, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:intfin:v:21:y:2011:i:4:p:550-559
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    1. Oguzhan Ozcelebi & Nurtac Yildirim, 2017. "Impacts of short-term interest rates on stock returns and exchange rates: Empirical evidence from EAGLE countries," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(2), pages 228-255, February.
    2. Kanchanapoom Termkiat & Padungsaksawasdi Chaiyuth & Chunhachinda Pornchai & de Boyrie Maria E., 2018. "Uncovered Interest Rate Parity, Carry Trade, and Country Equity Return Differentials," Global Economy Journal, De Gruyter, vol. 18(3), pages 1-11, September.
    3. Jimoh Olajide Raji & Yusnidah Ibrahim & Siti-Aznor Ahmad, 2017. "Stock Price Index and Exchange Rate Nexus in African Markets," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(1), pages 112-134, January.

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